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博彩市場,尤其是 Kalshi 和 Polymarket,發現美國當選總統唐納德·川普 (Donald Trump) 在 1 月 20 日上任後建立比特幣 (BTC) 戰略儲備的可能性顯著增加。
Betting markets are seeing an爆発 of chances that Donald Trump will establish a strategic reserve of bitcoin after taking office on January 20, 2025.
博彩市場看到唐納德·川普 (Donald Trump) 在 2025 年 1 月 20 日上任後建立比特幣戰略儲備的可能性很高。
This surge in the betting markets reflects the growing optimism surrounding Trump’s pro-crypto policies and his promises to make the United States a global crypto capital.
博彩市場的激增反映出人們對川普的支持加密貨幣政策及其使美國成為全球加密貨幣之都的承諾日益樂觀。
The betting markets, notably Kalshi and Polymarket, are seeing a significant increase in the chances that the elected President of the United States, Donald Trump, will establish a strategic reserve of Bitcoin (BTC) after taking office on January 20. Betters on Kalshi estimate the probability that Trump will create a BTC reserve in the United States by 2026 at nearly 70%. On Polymarket, users predict a 42% chance that Trump will do so in his first 100 days.
博彩市場,尤其是 Kalshi 和 Polymarket,發現美國當選總統唐納德·特朗普在 1 月 20 日上任後建立比特幣 (BTC) 戰略儲備的可能性顯著增加。 2026 年在美國建立BTC 儲備的可能性接近70%。在 Polymarket 上,用戶預測川普在上任的頭 100 天內這樣做的可能性為 42%。
This surge in probabilities, up about 20% from early January lows, reflects the growing optimism around Trump’s pro-crypto policies. It should be noted that at the Bitcoin 2024 conference in Nashville, Tennessee, Trump promised to make the United States a global crypto capital and to create a “national strategic bitcoin reserve.”
這種機率的飆升,比 1 月初的低點上升了約 20%,反映出人們對川普支持加密貨幣的政策越來越樂觀。值得注意的是,在田納西州納許維爾舉行的比特幣2024大會上,川普承諾讓美國成為全球加密貨幣之都,並創建「國家戰略比特幣儲備」。
According to a report by the New York Post on January 16, Trump is considering expanding a potential reserve to include a wider basket of cryptocurrencies beyond BTC, such as USD Coin (USDC), Solana (SOL), and XRP (XRP). He also plans to sign an executive order designating crypto as a national priority upon his return to office on January 20.
根據《紐約郵報》1 月 16 日報道,川普正在考慮擴大潛在儲備,以納入 BTC 以外的更廣泛的加密貨幣籃子,例如美元硬幣 (USDC)、Solana (SOL) 和 XRP (XRP)。他還計劃在 1 月 20 日重返辦公室後簽署一項行政命令,將加密貨幣指定為國家優先事項。
A Boost Greater than BTC ETFs
漲幅大於 BTC ETF
The establishment of a BTC reserve in the United States would accelerate the adoption of bitcoin even more than the launch of ETFs in January 2024. “We believe that the Bitcoin Adoption Act in the United States would have a deeper long-term impact on Bitcoin than the launch of ETFs,” a researcher from CoinShares recently stated.
在美國建立比特幣儲備將比 2024 年 1 月推出 ETF 更快地加速比特幣的採用。推出。
The betting markets thus reflect growing optimism about the future of BTC under the Trump administration. Despite crypto not helping Trump win the election, investors still hope for favorable cryptocurrency policies. This could transform the global financial landscape.
因此,博彩市場反映出人們對川普政府領導下的比特幣未來日益樂觀。儘管加密貨幣並沒有幫助川普贏得大選,但投資人仍然希望看到有利的加密貨幣政策。這可能會改變全球金融格局。
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