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比特幣和更廣泛的加密貨幣市場正處於關鍵時刻。比特幣近期上漲至歷史新高,隨後的盤整表明,在比特幣鯨魚增持的支持下,看漲勢頭仍在持續。傳統金融也透過現貨比特幣交易所交易基金而嶄露頭角,並進行了大量投資。儘管分析師對長期前景保持樂觀,但短期不確定性仍然存在。對比特幣和其他頂級加密貨幣的技術分析揭示了需要突破的關鍵阻力位,以表明修正階段可能結束。如果突破這些水平,我們可以預期上漲趨勢將恢復,導致比特幣和山寨幣進一步上漲。
Bitcoin Surges to New Heights, Whale Accumulation Drives Market Optimism
比特幣飆升至新高度,鯨魚囤積推動市場樂觀
Bitcoin's (BTC) relentless rally has propelled it to a record-shattering all-time high, sparking a surge of optimism among investors. This bullish momentum has been amplified by a notable accumulation trend among Bitcoin whales, indicating a strong conviction in the cryptocurrency's long-term potential.
比特幣(BTC)的持續上漲已將其推升至破紀錄的歷史新高,引發了投資者的樂觀情緒高漲。比特幣鯨魚顯著的增持趨勢放大了這種看漲勢頭,顯示人們對加密貨幣的長期潛力抱持著堅定的信念。
According to recent data from Santiment, Bitcoin whales holding between 1,000 and 10,000 tokens have amassed an additional 266,000 BTC since the beginning of 2024. This significant accumulation suggests that these large-scale investors are betting on Bitcoin's continued appreciation.
根據Santiment 的最新數據,自2024 年初以來,持有1,000 至10,000 個代幣的比特幣鯨魚已經額外累積了266,000 BTC。 。
Furthermore, the entry of traditional finance companies into the Bitcoin market through spot Bitcoin exchange-traded funds (ETFs) has provided a further boost to the cryptocurrency's legitimacy and accessibility. Bloomberg analyst Eric Balchunas reported that two prominent United States financial advisors invested $20 million each in the Fidelity Wise Origin Bitcoin Fund (FBTC), surpassing the previous investment record of $17 million set by BlackRock's iShares Bitcoin Trust (IBIT).
此外,傳統金融公司透過現貨比特幣交易所交易基金(ETF)進入比特幣市場,進一步提高了加密貨幣的合法性和可近性。彭博社分析師 Eric Balchunas 報道稱,兩位美國著名金融顧問分別向Fidelity Wise Origin 比特幣基金(FBTC) 投資了2000 萬美元,超過了貝萊德iShares Bitcoin Trust ( IBIT) 先前創下的1,700 萬美元投資紀錄。
Analysts Divided over Bitcoin's Short-Term Outlook
分析師對比特幣的短期前景存在分歧
While analysts generally paint a bullish picture of Bitcoin's long-term prospects, the short-term trajectory remains uncertain. Fidelity Digital Assets has revised its medium-term outlook for Bitcoin from "positive" to "neutral," citing the cryptocurrency's elevated valuation. According to Chris Kuiper, the firm's director of research, Bitcoin is currently at the "halfway point" of its market cycle, with a considerable portion of its gains historically occurring in the latter half.
儘管分析師普遍對比特幣的長期前景描繪出樂觀的前景,但短期軌跡仍不確定。富達數位資產公司已將比特幣的中期前景從“積極”調整為“中性”,理由是加密貨幣的估值較高。該公司研究總監 Chris Kuiper 表示,比特幣目前正處於市場週期的“中間點”,歷史上其收益的很大一部分發生在後半段。
Technical Analysis Reveals Key Resistance Levels
技術分析揭示關鍵阻力位
To determine potential reversal points and identify the end of the corrective phase, it is imperative to analyze the technical charts of the top 10 cryptocurrencies.
為了確定潛在的反轉點並確定調整階段的結束,必須分析前 10 名加密貨幣的技術圖表。
Bitcoin
比特幣
Bitcoin's price has struggled to break above the 50-day simple moving average (SMA) at $67,509, indicating a potential resistance level. If the price falls below the 20-day exponential moving average (EMA) at $65,855, it could plunge to $60,775. Conversely, a surge above the 50-day SMA could signal renewed buying pressure and push the price towards $73,777.
比特幣的價格一直難以突破 50 日簡單移動平均線 (SMA) 67,509 美元,這表明存在潛在的阻力位。如果價格跌破 20 天指數移動平均線 (EMA) 65,855 美元,則可能暴跌至 60,775 美元。相反,突破 50 日移動平均線可能預示著新的買盤壓力,並將價格推向 73,777 美元。
Ethereum
以太坊
Ether (ETH) has faced resistance at the 20-day EMA ($3,237) and could decline to $3,056 if it fails to overcome this level. Further weakness could lead to a retest of critical support at $2,852, and a break below this level may trigger a significant sell-off. On the upside, a break above the 20-day EMA could indicate reduced selling pressure and a potential rally to $3,679.
以太幣 (ETH) 在 20 日均線(3,237 美元)處面臨阻力,如果未能突破該水平,可能會跌至 3,056 美元。進一步疲軟可能導致重新測試 2,852 美元的關鍵支撐位,而跌破該水平可能會引發大幅拋售。從好的方面來看,突破 20 日均線可能表明拋售壓力減輕,並可能反彈至 3,679 美元。
Binance Coin
幣安幣
Binance Coin (BNB) is hovering near $635, where it is likely to encounter strong resistance from sellers. A sharp drop from this level could extend BNB's consolidation period. Alternatively, a breakout above $635 could pave the way for a rally to $692 and eventually to the pattern target of $775.
幣安幣 (BNB) 徘徊在 635 美元附近,很可能會遇到賣家的強烈阻力。從該水平大幅下跌可能會延長 BNB 的盤整期。或者,突破 635 美元可能為反彈至 692 美元並最終達到 775 美元的形態目標鋪平道路。
Solana
索拉納
Solana (SOL) has reached $162, where it is facing stiff resistance from bears. A sharp decline from this level could keep SOL in a range-bound pattern between $162 and $126. However, a break above $162 could signal the end of the correction and a potential surge to $205. Conversely, a break below $126 could trigger a downtrend towards $100.
Solana (SOL) 已觸及 162 美元,面臨空頭的強勁阻力。從該水準大幅下跌可能會使 SOL 保持在 162 美元至 126 美元之間的區間波動格局。然而,突破 162 美元可能標誌著調整結束,並可能飆升至 205 美元。相反,跌破 126 美元可能會引發跌向 100 美元的下跌趨勢。
XRP
瑞波幣
XRP (XRP) has struggled to sustain above the 20-day EMA ($0.54), indicating active selling at higher levels. A sharp drop could lead to a decline towards $0.50 and subsequently to $0.46. To regain control, bulls need to drive the price above the 20-day EMA, increasing the likelihood of the pair remaining within the broad range between $0.46 and $0.74.
XRP (XRP) 一直難以維持在 20 日均線(0.54 美元)之上,這表明在更高水平上的積極拋售。急劇下跌可能導致跌至 0.50 美元,隨後跌至 0.46 美元。為了重新獲得控制權,多頭需要將價格推高至 20 日均線上方,從而增加該貨幣對保持在 0.46 美元至 0.74 美元寬幅區間內的可能性。
Dogecoin
狗狗幣
Dogecoin (DOGE) has been consolidating around the 20-day EMA ($0.16), suggesting a stalemate between buyers and sellers. A break below this level could send DOGE towards $0.13, while a surge above the overhead resistance zone could indicate the end of the correction and a rally to $0.21.
狗狗幣 (DOGE) 一直在 20 日均線(0.16 美元)附近盤整,顯示買家和賣家之間陷入僵局。跌破該水準可能會使 DOGE 漲向 0.13 美元,而突破上方阻力區可能表示修正結束並反彈至 0.21 美元。
Toncoin
東幣
Toncoin (TON) has broken below its ascending channel pattern, suggesting a potential end to its uptrend. Bulls may attempt to push the price back into the channel, but a failure to do so could lead to a sell-off towards $5.42 and potentially lower.
Toncoin (TON) 已跌破其上升通道模式,表明其上升趨勢可能結束。多頭可能會嘗試將價格推回通道內,但如果不這樣做,可能會導致價格跌至 5.42 美元甚至更低。
Cardano
卡爾達諾
Cardano (ADA) failed to break above the 20-day EMA ($0.51) on April 22, indicating continued selling pressure at higher levels. Bulls will attempt to defend $0.46, below which a deeper correction towards $0.35 is possible.
卡爾達諾 (ADA) 於 4 月 22 日未能突破 20 日均線(0.51 美元),表明更高水平的拋售壓力持續存在。多頭將試圖捍衛 0.46 美元,低於該水平可能會進一步回調至 0.35 美元。
Avalanche
雪崩
Avalanche (AVAX) is facing resistance between the 20-day EMA ($40) and the breakdown level of $42. A decline from current levels could lead to a test of the $32 to $27 support zone. Conversely, a breakout above $42 could mark the beginning of a sustained recovery and a potential rally towards $50.
Avalanche (AVAX) 面臨 20 日均線(40 美元)和 42 美元突破水平之間的阻力。從目前水準下跌可能會導致測試 32 美元至 27 美元的支撐區域。相反,突破 42 美元可能標誌著持續復甦的開始,並可能反彈至 50 美元。
Shiba Inu
柴犬
Shiba Inu (SHIB) has broken above its downtrend line but faces resistance at the 50-day SMA ($0.000028). A break above this level could signal the end of the correction and a rally towards $0.000033. Conversely, a sharp decline below the 20-day EMA could invalidate the breakout attempt and trigger a slide towards $0.000020.
Shiba Inu (SHIB) 已突破下降趨勢線,但在 50 日移動平均線 (0.000028 美元) 處面臨阻力。突破該水準可能標誌著修正的結束以及反彈至 0.000033 美元。相反,如果大幅跌破 20 日均線,突破嘗試可能會失效,並引發跌向 0.000020 美元的走勢。
Disclaimer: This article does not constitute investment advice or recommendations. Cryptocurrency investments are subject to significant risk, and investors should carefully consider their circumstances and seek professional advice before making any decisions.
免責聲明:本文不構成投資建議或推薦。加密貨幣投資存在重大風險,投資者在做出任何決定之前應仔細考慮自己的情況並尋求專業建議。
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