Ned Davis 研究稱，到 2025 年 4 月，比特幣可能會上漲 60%

唐納德·川普贏得大選後，加密貨幣價格創下 75,000 美元以上的歷史新高。 Ned Davis Research 預計該代幣到春季將達到 121,000 美元。

Bitcoin could rise 60% by April 2025, hitting $121,000, thanks to a technical breakout that's seen the cryptocurrency hit a record high above $75,000 following Donald Trump's election win, according to Ned Davis Research.

根據Ned Davis Research 的數據，到2025 年4 月，比特幣可能會上漲60%，達到121,000 美元，這要歸功於唐納德·川普贏得大選後，加密貨幣的技術突破，創下了75,000 美元以上的歷史新高。

On Thursday, the Wall Street research firm upgraded bitcoin "as a long-only trade" with a price target of $121,000.

週四，這家華爾街研究公司將比特幣升級為“僅限多頭交易”，目標價為 121,000 美元。

"We like the set-up for Bitcoin. The crypto is breaking out on optimism of a Trump victory and we see the price running with little resistance at least until Trump takes office," said Pat Tschosik, strategist at Ned Davis Research.

Ned Davis Research 策略師 Pat Tschosik 表示：“我們喜歡比特幣的格局。加密貨幣正在因川普獲勝的樂觀情緒而爆發，我們認為至少在川普上任之前，比特幣價格幾乎沒有阻力。”

Bitcoin has consolidated sideways since peaking at just under $74,000 in mid-March. It broke above the seven-month consolidation range, surging past the $75,000 level following Donald Trump's election win.

自 3 月中旬觸及略低於 74,000 美元的峰值以來，比特幣一直在橫盤整理。在唐納德·川普 (Donald Trump) 當選後，它突破了 7 個月的盤整區間，飆升至 75,000 美元的水平。

That's a bullish technical breakout as long as prior resistance around the $73,000 level can hold as a new support level, where buyers step in during periods of weakness.

只要 73,000 美元附近的先前阻力位能夠保持為新的支撐位，即買家在疲軟時期介入的支撐位，這就是看漲的技術突破。

And that's how Tschosik is positioning the bitcoin trade recommendation in terms of managing downside risk.

這就是 Tschosik 在管理下行風險方面對比特幣交易建議的定位。

"If Bitcoin simply breaks below its support (former resistance) level near $73K, its March 2024 high, we will likely downgrade. This represents about 5% downside from current levels near $75.5K," Tschosik said.

「如果比特幣簡單地跌破其接近7.3 萬美元的支撐位（前阻力位），即2024 年3 月的高點，我們可能會下調評級。這比目前接近7.55 萬美元的水平下降了約5 %，”Tschosik 表示。

Tschosik's price target is based on a measured move from around $25,000 in June 2023, when the cyclical bull rally in bitcoin began, to around $73,000 in March.

Tschosik 的目標價是基於 2023 年 6 月比特幣週期性牛市開始時的約 25,000 美元到 3 月的約 73,000 美元的計算。

The $48,000 difference between $73,000 and $25,000 is added back to the breakout level of $73,000, generating the $121,000 price target.

73,000 美元和 25,000 美元之間的 48,000 美元差異被加回到 73,000 美元的突破水平，產生 121,000 美元的價格目標。

But Ned Davis Research won't wait for the price of bitcoin to reach $121,000 to close out the trade, and instead will rely on real-time indicators as to when to realize potential gains.

但 Ned Davis Research 不會等到比特幣價格達到 121,000 美元才平倉，而是將依賴即時指標來判斷何時實現潛在收益。

"We want to stress that we will rely heavily on our favorite short and intermediate-trend indicators for closing this trade rather than simply reaching a price target," Tschosik said.

「我們想強調的是，我們將嚴重依賴我們最喜歡的短期和中期趨勢指標來結束這筆交易，而不是簡單地達到價格目標，」喬西克說。