比特币在市场整合中暴跌，引发看跌担忧

比特币 (BTC) 的价格已跌破 61,000 美元，该水平此前是支撑性的。价格已形成双顶模式，这表明尽管加密货币的长期看涨趋势，但短期内可能出现逆转。 BTC 的关键支撑位和阻力位分别为 60,000 美元和 67,000 美元，其在这些水平内的价格走势将决定趋势的延续或逆转。

As the cryptocurrency market experiences a period of consolidation, Bitcoin (BTC), the industry's leading asset, has witnessed a notable downward trend in its price. This decline, which began with a rejection of the $72,000 resistance level, has dragged the entire cryptocurrency market with it.

随着加密货币市场进入整合期，行业领先资产比特币（BTC）的价格出现了明显的下跌趋势。这次下跌始于拒绝 72,000 美元的阻力位，拖累了整个加密货币市场。

Amidst an ascending triangle consolidation pattern, selling pressure intensified at $72,000, pushing BTC's price below the psychological threshold of $61,000. This level, which had previously served as support, has once again attracted buyer interest. However, despite a temporary recovery on Tuesday, April 16th, the short-term technical outlook for Bitcoin remains bearish.

在上升三角形盘整格局中，抛售压力在 72,000 美元处加剧，推动 BTC 价格跌破 61,000 美元的心理关口。这一此前作为支撑的水平再次吸引了买家的兴趣。然而，尽管 4 月 16 日星期二出现暂时复苏，但比特币的短期技术前景仍然看跌。

The current price action has formed a double top pattern, a bearish signal that indicates a potential reversal. Despite this short-term bearishness, the underlying trend for Bitcoin remains bullish. Nonetheless, BTC's fall below its 50-day moving average, coupled with a downward revision of bullish momentum, raises concerns about the sustainability of this trend.

当前的价格走势已形成双顶模式，这是表明潜在反转的看跌信号。尽管短期看跌，但比特币的基本趋势仍然看涨。尽管如此，BTC 跌破 50 日移动均线，加上看涨势头向下修正，引发了人们对这一趋势可持续性的担忧。

In collaboration with Elie FT, an investor and trader specializing in cryptocurrency markets, we have developed several hypotheses regarding Bitcoin's future price trajectory.

我们与专门从事加密货币市场的投资者和交易员 Elie FT 合作，提出了有关比特币未来价格轨迹的几种假设。

Bullish Scenario:

看涨情景：

If Bitcoin's price manages to maintain above $60,000, we could anticipate a bullish continuation up to $67,000. The next resistance levels to consider, assuming the bullish momentum persists, would be $68,000, $69,000, and potentially higher. This scenario would represent an increase of over 8.5%.

如果比特币的价格能够维持在 60,000 美元以上，我们预计看涨趋势将持续至 67,000 美元。假设看涨势头持续，下一个需要考虑的阻力位将是 68,000 美元、69,000 美元，甚至可能更高。在这种情况下，增幅将超过 8.5%。

Bearish Scenario:

看跌情景：

If Bitcoin's price fails to hold above $60,000, we could envision buyer interest support around $58,000. The next level to consider, should the bearish trend continue, would range within a price bracket around $57,000 and $56,000. This scenario would represent a decrease close to -11%.

如果比特币的价格未能保持在 60,000 美元以上，我们可以预见买家兴趣支撑约为 58,000 美元。如果看跌趋势继续下去，下一个要考虑的水平将在 57,000 美元和 56,000 美元左右的价格范围内。在这种情况下，下降幅度将接近 -11%。

Conclusion:

结论：

With just a week to go before the highly anticipated Bitcoin Halving, the cryptocurrency has faced significant selling pressure. This can be attributed in part to a complex macroeconomic and geopolitical backdrop. While the BTC market has exhibited some resilience in indicating sustained buyer interest, the mother cryptocurrency oscillates between bearish signals in the short term and an overall bullish trend.

距离备受期待的比特币减半仅剩一周时间，这种加密货币面临着巨大的抛售压力。这在一定程度上可以归因于复杂的宏观经济和地缘政治背景。尽管比特币市场表现出一定的弹性，显示出持续的买家兴趣，但这种母加密货币在短期看跌信号和整体看涨趋势之间振荡。

Therefore, it will be imperative to closely observe the price reactions to various key levels to confirm or disprove current hypotheses. Additionally, it is essential to remain cautious of potential market "fake outs" and "squeezes" in any scenario.

因此，必须密切观察各个关键水平的价格反应，以证实或反驳当前的假设。此外，在任何情况下都必须对潜在的市场“假象”和“挤压”保持警惕。

It is important to note that these analyses are based solely on technical criteria, and cryptocurrency prices can also evolve rapidly due to other more fundamental factors.

值得注意的是，这些分析仅基于技术标准，加密货币价格也可能由于其他更基本的因素而迅速变化。