比特幣飆升，人們擔心美國可能因 35.7 兆美元債務失控而陷入“破產”

在美國前總統唐納德·川普的加密貨幣爆炸性言論的推動下，比特幣價格已飆升至歷史新高，每比特幣略高於 70,000 美元。

Bitcoin has surged this year, pushing cryptocurrency back into the limelight as fears swirl the U.S. could collapse into “bankruptcy” due to its $35.7 trillion debt spiraling out of control.

比特幣今年飆升，使加密貨幣重新成為人們關注的焦點，因為人們擔心美國可能因其 35.7 兆美元的債務失控而陷入「破產」。

The bitcoin price has soared back toward its all-time high of just over $70,000 per bitcoin, boosted by former U.S. president Donald Trump's crypto bombshell.

在美國前總統唐納德·川普的加密貨幣爆炸性言論的推動下，比特幣價格已飆升至歷史新高，每比特幣略高於 70,000 美元。

Now, as Wall Street giant JPMorgan issues a huge bitcoin price prediction, the Federal Reserve and the European Central Bank (EBC) have each published papers “attacking” bitcoin—branded a “declaration of war.”

現在，隨著華爾街巨頭摩根大通發布了巨額比特幣價格預測，聯準會和歐洲央行（EBC）也各自發表了「攻擊」比特幣的論文——打著「宣戰」的旗號。

Federal Reserve chair Jerome Powell has helped the bitcoin price boom this year with plans for drastic interest rate cuts.

聯準會主席鮑威爾（Jerome Powell）透過大幅降息計畫推動了今年比特幣價格的上漲。

The Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis has published a paper this week arguing bitcoin and similar assets could be taxed or banned to help governments maintain deficits.

明尼阿波利斯聯邦儲備銀行本週發表了一篇論文，認為可以對比特幣和類似資產徵稅或禁止，以幫助政府維持赤字。

“A legal prohibition against bitcoin can restore unique implementation of permanent primary deficits, and so can a tax on bitcoin,” the paper's authors wrote, adding bitcoin creates a “balanced budget trap” that highlights spending shortfalls.

該論文的作者寫道：“對比特幣的法律禁令可以恢復永久性基本赤字的獨特實施，對比特幣徵稅也可以。”並補充說，比特幣創造了一個“平衡預算陷阱”，凸顯了支出短缺。

The Fed has “joined the European Central Bank in its attack on bitcoin,” said VanEck's head of digital asset research Matthew Sigel, writing in an X thread that the paper “fantasizes about 'legal prohibition' and extra taxes on bitcoin to ensure government debt remains the 'only risk-free security.'”

VanEck 數位資產研究主管 Matthew Sigel 表示，美聯儲已“加入歐洲央行對比特幣的攻擊”，他在 X 帖子中寫道，該論文“幻想‘法律禁止’並對比特幣徵收額外稅，以確保政府債務仍然是'唯一無風險的安全保障 '”

The bitcoin price has surged along with the price of gold this year as investors bet higher interest rates combined with a huge increase in deficits will create a feedback loop, forcing governments to print more money.

今年，比特幣價格與黃金價格一起飆升，因為投資者押注更高的利率加上赤字的大幅增加將形成一個反饋循環，迫使政府印製更多的錢。

U.S. national debt has skyrocketed in recent years, crossing the $34 trillion mark at the beginning of 2024, largely due to Covid and lockdown stimulus measures that sent inflation spiraling out of control and forced the Federal Reserve to hike interest rates at a historical clip.

近年來，美國公債飆升，在2024年初突破了34兆美元大關，這主要是由於新冠疫情和封鎖刺激措施導致通膨失控，迫使聯準會以歷史性的速度升息。

Earlier this year, Bank of America analysts warned the U.S. debt load is about to ramp up to add $1 trillion every 100 days—potentially fueling a bitcoin price surge—and could reach $36 trillion by the end of 2024.

今年早些時候，美國銀行分析師警告稱，美國債務負擔即將每 100 天增加 1 兆美元，這可能會推動比特幣價格飆升，到 2024 年底可能會達到 36 兆美元。

The Fed's paper follows a report from the ECB that argues “the existence of bitcoin impoverishes both non-holders and latecomers,” describing it as a “zero-sum game” in which bitcoin buyers “increase their real wealth and consumption” at the expense of others.

聯準會的文件遵循歐洲央行的一份報告，該報告認為“比特幣的存在使非持有者和後來者都陷入貧困”，並將其描述為“零和遊戲”，比特幣購買者以犧牲比特幣購買者「增加其實際財富和消費」為代價。

“The ECB claims that early bitcoin adopters steal economic value from latecomers,” bitcoin analyst Tuur Demeester posted to X, calling the paper “a true declaration of war” and adding he “strongly believes authorities will use this luddite argument to enact harsh taxes or bans.”

比特幣分析師Tuur Demeester 在X 上發帖稱：“歐洲央行聲稱早期比特幣採用者竊取了後來者的經濟價值。”他稱該文件是“真正的宣戰”，並補充說他“堅信當局將利用這種勒德分子的論點來製定嚴厲的稅收或政策」。禁令。”

The bitcoin price has surged higher this year, climbing amid a perfect storm of Federal Reserve interest rate cuts, BlackRock-led Wall Street adoption and Donald Trump's embrace of bitcoin and crypto.

今年，比特幣價格飆升，在聯準會降息、貝萊德領導的華爾街採用以及唐納德·川普對比特幣和加密貨幣的擁抱的完美風暴中攀升。

The ECB paper warns that continued bitcoin price appreciation could divide society and calls for government action that would “prevent bitcoin prices from rising or to see bitcoin disappear altogether.”

歐洲央行文件警告稱，比特幣價格持續上漲可能會分裂社會，並呼籲政府採取行動「防止比特幣價格上漲或比特幣完全消失」。

“Non-holders should recognize that bitcoin’s rise is fueled by wealth redistribution at their expense,” ECB senior management adviser and report author Jürgen Schaaf posted to X. “There are compelling reasons to advocate for policies that curb bitcoin's growth or even eliminate it.”

歐洲央行高級管理顧問兼報告作者Jürgen Schaaf 在X 上發文表示：「非持有者應該認識到，比特幣的上漲是由以他們為代價的財富再分配推動的。」「有充分的理由提倡遏制比特幣成長甚至消除比特幣的政策。

Earlier this month, Italy's government said it was considering raising the capital gains tax on bitcoin to 42% from 26% while just this week in Denmark politicians proposed taxing unrealized bitcoin and crypto gains.

本月早些時候，義大利政府表示正在考慮將比特幣的資本利得稅從 26% 提高到 42%，而就在本週，丹麥政界人士提議對未實現的比特幣和加密貨幣收益徵稅。