到 2037 年，0.001 BTC 能让你成为百万富翁吗？

著名加密货币评论员、《山寨币日报》主持人亚伦·阿诺德最近引发了一场关于一小部分比特币变革潜力的讨论

Crypto commentator Aaron Arnold, host of Altcoin Daily, recently took to Twitter to share his thoughts on the potential for a fraction of Bitcoin to transform an individual into a multi-millionaire.

《山寨币日报》主持人、加密货币评论员亚伦·阿诺德 (Aaron Arnold) 最近在 Twitter 上分享了他对比特币的一小部分就可以将个人转变为千万富翁的潜力的看法。

According to Arnold, holding 0.001 BTC could be enough to make an investor a multi-millionaire in the years to come. He shared a chart from trillion-dollar asset manager Fidelity, which showcased Bitcoin’s price journey over two decades.

Arnold 表示，持有 0.001 BTC 就足以让投资者在未来几年成为千万富翁。他分享了价值数万亿美元的资产管理公司富达的图表，该图表展示了比特币二十年来的价格走势。

The chart highlighted a future where Bitcoin’s floor price could gradually rise to around the billion-dollar mark by 2037.

该图表强调了未来，到 2037 年，比特币的底价可能会逐渐升至 10 亿美元大关左右。

Bitcoin’s price journey has been marked by exponential growth, fueled by its scarcity and increasing adoption. The graph visualizes this evolution, aligning historical price trends with two predictive models: the Stock-to-Flow (S2F) model and an S-curve demand model inspired by the adoption of mobile technology.

在其稀缺性和日益普及的推动下，比特币的价格走势呈现指数级增长。该图直观地展示了这一演变，将历史价格趋势与两个预测模型保持一致：库存到流量 (S2F) 模型和受移动技术采用启发的 S 曲线需求模型。

In its early days, Bitcoin’s price surged from mere cents to thousands of dollars, closely following the projections of the S2F model. This model takes into account Bitcoin’s fixed supply and the diminishing flow of new coins into circulation due to halving events.

早期，比特币的价格从几美分飙升至数千美元，与 S2F 模型的预测密切相关。该模型考虑了比特币的固定供应量以及由于减半事件而导致的新硬币流入流通量的减少。

The S-curve demand model, on the other hand, draws parallels between Bitcoin’s adoption and the widespread uptake of technologies like mobile phones.

另一方面，S 曲线需求模型将比特币的采用与移动电话等技术的广泛采用进行了比较。

In particular, the model cites Metcalfe’s Law, which posits that the value of a network expands exponentially as additional users join.

该模型特别引用了梅特卡夫定律，该定律认为，随着更多用户的加入，网络的价值呈指数级增长。

It is worth noting that the Bitcoin forecast presented by the chart was made several years ago. Interestingly, both models cited in the chart accurately predicted Bitcoin’s current 2025 price, which is hovering around the $100,000 level.

值得注意的是，该图表所呈现的比特币预测是几年前做出的。有趣的是，图表中引用的两个模型都准确预测了比特币目前的 2025 年价格，该价格徘徊在 10 万美元左右。

Bitcoin Price by 2037 and Becoming a “Multi-Millionaire”

2037 年比特币价格及成为“百万富翁”

Looking ahead, the models suggest even more optimistic futures for Bitcoin. The S2F model anticipates sharp price increases, with projections reaching astronomical levels as high as $1 billion in the 2030s.

展望未来，这些模型表明比特币的未来更加乐观。 S2F 模型预计价格将大幅上涨，预计到 2030 年代将达到高达 10 亿美元的天文数字。

Meanwhile, the S-curve model suggests a more conservative trajectory. Yet, it indicates that Bitcoin could be worth over $1 million by the same time. For context, Bitcoin is currently worth $96,000 per coin.

与此同时，S 曲线模型提出了更为保守的轨迹。然而，这表明比特币的价值届时可能会超过 100 万美元。就背景而言，比特币目前每枚价值 96,000 美元。

Based on these promising projections, Arnold confidently stated that even 0.001 BTC, currently valued at $96, could translate into a significant fortune by 2037.

基于这些充满希望的预测，阿诺德自信地表示，即使是目前价值 96 美元的 0.001 BTC，到 2037 年也可能转化为一笔巨大的财富。

In the scenario where the $1 billion market price materializes, 0.001 BTC would indeed be worth $1 million. However, it would still be worth $1,000 under the more conservative forecast.

如果市场价格达到 10 亿美元，那么 0.001 BTC 确实价值 100 万美元。然而，根据更保守的预测，它的价值仍为 1,000 美元。

While past performance has shown strong alignment with the models, the authors of the projections stress that past performance does not guarantee future outcomes.

虽然过去的表现与模型显示出很强的一致性，但预测的作者强调，过去的表现并不能保证未来的结果。