Ned Davis 研究称，到 2025 年 4 月，比特币可能上涨 60%

唐纳德·特朗普赢得大选后，加密货币价格创下 75,000 美元以上的历史新高。 Ned Davis Research 预计该代币到春季将达到 121,000 美元。

Bitcoin could rise 60% by April 2025, hitting $121,000, thanks to a technical breakout that's seen the cryptocurrency hit a record high above $75,000 following Donald Trump's election win, according to Ned Davis Research.

根据 Ned Davis Research 的数据，到 2025 年 4 月，比特币可能会上涨 60%，达到 121,000 美元，这要归功于唐纳德·特朗普赢得大选后，加密货币的技术突破，创下了 75,000 美元以上的历史新高。

On Thursday, the Wall Street research firm upgraded bitcoin "as a long-only trade" with a price target of $121,000.

周四，这家华尔街研究公司将比特币升级为“仅限多头交易”，目标价格为 121,000 美元。

"We like the set-up for Bitcoin. The crypto is breaking out on optimism of a Trump victory and we see the price running with little resistance at least until Trump takes office," said Pat Tschosik, strategist at Ned Davis Research.

Ned Davis Research 策略师 Pat Tschosik 表示：“我们喜欢比特币的格局。加密货币正在因特朗普获胜的乐观情绪而爆发，我们认为至少在特朗普上任之前，比特币价格几乎没有阻力。”

Bitcoin has consolidated sideways since peaking at just under $74,000 in mid-March. It broke above the seven-month consolidation range, surging past the $75,000 level following Donald Trump's election win.

自 3 月中旬触及略低于 74,000 美元的峰值以来，比特币一直在横盘整理。在唐纳德·特朗普 (Donald Trump) 当选后，它突破了 7 个月的盘整区间，飙升至 75,000 美元的水平。

That's a bullish technical breakout as long as prior resistance around the $73,000 level can hold as a new support level, where buyers step in during periods of weakness.

只要 73,000 美元附近的先前阻力位能够保持为新的支撑位，即买家在疲软时期介入的支撑位，这就是看涨的技术突破。

And that's how Tschosik is positioning the bitcoin trade recommendation in terms of managing downside risk.

这就是 Tschosik 在管理下行风险方面对比特币交易建议的定位。

"If Bitcoin simply breaks below its support (former resistance) level near $73K, its March 2024 high, we will likely downgrade. This represents about 5% downside from current levels near $75.5K," Tschosik said.

“如果比特币简单地跌破其接近 7.3 万美元的支撑位（前阻力位），即 2024 年 3 月的高点，我们可能会下调评级。这比目前接近 7.55 万美元的水平下降了约 5%，”Tschosik 表示。

Tschosik's price target is based on a measured move from around $25,000 in June 2023, when the cyclical bull rally in bitcoin began, to around $73,000 in March.

Tschosik 的价格目标是基于从 2023 年 6 月比特币周期性牛市开始时的约 25,000 美元到 3 月份的约 73,000 美元的测算。

The $48,000 difference between $73,000 and $25,000 is added back to the breakout level of $73,000, generating the $121,000 price target.

73,000 美元和 25,000 美元之间的 48,000 美元差异被加回到 73,000 美元的突破水平，产生 121,000 美元的价格目标。

But Ned Davis Research won't wait for the price of bitcoin to reach $121,000 to close out the trade, and instead will rely on real-time indicators as to when to realize potential gains.

但 Ned Davis Research 不会等到比特币价格达到 121,000 美元才平仓，而是将依赖实时指标来判断何时实现潜在收益。

"We want to stress that we will rely heavily on our favorite short and intermediate-trend indicators for closing this trade rather than simply reaching a price target," Tschosik said.

“我们想强调的是，我们将严重依赖我们最喜欢的短期和中期趋势指标来结束这笔交易，而不是简单地达到价格目标，”乔西克说。