比特幣幻燈片作為經濟衰退的恐懼和貿易緊張局勢安裝

2025年美國衰退的可能性正在增長，分析師指出經濟不確定性，併升級貿易緊張局勢是關鍵風險。

output: A possibility of a U.S. recession in 2025 is growing, with analysts citing economic uncertainty and increasing trade war tensions as key risks, Chain News reports.

產出：Chain News報導，分析師以經濟不確定性和貿易戰緊張局勢作為關鍵風險的情況，分析師的可能性正在增長，分析師的可能性正在增長。

Among pressing concerns are potential budget cuts and a reduction in federal jobs, which could have significant macroeconomic implications, the report notes.

報告指出，緊迫的擔憂包括潛在的削減預算和減少聯邦工作，這可能具有重大的宏觀經濟影響。

Market expert at Invictus Capital, Nic Puckrin, puts the chance of a recession in 2025 at about 40% and adds that the current economic climate is not optimal for risk assets, including cryptocurrencies.

Invictus Capital的市場專家Nic Puckrin在2025年將經濟衰退的機會佔40％，並補充說，當前的經濟氣候對於包括加密貨幣在內的風險資產並不是最佳的。

Discussing capital movements, Puckrin mentions that the U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) has been dropping due to shifts in investor sentiment. As investors become more risk-averse, capital is seen flowing out of the U.S. and into European markets.

在討論資本運動時，Puckrin提到美元指數（DXY）由於投資者情緒的轉移而下降。隨著投資者的風險規避風險，資本被視為從美國流出並進入歐洲市場。

The expert notes a sharp decrease in the DXY occurred in March, indicating broader macroeconomic concerns and capital outflows from the U.S.

專家指出，DXY在3月發生了急劇下降，這表明來自美國的宏觀經濟問題和資本流出更廣泛

Moreover, President Trump’s tariffs have contributed to market instability, leading to a strong sell-off in the crypto sector. Bitcoin (BTC) is now down 24% from its January peak of $109,000, while altcoins have sustained even steeper declines.

此外，特朗普總統的關稅促成了市場不穩定，導致加密貨幣部門的強烈拋售。比特幣（BTC）現在比其一月份的峰值下降了24％，而Altcoins的下降幅度更高。

The heightened trade war fears have seen a complete reversal in market sentiment from post-election optimism to extreme caution.

貿易戰的恐懼加劇使市場情緒從選舉後的樂觀情緒徹底逆轉到極端謹慎。

Analysts suggest the pressure on crypto markets could continue at least until April, pending any positive developments in trade negotiations.

分析師認為，至少要直到4月，在貿易談判方面的任何積極進展之前，對加密貨幣市場的壓力可能會持續下去。

However, some experts are detecting signs that Bitcoin could be nearing a bottom.

但是，一些專家正在發現比特幣可能接近底部的跡象。

10x Research's head of digital assets, Markus Thielen, notes that a shift in Trump’s trade rhetoric could be the key factor for a potential recovery in crypto prices.

10倍研究的數字資產負責人馬庫斯·泰倫（Markus Thielen）指出，特朗普的貿易言論的轉變可能是潛在恢復加密價格的關鍵因素。

If the administration shows signs of softening its stance on tariffs or indicates progress in trade negotiations with a possibility of compromises, it could trigger a reversal in Bitcoin’s trajectory from its recent sell-off.

如果政府表現出對關稅的立場的軟化跡象，或表明貿易談判的進展並有可能發生折衷方案，則可能會引發比特幣軌蹟的逆轉。