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博彩市场,尤其是 Kalshi 和 Polymarket,发现美国当选总统唐纳德·特朗普 (Donald Trump) 在 1 月 20 日上任后建立比特币 (BTC) 战略储备的可能性显着增加。
Betting markets are seeing an爆発 of chances that Donald Trump will establish a strategic reserve of bitcoin after taking office on January 20, 2025.
博彩市场看到唐纳德·特朗普 (Donald Trump) 在 2025 年 1 月 20 日上任后建立比特币战略储备的可能性很大。
This surge in the betting markets reflects the growing optimism surrounding Trump’s pro-crypto policies and his promises to make the United States a global crypto capital.
博彩市场的激增反映出人们对特朗普的支持加密货币政策及其使美国成为全球加密货币之都的承诺日益乐观。
The betting markets, notably Kalshi and Polymarket, are seeing a significant increase in the chances that the elected President of the United States, Donald Trump, will establish a strategic reserve of Bitcoin (BTC) after taking office on January 20. Betters on Kalshi estimate the probability that Trump will create a BTC reserve in the United States by 2026 at nearly 70%. On Polymarket, users predict a 42% chance that Trump will do so in his first 100 days.
博彩市场,尤其是 Kalshi 和 Polymarket,发现美国当选总统唐纳德·特朗普在 1 月 20 日上任后建立比特币 (BTC) 战略储备的可能性显着增加。 Kalshi 预测的更好者特朗普到 2026 年在美国建立 BTC 储备的可能性接近 70%。在 Polymarket 上,用户预测特朗普在上任的头 100 天内这样做的可能性为 42%。
This surge in probabilities, up about 20% from early January lows, reflects the growing optimism around Trump’s pro-crypto policies. It should be noted that at the Bitcoin 2024 conference in Nashville, Tennessee, Trump promised to make the United States a global crypto capital and to create a “national strategic bitcoin reserve.”
这种概率的飙升,比 1 月初的低点上升了约 20%,反映出人们对特朗普支持加密货币的政策越来越乐观。值得注意的是,在田纳西州纳什维尔举行的比特币2024大会上,特朗普承诺让美国成为全球加密货币之都,并创建“国家战略比特币储备”。
According to a report by the New York Post on January 16, Trump is considering expanding a potential reserve to include a wider basket of cryptocurrencies beyond BTC, such as USD Coin (USDC), Solana (SOL), and XRP (XRP). He also plans to sign an executive order designating crypto as a national priority upon his return to office on January 20.
据《纽约邮报》1 月 16 日报道,特朗普正在考虑扩大潜在储备,以纳入 BTC 以外的更广泛的加密货币篮子,例如美元硬币 (USDC)、Solana (SOL) 和 XRP (XRP)。他还计划在 1 月 20 日重返办公室后签署一项行政命令,将加密货币指定为国家优先事项。
A Boost Greater than BTC ETFs
涨幅大于 BTC ETF
The establishment of a BTC reserve in the United States would accelerate the adoption of bitcoin even more than the launch of ETFs in January 2024. “We believe that the Bitcoin Adoption Act in the United States would have a deeper long-term impact on Bitcoin than the launch of ETFs,” a researcher from CoinShares recently stated.
在美国建立比特币储备将比 2024 年 1 月推出 ETF 更快地加速比特币的采用。“我们相信,美国的比特币采用法案将对比特币产生比CoinShares 的一位研究员最近表示:“ETF 的推出。”
The betting markets thus reflect growing optimism about the future of BTC under the Trump administration. Despite crypto not helping Trump win the election, investors still hope for favorable cryptocurrency policies. This could transform the global financial landscape.
因此,博彩市场反映出人们对特朗普政府领导下的比特币未来日益乐观。尽管加密货币并没有帮助特朗普赢得大选,但投资者仍然希望看到有利的加密货币政策。这可能会改变全球金融格局。
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