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比特幣 (BTC) 的價格已跌破 61,000 美元,該水平此前是支撐性的。價格已形成雙頂模式,這表明儘管加密貨幣的長期看漲趨勢,但短期內可能出現逆轉。 BTC 的關鍵支撐位和阻力位分別為 60,000 美元和 67,000 美元,其在這些水平內的價格走勢將決定趨勢的延續或逆轉。
As the cryptocurrency market experiences a period of consolidation, Bitcoin (BTC), the industry's leading asset, has witnessed a notable downward trend in its price. This decline, which began with a rejection of the $72,000 resistance level, has dragged the entire cryptocurrency market with it.
隨著加密貨幣市場進入整合期,業界領先資產比特幣(BTC)的價格出現了明顯的下跌趨勢。這次下跌始於拒絕 72,000 美元的阻力位,拖累了整個加密貨幣市場。
Amidst an ascending triangle consolidation pattern, selling pressure intensified at $72,000, pushing BTC's price below the psychological threshold of $61,000. This level, which had previously served as support, has once again attracted buyer interest. However, despite a temporary recovery on Tuesday, April 16th, the short-term technical outlook for Bitcoin remains bearish.
在上升三角形盤整格局中,拋售壓力在 72,000 美元處加劇,推動 BTC 價格跌破 61,000 美元的心理關卡。這一先前作為支撐的水平再次吸引了買家的興趣。然而,儘管 4 月 16 日星期二出現暫時復甦,但比特幣的短期技術前景仍然看跌。
The current price action has formed a double top pattern, a bearish signal that indicates a potential reversal. Despite this short-term bearishness, the underlying trend for Bitcoin remains bullish. Nonetheless, BTC's fall below its 50-day moving average, coupled with a downward revision of bullish momentum, raises concerns about the sustainability of this trend.
目前的價格走勢已形成雙頂模式,這是表明潛在反轉的看跌訊號。儘管短期看跌,但比特幣的基本趨勢仍然看漲。儘管如此,BTC 跌破 50 日移動均線,加上看漲勢頭向下修正,引發了人們對這一趨勢可持續性的擔憂。
In collaboration with Elie FT, an investor and trader specializing in cryptocurrency markets, we have developed several hypotheses regarding Bitcoin's future price trajectory.
我們與專門從事加密貨幣市場的投資者和交易員 Elie FT 合作,提出了有關比特幣未來價格軌蹟的幾種假設。
Bullish Scenario:
看漲情景:
If Bitcoin's price manages to maintain above $60,000, we could anticipate a bullish continuation up to $67,000. The next resistance levels to consider, assuming the bullish momentum persists, would be $68,000, $69,000, and potentially higher. This scenario would represent an increase of over 8.5%.
如果比特幣的價格能夠維持在 60,000 美元以上,我們預計看漲趨勢將持續至 67,000 美元。假設看漲勢頭持續,下一個需要考慮的阻力位將是 68,000 美元、69,000 美元,甚至可能更高。在這種情況下,增幅將超過 8.5%。
Bearish Scenario:
看跌情景:
If Bitcoin's price fails to hold above $60,000, we could envision buyer interest support around $58,000. The next level to consider, should the bearish trend continue, would range within a price bracket around $57,000 and $56,000. This scenario would represent a decrease close to -11%.
如果比特幣的價格未能保持在 60,000 美元以上,我們可以預見買家興趣支撐約為 58,000 美元。如果看跌趨勢持續下去,下一個要考慮的水平將在 57,000 美元和 56,000 美元左右的價格範圍內。在這種情況下,下降幅度將接近 -11%。
Conclusion:
結論:
With just a week to go before the highly anticipated Bitcoin Halving, the cryptocurrency has faced significant selling pressure. This can be attributed in part to a complex macroeconomic and geopolitical backdrop. While the BTC market has exhibited some resilience in indicating sustained buyer interest, the mother cryptocurrency oscillates between bearish signals in the short term and an overall bullish trend.
距離備受期待的比特幣減半僅剩一週時間,這種加密貨幣面臨巨大的拋售壓力。這在一定程度上可以歸因於複雜的宏觀經濟和地緣政治背景。儘管比特幣市場表現出一定的彈性,顯示出持續的買家興趣,但這種母加密貨幣在短期看跌訊號和整體看漲趨勢之間振盪。
Therefore, it will be imperative to closely observe the price reactions to various key levels to confirm or disprove current hypotheses. Additionally, it is essential to remain cautious of potential market "fake outs" and "squeezes" in any scenario.
因此,必須密切觀察各個關鍵水準的價格反應,以證實或反駁當前的假設。此外,在任何情況下都必須對潛在的市場「假象」和「擠壓」保持警惕。
It is important to note that these analyses are based solely on technical criteria, and cryptocurrency prices can also evolve rapidly due to other more fundamental factors.
值得注意的是,這些分析僅基於技術標準,加密貨幣價格也可能因其他更基本的因素而迅速變化。
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