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- 隨著中東緊張局勢加劇,全球市場變得謹慎起來,寄望 10 月季節性熔斷的比特幣投機者面臨早期的現實檢驗。
Bitcoin fell the most in almost a month on Tuesday as deepening tension in the Middle East drove a bout of caution across global markets.
週二,由於中東緊張局勢加劇,全球市場出現謹慎情緒,比特幣出現近一個月來最大跌幅。
The digital asset dropped about 4% in the first two days of October, a contrast with its average 20% climb over the month as a whole in the past decade.
該數位資產在 10 月的前兩天下跌了約 4%,而過去十年該數位資產在整個月的平均漲幅為 20%。
Bitcoin speculators banking on a seasonal October meltup are facing an early reality check as deepening tension in the Middle East drives a bout of caution across global markets.
隨著中東緊張局勢的加劇導致全球市場出現謹慎態度,寄望於 10 月季節性熔斷的比特幣投機者面臨早期的現實檢驗。
The digital asset fell the most in almost a month on Tuesday after Iran fired about 200 ballistic missiles at Israel in a sharp but brief escalation of hostilities between the two adversaries. The token steadied around $61,000 in Asian trading on Wednesday amid mixed performance in the wider crypto market.
週二,伊朗向以色列發射了約 200 枚彈道飛彈,導致兩個對手之間的敵對行動急劇但短暫升級,該數位資產跌幅近一個月來最大。由於整個加密貨幣市場表現參差不齊,該代幣週三在亞洲交易中穩定在 61,000 美元左右。
Bitcoin has shed about 4% in the first two days of October, a contrast with its average 20% climb over the month as a whole in the past decade, according to data compiled by Bloomberg. That seasonal cue had some traders anticipating a lift past March’s record high of $73,798, until arguably the biggest geopolitical fault-line in global markets poured some cold water on the optimists.
根據彭博社彙編的數據,比特幣在 10 月的前兩天下跌了約 4%,而過去 10 年整個月的平均漲幅為 20%。這項季節性暗示讓一些交易員預計金價將突破 3 月歷史高點 73,798 美元,直到全球市場最大的地緣政治斷層線給樂觀主義者潑了一盆冷水。
Sean McNulty, director of trading at liquidity provider Arbelos Markets, argued that the selloff is a “momentary setback” given that the Federal Reserve has begun cutting interest rates. The government that emerges after November’s US presidential election is also likely to be friendlier toward crypto, he said.
流動性提供商 Arbelos Markets 的交易總監 Sean McNulty 認為,鑑於聯準會已開始降息,此次拋售只是「暫時的挫折」。他表示,11 月美國總統大選後出現的政府也可能對加密貨幣更加友善。
“The seasonal trend of October being the best month for Bitcoin is alive and well,” McNulty added.
「十月是比特幣最好月份的季節性趨勢仍然存在,」麥克納爾蒂補充道。
For now, markets are on alert for intensifying conflict as they parse Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu’s vow to retaliate against Iran’s strikes. US equity futures wavered Wednesday, while oil prices rose on supply fears.
目前,市場對衝突加劇保持警惕,因為他們正在分析以色列總理本傑明·內塔尼亞胡對伊朗襲擊進行報復的誓言。週三美國股指期貨波動,而油價因供應擔憂而上漲。
Digital assets of late have moved more in tandem with stocks, indicating macroeconomic drivers like the Fed monetary policy outlook are key for Bitcoin at the moment. A 50-day correlation coefficient for a gauge of the top 100 digital tokens and MSCI Inc.’s global equity index is at 0.65, the highest since 2022, according to data compiled by Bloomberg. A reading of 1 indicates assets are moving in lockstep, while minus 1 signals an inverse tie.
最近,數位資產與股票的走勢更加同步,這表明聯準會貨幣政策前景等宏觀經濟驅動因素目前對比特幣至關重要。根據彭博社彙編的數據,前 100 名的數位代幣與 MSCI Inc. 全球股票指數的 50 天相關係數為 0.65,為 2022 年以來的最高水準。讀數為 1 表示資產正在同步移動,而負 1 則表示反向平手。
©2024 Bloomberg L.P.
©2024 彭博社
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