比特币飙升，人们担心美国可能因 35.7 万亿美元债务失控而陷入“破产”

在美国前总统唐纳德·特朗普的加密货币爆炸性言论的推动下，比特币价格已飙升至历史新高，每比特币略高于 70,000 美元。

Bitcoin has surged this year, pushing cryptocurrency back into the limelight as fears swirl the U.S. could collapse into “bankruptcy” due to its $35.7 trillion debt spiraling out of control.

比特币今年飙升，使加密货币重新成为人们关注的焦点，因为人们担心美国可能因其 35.7 万亿美元的债务失控而陷入“破产”。

The bitcoin price has soared back toward its all-time high of just over $70,000 per bitcoin, boosted by former U.S. president Donald Trump's crypto bombshell.

在美国前总统唐纳德·特朗普的加密货币爆炸性言论的推动下，比特币价格已飙升至历史新高，每比特币略高于 70,000 美元。

Now, as Wall Street giant JPMorgan issues a huge bitcoin price prediction, the Federal Reserve and the European Central Bank (EBC) have each published papers “attacking” bitcoin—branded a “declaration of war.”

现在，随着华尔街巨头摩根大通发布了巨额比特币价格预测，美联储和欧洲央行（EBC）也各自发表了“攻击”比特币的论文——打着“宣战”的旗号。

Federal Reserve chair Jerome Powell has helped the bitcoin price boom this year with plans for drastic interest rate cuts.

美联储主席杰罗姆·鲍威尔（Jerome Powell）通过大幅降息计划推动了今年比特币价格的上涨。

The Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis has published a paper this week arguing bitcoin and similar assets could be taxed or banned to help governments maintain deficits.

明尼阿波利斯联邦储备银行本周发表了一篇论文，认为可以对比特币和类似资产征税或禁止，以帮助政府维持赤字。

“A legal prohibition against bitcoin can restore unique implementation of permanent primary deficits, and so can a tax on bitcoin,” the paper's authors wrote, adding bitcoin creates a “balanced budget trap” that highlights spending shortfalls.

该论文的作者写道：“对比特币的法律禁令可以恢复永久性基本赤字的独特实施，对比特币征税也可以。”并补充说，比特币创造了一个“平衡预算陷阱”，凸显了支出短缺。

The Fed has “joined the European Central Bank in its attack on bitcoin,” said VanEck's head of digital asset research Matthew Sigel, writing in an X thread that the paper “fantasizes about 'legal prohibition' and extra taxes on bitcoin to ensure government debt remains the 'only risk-free security.'”

VanEck 数字资产研究主管 Matthew Sigel 表示，美联储已“加入欧洲央行对比特币的攻击”，他在 X 帖子中写道，该论文“幻想‘法律禁止’并对比特币征收额外税，以确保政府债务仍然是‘唯一无风险的安全保障。’”

The bitcoin price has surged along with the price of gold this year as investors bet higher interest rates combined with a huge increase in deficits will create a feedback loop, forcing governments to print more money.

今年，比特币价格与黄金价格一起飙升，因为投资者押注更高的利率加上赤字的大幅增加将形成一个反馈循环，迫使政府印更多的钱。

U.S. national debt has skyrocketed in recent years, crossing the $34 trillion mark at the beginning of 2024, largely due to Covid and lockdown stimulus measures that sent inflation spiraling out of control and forced the Federal Reserve to hike interest rates at a historical clip.

近年来，美国国债飙升，在2024年初突破了34万亿美元大关，这主要是由于新冠疫情和封锁刺激措施导致通胀失控，迫使美联储以历史性的速度加息。

Earlier this year, Bank of America analysts warned the U.S. debt load is about to ramp up to add $1 trillion every 100 days—potentially fueling a bitcoin price surge—and could reach $36 trillion by the end of 2024.

今年早些时候，美国银行分析师警告称，美国债务负担即将每 100 天增加 1 万亿美元，这可能会推动比特币价格飙升，到 2024 年底可能会达到 36 万亿美元。

The Fed's paper follows a report from the ECB that argues “the existence of bitcoin impoverishes both non-holders and latecomers,” describing it as a “zero-sum game” in which bitcoin buyers “increase their real wealth and consumption” at the expense of others.

美联储的文件遵循欧洲央行的一份报告，该报告认为“比特币的存在使非持有者和后来者都陷入贫困”，并将其描述为“零和游戏”，比特币购买者以牺牲比特币购买者“增加其实际财富和消费”为代价。其他人的。

“The ECB claims that early bitcoin adopters steal economic value from latecomers,” bitcoin analyst Tuur Demeester posted to X, calling the paper “a true declaration of war” and adding he “strongly believes authorities will use this luddite argument to enact harsh taxes or bans.”

比特币分析师 Tuur Demeester 在 X 上发帖称：“欧洲央行声称早期比特币采用者窃取了后来者的经济价值。”他称该文件是“真正的宣战”，并补充说他“坚信当局将利用这种勒德分子的论点来制定严厉的税收或政策”。禁令。”

The bitcoin price has surged higher this year, climbing amid a perfect storm of Federal Reserve interest rate cuts, BlackRock-led Wall Street adoption and Donald Trump's embrace of bitcoin and crypto.

今年，比特币价格飙升，在美联储降息、贝莱德领导的华尔街采用以及唐纳德·特朗普对比特币和加密货币的拥抱的完美风暴中攀升。

The ECB paper warns that continued bitcoin price appreciation could divide society and calls for government action that would “prevent bitcoin prices from rising or to see bitcoin disappear altogether.”

欧洲央行文件警告称，比特币价格持续上涨可能会分裂社会，并呼吁政府采取行动“防止比特币价格上涨或比特币完全消失”。

“Non-holders should recognize that bitcoin’s rise is fueled by wealth redistribution at their expense,” ECB senior management adviser and report author Jürgen Schaaf posted to X. “There are compelling reasons to advocate for policies that curb bitcoin's growth or even eliminate it.”

欧洲央行高级管理顾问兼报告作者 Jürgen Schaaf 在 X 上发帖称：“非持有者应该认识到，比特币的上涨是由以他们为代价的财富再分配推动的。”“有充分的理由提倡遏制比特币增长甚至消除比特币的政策。” ”

Earlier this month, Italy's government said it was considering raising the capital gains tax on bitcoin to 42% from 26% while just this week in Denmark politicians proposed taxing unrealized bitcoin and crypto gains.

本月早些时候，意大利政府表示正在考虑将比特币的资本利得税从 26% 提高到 42%，而就在本周，丹麦政界人士提议对未实现的比特币和加密货币收益征税。