比特幣鯨已經醒了：這種勢頭會催化可持續的集會嗎？

比特幣的最大持有人，控制10多個BTC（$ 821K+）的鯨魚已經在一夜之間猛增了132個錢包，這是2月以來最陡峭的增長。

President Trump's announcement of a pause on tariffs from China brought some respite to market fears on Thursday, resulting in a 132-wallet surge in Bitcoin’s largest holders, those controlling 10+ BTC ($821K+), according to crypto analytics firm Santiment.

特朗普總統宣布對中國關稅的暫停，這在周四引起了市場恐懼，導致比特幣最大的持有人的132瓦爾特激增，那些控制了10+ BTC（821K+）的人。

This marks the steepest growth in stitiBitcoin whales’ tier in February following the last significant rally.

這標誌著在上次重大集會之後的2月，stibitcoin鯨魚層的增長最高。

However, while Santiment attributes this to renewed institutional confidence in BTC, skeptics may point out that the timing aligns more closely with Trump’s statement, delivered around 3:30 AM ET.

但是，儘管Santiment將其歸因於對BTC的機構信心，但懷疑論者可能會指出，時機與特朗普的聲明更加緊密，在美國東部時間上午3:30左右發表。

This sparks speculation whether it’s genuine accumulation or short-term positioning in response to the newsflow.

這引發了人們的猜測，無論是響應新聞流而是真正的積累還是短期定位。

"The 10+ BTC tier has been in a declining trend for the past few weeks. Historically, we've seen that rapid accumulation phases in this tier often precede bullish phases in Bitcoin’s price. For instance, earlier this year, we witnessed a substantial increase in this tier during the February rally. These large investors, also known as Bitcoin whales, are likely capitalizing on the recent market dip induced by the tariff news. Their significant re-entry suggests deep-seated long-term conviction in Bitcoin’s potential. Nonetheless, the timing, closely aligned with the political announcement, raises questions about the sustainability of this accumulation phase. Is it a genuine long-term strategy or a short-term positioning move in reaction to the tariff news?" elaborated Santiment.

“過去幾週的10多個BTC層一直在下降。從歷史上看，我們已經看到，這一層的迅速積累階段通常在比特幣價格的看漲階段之前。建議比特幣潛力的長期定罪。詳盡的santiment。

While Trump’s tariff pause may have temporarily eased some institutional FUD, ultimately, Bitcoin’s fate will still be decided by broader economic trends. Bitcoin whale activity alone cannot overrule macro pressures like inflation or the upcoming Fed policy decisions.

儘管特朗普的關稅暫停可能暫時緩解了一些機構FUD，但最終，比特幣的命運仍將取決於更廣泛的經濟趨勢。僅比特幣鯨魚活動不能否決通貨膨脹或即將進行的美聯儲政策決定等宏觀壓力。

It’s worth noting that this surge in large holders isn’t yet reflected in commensurately large price gains. BTC has been struggling to break out of a key resistance level, suggesting that despite whales’ optimism, retail traders might not be participating as actively. For a true bull run to unfold, we'll need to see both forces converge.

值得注意的是，大型持有人的這種激增尚未反映在相應的價格上漲中。 BTC一直在努力擺脫關鍵的阻力水平，這表明，儘管鯨魚樂觀，零售商人可能不會積極參與。為了進行真正的公牛奔跑，我們需要看到兩種力量融合。

Let’s take a look at the technical analysis of the 15-minute chart of BTC/USDT.

讓我們看一下BTC/USDT 15分鐘圖表的技術分析。

The BTC/USDT 15-minute chart is currently showing signs of consolidation just below the overhead resistance zone, which is located in the range of $83,800 to $84,200. The price is currently testing the lower levels of this resistance band, and it’s also encountering resistance at the psychological round number of $83,000. On the other hand, the price is finding support at the $79,000 level, which is the lower boundary of the recent consolidation range. A deeper level of support could be seen at $75,000, which is the low that was reached on March 27.

BTC/USDT 15分鐘圖表目前顯示在高架阻力區以下合併的跡象，該區域的範圍為83,800美元至84,200美元。價格目前正在測試該阻力頻帶的較低水平，並且在心理回合$ 83,000的情況下也遇到了阻力。另一方面，價格是在79,000美元的水平上找到支持，這是最近合併範圍的下邊界。可以看到75,000美元的更深層次的支持，這是3月27日達到的低價。

As the price is showing some hesitation as it approaches the resistance, this could indicate that a breakout or a rejection at this point could decide the next move for the market. If the bulls can push the price through the resistance, then we could see a continuation of the recent rally. However, if the sellers manage to defend this level, then the price could pull back and retest the lower levels of support.

由於價格在接近抵抗力時表現出猶豫，這可能表明此時突破或拒絕可以決定市場的下一步行動。如果公牛隊可以通過抵抗來推動價格，那麼我們可以看到最近的集會的延續。但是，如果賣方設法捍衛這一水平，那麼價格可能會退縮並重新測試較低的支持水平。

The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is currently at 46.55, which is placing it in neutral territory. The RSI ranges from 0 to 100, with readings above 70 signaling overbought conditions and readings below 30 suggesting oversold conditions.

相對強度指數（RSI）目前為46.55，將其置於中立領域。 RSI的範圍為0到100，讀數超過70個信號傳導過多的條件，讀數低於30，暗示了超售條件。

Earlier today, the RSI signaled overbought and oversold conditions, which aligned well with the price movements as it reversed from these extremes. For instance, when the RSI hit 30 on March 27, the price bounced from the low and rallied. Similarly, when the RSI reached 70 on April 9, the price stalled and pulled back from the high. This suggests that the RSI can be a useful indicator for identifying short-term price trends.

今天早些時候，RSI標誌著超買和超售的條件，這與價格轉向從這些極端逆轉時非常吻合。例如，當RSI在3月27日達到30次時，價格從低位彈起並集結。同樣，當RSI在4月9日達到70時，價格停止並從高處退回。這表明RSI可能是識別短期價格趨勢的有用指標。

MACD is currently showing a past "Death Cross," which occurred when the 12-EMA crossed below the 26-EMA, followed by a decline in momentum, indicated by the MACD Line (12-EMA - 26-EMA) moving below the zero line and the MACD Histogram (12-EMA - 26-EMA) decreasing from its peak.

MACD目前正在顯示過去的“死亡十字”，這發生在26-EMA以下的12-EMA交叉時發生，其次下降，而動量下降，MACD線（12-EMA-26-EMA）在零線以下和MACD直方圖（12-EMA-26-EMA）下降的峰值下降。

Although the MACD Histogram has narrowed in recent candlesticks, the MACD Lines are still placed below the zero line, which suggests that the bullish momentum is still weak or that the consolidation phase might continue.

儘管MACD直方圖在最近的燭台中縮小了，但MACD線仍位於零線以下，這表明看漲的動量仍然很弱，或者鞏固階段可能會持續下去。

In the broader picture, the price action is clearly showing a range-bound pattern with no complete breakout above the resistance yet.

在更廣泛的情況下，價格動作清楚地顯示出範圍內的模式，尚未完全突破阻力。

For traders who prefer to trade in the direction of the breakout, they might be interested in looking for a candle that closes completely above the $83,800 to $84,2

對於喜歡朝著突破方向進行交易的交易者，他們可能有興趣尋找一支完全關閉83,800美元至84,2美元的蠟燭