比特幣鯨可能是XRP突然崩潰後的因素

一位著名的XRP市場評論員引發了人們對XRP每次飆升後突然崩潰的因素的猜測。

Prominent XRP market commentator has sparked speculation on what could be causing the token to quickly drop after each price spike.

著名的XRP市場評論員引發了人們對可能導致令牌迅速下降的猜測。

XRP has seen persistent price volatility despite several positive developments for the token.

儘管令牌有幾個積極的發展，但XRP的價格波動持續波動。

Despite progress in the race to launch an XRP ETF, its inclusion in the U.S. digital asset stockpile, and recent breakthroughs in the Ripple vs. SEC lawsuit, the token has struggled to maintain any gains.

儘管在推出XRP ETF的競賽中，其包含在美國數字資產庫存以及最近在Ripple vs. SEC訴訟中的突破，該代幣仍在努力維持任何收益。

Instead, the asset has often seen a sharp rise followed by an equally swift decline, trading at the lower end of the $2 range at press time. This has raised concerns among investors.

取而代之的是，資產經常急劇上升，隨後下降了同樣迅速的下降，在發稿時售價2美元的下端。這引起了投資者的關注。

For instance, this pattern occurred on March 2, when President Donald Trump announced that XRP would be part of the U.S. digital asset stockpile.

例如，這種模式發生在3月2日，當時唐納德·特朗普總統宣布XRP將成為美國數字資產庫存的一部分。

The token immediately surged by 34% in a single day, reaching $3. However, this rally was short-lived, as XRP dropped 18.83% the following day. The downtrend continued, pushing the price back to the lower end of the $2 mark.

令牌在一天內立即飆升了34％，達到3美元。但是，這次集會是短暫的，因為第二天XRP下降了18.83％。下降趨勢繼續，將價格推回2美元的下端。

Another instance occurred on March 19, after Ripple CEO Brad Garlinghouse confirmed that the SEC had abandoned its appeal against Ripple, bringing the legal battle closer to resolution. This news triggered an 11.32% price jump for XRP on the same day. However, within the next three days, the token shed nearly 7% of its gains.

在Ripple首席執行官Brad Garlinghouse確認SEC放棄了對Ripple的上訴，使法律鬥爭更加接近決議後，另一個實例發生在3月19日。該消息在同一天引發了XRP的11.32％的上漲。但是，在接下來的三天內，代幣將其近7％的收益降低了。

Market analysts have questioned why these rapid downturns occur, with some attributing it to natural market forces. Notably, assets often experience such sharp declines after hitting resistance during a sudden spike.

市場分析師質疑為什麼這些快速衰退會發生，其中一些將其歸因於自然市場力量。值得注意的是，在突然的尖峰中撞擊阻力後，資產通常會急劇下降。

However, a recent analysis by software engineer and market commentator Vincent Van Code suggests that Bitcoin whales might be responsible for these sharp corrections.

但是，軟件工程師和市場評論員Vincent Van Code的最新分析表明，比特幣鯨可能是對這些銳利校正的原因。

He noticed unusual activity in the XRP/BTC pair, with massive buy and dump movements. In turn, this triggers a cascading effect as arbitrage traders and bots adjust the XRP/USDT balance.

他注意到XRP/BTC對中的異常活動，並進行了大量的購買和轉儲動作。反過來，隨著套利交易者和機器人的調整XRP/USDT餘額，這會觸發級聯效應。

Getting closer to understanding why the XRP pumps are squashed, and I noticed this large spike in the XRP/BTC, basically big BTC whales buying and dumping. This has a cascading effect as the arbitrage and bots balance out say XRP/USDT.

了解XRP泵為何被壓制的原因越來越接近，我注意到XRP/BTC中的這麼大的尖峰，基本上是BTC鯨魚的購買和傾倒。這具有級聯效應，因為套利和機器人平衡說XRP/USDT。

So, question is, is it just BTC whales…

因此，問題是，它只是BTC鯨魚…

— Vincent Van Code (@vincent_vancode) April 1, 2025

- Vincent Van Code（@vincent_vancode）2025年4月1日

Van Code asked if Bitcoin whales, who hold billions of dollars in BTC, were simply engaging in XRP swing trading or if their actions were part of a strategy to keep XRP from becoming a significant threat. He suggested that the repeated crashes might be a coordinated effort rather than random trading fluctuations.

Van Code詢問BTC中持有數十億美元的比特幣鯨是否只是從事XRP搖擺交易，還是他們的行動是阻止XRP成為重大威脅的戰略的一部分。他建議重複的崩潰可能是協調的努力，而不是隨機交易波動。

According to him, these Bitcoin whales, who had accumulated their holdings at extremely low prices, could be using their wealth to manipulate the XRP market and prevent it from achieving sustained growth.

據他說，這些以極低的價格積累了股份的比特幣鯨可能會利用自己的財富來操縱XRP市場並阻止其實現持續增長。

He noted that similar dump patterns have previously occurred, pushing the XRP/BTC pair lower than before the initial surge. However, it’s worth mentioning that these suggestions remain unconfirmed.

他指出，以前發生過類似的垃圾箱模式，將XRP/BTC對的推動低於初始激增之前。但是，值得一提的是，這些建議仍未得到證實。

Can a Higher Trading Volume Help?

更高的交易量可以幫助嗎？

Furthermore, Van Code discussed the need for much higher trading volumes to counteract what he believes are manipulative moves. According to him, $40 to $50 billion in trading volume for XRP would be sufficient.

此外，Van Code討論了需要更高交易量以抵消他認為是操縱性動作的需求。據他說，XRP的40至500億美元的交易量就足夠了。

He argued that without a significant increase in volume, XRP would continue experiencing these abrupt corrections. Currently, CoinMarketCap data confirms that XRP has averaged $6 billion in 24-hour volume since March at the $2 price.

他認為，如果沒有顯著增加的數量，XRP將繼續進行這些突然的校正。目前，CoinMarketCap數據證實，自3月以2美元的價格以來，XRP的平均24小時數量為60億美元。

To hit the $50 billion volume mark consistently, we might have to see XRP go above $5, he added.

他補充說，要始終如一地達到500億美元的交易標記，我們可能必須看到XRP超過5美元。

Some optimistic institutional adoption and demand can help in the long run. Meanwhile, it is important to note that XRP is not the only asset to experience such sudden price slumps. Bitcoin and altcoins like Cardano (ADA) also saw massive drops early last month.

從長遠來看，一些樂觀的機構採用和需求可以幫助您。同時，重要的是要注意，XRP並不是唯一經歷這種突然價格下跌的資產。上個月早些時候，像卡達諾（ADA）這樣的比特幣和替代幣也大量下降。