BTC的價格為77,000美元？海斯這樣認為

根據加密企業家亞瑟·海斯（Arthur Hayes）最近的X帖子，比特幣（BTC）可能在3月10日的比賽中達到了最低點至77,000美元。

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According to a recent X post by crypto entrepreneur Arthur Hayes, Bitcoin (BTC) may have hit its bottom during the plunge to $77,000 on March 10. However, Hayes cautioned that while BTC may have bottomed, stock markets could face more pain ahead.

根據加密企業家亞瑟·海斯（Arthur Hayes）的最新X帖子，比特幣（BTC）可能在3月10日的比賽中達到了最低點至77,000美元。但是，海斯警告說，儘管BTC可能已經觸底了，但股票市場可能會面對更多的痛苦。

BTC Bottomed At $77,000? Hayes Thinks So

BTC的價格為77,000美元？海斯這樣認為

Former BitMEX CEO Arthur Hayes recently took to X to declare that BTC may have likely bottomed at $77,000. The acclaimed crypto market commentator referred to the US Federal Reserve’s (Fed) latest remarks signaling the end of quantitative tightening (QT).

Bitmex的前首席執行官Arthur Hayes最近曾宣布BTC可能以77,000美元的價格觸底了。備受讚譽的加密貨幣市場評論員提到了美國美聯儲（美聯儲）的最新評論，標誌著定量收緊（QT）的結束。

Hayes remarked:

海斯說：

JAYPOW delivered, QT basically over Apr 1. The next thing we need to get bulled up for realz is either SLR exemption and or a restart of QE. Was BTC $77K the bottom, prob. But stonks prob have more pain left to fully convert Jay to team Trump so stay nimble and cashed up.

Jaypow基本上是在4月1日的時間內交付的。QT我們需要為Realz欺負的下一件事是SLR豁免還是重新啟動量化寬鬆。 BTC $ 77,000，底部。但是，斯托克斯（Stonks）的問題還有更多的痛苦，可以將傑伊（Jay）完全轉變為特朗普（Team）團隊，因此保持敏捷並兌現。

For the uninitiated, QT is one of the Fed’s monetary policies aimed at reducing the money supply by selling off assets like government bonds or letting them mature without reinvesting. While this helps control inflation, it can also lead to higher interest rates and slower economic growth.

對於初學者而言，QT是美聯儲的貨幣政策之一，旨在通過出售政府債券等資產或讓其成熟而不會再投資來減少貨幣供應。儘管這有助於控制通貨膨脹，但它也可以導致更高的利率和經濟增長降低。

The Fed began its most recent QT cycle nearly three years ago in June 2022 to combat high inflation resulting from COVID-era economic stimulus. Now that inflation appears to be easing, the Fed has little reason to continue QT.

美聯儲在2022年6月的大約三年前開始了最近的QT週期，以抵抗由Covid時代的經濟刺激造成的高通貨膨脹。現在，通貨膨脹似乎正在緩解，美聯儲幾乎沒有理由繼續QT。

Yesterday, the Fed announced that from April 1 onwards, it will slow the pace of its balance sheet drawdown. Such a shift in monetary policy is likely to benefit risk-on assets like BTC and stocks.

昨天，美聯儲宣布，從4月1日起，它將減慢其資產負債表縮減的速度。貨幣政策的這種轉變可能會使BTC和股票等風險資產受益。

As stated in his X post, Hayes emphasized that the next potential bullish catalysts could be either a Supplementary Leverage Ratio (SLR) exemption or the start of quantitative easing (QE).

正如Hayes在他的X帖子中所述，海耶斯強調，下一個潛在的看漲催化劑可能是補充槓桿比率（SLR）豁免，或者是定量寬鬆（QE）的開始。

To explain, the SLR exemption temporarily allowed banks to exclude certain assets, like US Treasuries and central bank reserves, from their leverage calculations to encourage lending and support financial markets during crises. Similarly, QE is a monetary policy through which the Fed increases the money

為了解釋，SLR的豁免暫時允許銀行排除某些資產，例如美國國債和中央銀行儲備，從其槓桿計算中，以鼓勵危機期間的貸款和支持金融市場。同樣，量化寬鬆是一種貨幣政策，美聯儲通過它增加了錢