彼得·希夫（Peter Schiff）警告說，如果納斯達克（Nasdaq

比特幣無法打破84,000美元的阻力水平，引發了市場分析師的新問題。作為美國股市證人

The inability of Bitcoin (BTC) to break through the $84,000 resistance level has sparked fresh concerns among market analysts, especially with the U.S. stock market now showing signs of a sharp correction. As the market mood turns risk-averse, Peter Schiff, a staunch critic of Bitcoin, is warning that if the Nasdaq plunges into a bear market, BTC can be dragged down to $20,000.

比特幣（BTC）無法突破84,000美元的電阻水平，引發了市場分析師的新問題，尤其是在美國股票市場現在顯示出急劇糾正的跡象。隨著市場情緒的規避風險，比特幣的堅定批評家彼得·希夫（Peter Schiff）警告說，如果納斯達克島陷入熊市，BTC可以拖到20,000美元。

Schiff’s prediction is based on his observation of a historical trend—for every 12% drop in the Nasdaq, Bitcoin tends to decline twice as much. With the Nasdaq already falling by 12% over the past few weeks, and the potential for a 20% decline in the index, Schiff says this could bring BTC’s price to $65,000.

席夫的預測是基於他對歷史趨勢的觀察 - 對於納斯達克的每12％下降，比特幣往往下降了兩倍。在過去的幾周中，納斯達克已經下降了12％，而指數下降了20％，Schiff表示，這可能會使BTC的價格提高到65,000美元。

However, Schiff further notes that past bear markets for the Nasdaq have seen far steeper drops. The Dot-com bubble saw the index crash by nearly 80%, the 2008 financial crisis saw a 55% decline, and the 2020 COVID crash resulted in a 30% fall.

但是，席夫進一步指出，納斯達克過去的熊市已經下降得多。互聯網泡沫的指數崩潰近80％，2008年的金融危機下降了55％，而2020年的Covid崩潰導致30％下降。

A full-fledged bear market for the Nasdaq would be a 40% drop, which Schiff claims can trigger Bitcoin’s fall to $20,000. “A bear market in the NASDAQ would accelerate #Bitcoin’s collapse to much lower levels,” Schiff stated in a recent tweet.

納斯達克的成熟熊市將下降40％，Schiff聲稱這可以觸發比特幣的跌至20,000美元。席夫在最近的一條推文中說：“納斯達克的熊市市場將加速＃比特幣的崩潰到更低的水平。”

His predictions are also integrating concerns about Bitcoin’s vulnerability in a risk-off market environment. As the market mood turns sour, investors might prefer safer assets like gold over risky cryptocurrencies.

他的預測還在整合了對比特幣在風險市場環境中的脆弱性的擔憂。隨著市場情緒變酸，投資者可能更喜歡像黃金這樣的更安全的資產，而不是風險的加密貨幣。

"The NASDAQ is down 12%. If this correction turns out to be a bear market, and the correlation where a 12% decline in the NASDAQ equates to a 24% decline in Bitcoin holds, when the NASDAQ is down 20%, Bitcoin will be about $65K.But if the NASDAQ goes into a bear market, history shows that the declines tend to be far steeper than that. The last time the NASDAQ went into a bear market, during the dot-com bubble, it fell by nearly 80%. In 2008, it dropped 55% and in 2020 it fell by 30%. A 40% decline would bring the NASDAQ to 8,000 and potentially Bitcoin to $20,000."

“納斯達克股份下降了12％。如果這種更正是熊市的，而納斯達克的相關性下降了12％，則相當於比特幣的下降24％，而納斯達克幣則下降了20％，比特幣將比納斯達克（Nasdaq）往前差一點，而距離較陡的是，比特幣將降至65k。在熊市泡沫期間，它在2008年下降了近80％，在2020年下降了30％。

Gold Surges As Bitcoin Falters

比特幣步履蹣跚的黃金飆升

While Bitcoin has been struggling, the yellow metal has moved in the opposite direction. Gold prices have risen 13% since the Nasdaq topped on December 16, 2023, reinforcing its safe-haven reputation.

雖然比特幣一直在掙扎，但黃色金屬朝相反的方向移動。自納斯達克（NASDAQ）於2023年12月16日上升以來，黃金價格上漲了13％，增強了其安全的聲譽。

If the Nasdaq falls 40%, then gold can rise as high as $3,800 per ounce, asserts Schiff. If this plays out, Bitcoin priced in gold could lose 85%, further undermining its reputation as “digital gold.”

斯基夫（Schiff）斷言，如果納斯達克島下跌40％，那麼黃金可以每盎司高達3,800美元。如果這樣做的話，以黃金為單位的比特幣可能會損失85％，進一步破壞其作為“數字黃金”的聲譽。

The inverse relationship between BTC and gold has become increasingly evident. As investors seek stability from market volatility, they're piling into gold, while the cryptocurrency remains highly susceptible to broader market moves.

BTC和黃金之間的逆關係變得越來越明顯。隨著投資者從市場波動中尋求穩定，他們正在堆積成黃金，而加密貨幣仍然很容易受到更廣泛的市場轉變。

Schiff believes this divergence can deter governments and institutional investors from holding BTC in reserves, ultimately limiting its long-term adoption.

席夫認為，這種差異可以阻止政府和機構投資者在儲備金中持有BTC，最終限制了其長期採用。

Schiff's bearish forecast is shared by Bloomberg analyst Mike McGlone, who recently went even further in saying that Bitcoin could drop to $10,000. Such warnings are fueling investor anxiety, especially with daily trading volumes surging ahead of the Federal Reserve's decision on policy.

布伯格分析師邁克·麥格隆（Mike McGlone）分享了席夫（Schiff）的看跌預測，他最近進一步說，比特幣可以降至10,000美元。這樣的警告激發了投資者的焦慮，尤其是在美聯儲對政策決定之前的日常交易量增加。

Bitcoin Faces Selling Pressure

比特幣面孔賣壓力

Adding to its difficulties, Peter Schiff has warned that the mounting selling pressure could cause some big institutional holders to land in financial distress.

彼得·席夫（Peter Schiff）除此之外，還警告說，銷售壓力不斷增加，可能會導致一些大型機構持有人陷入財務困境。

MicroStrategy (NASDAQ:), a company that has heavily invested in BTC, was singled out by Schiff in particular. With the cryptocurrency's price now below $84,000, Schiff argued that it would be “impossible for $MSTR to sell enough Bitcoin to avoid bankruptcy,” if prices tanked further.

MicroStrategy（NASDAQ :)，這是一家大量投資BTC的公司，特別是Schiff。由於價格進一步漲幅，席夫（Schiff）目前以低於84,000美元的價格的加密貨幣價格低於84,000美元，因此“不可能出售足夠的比特幣來避免破產。”

Despite the bearish outlook, the Bitcoin price has remained fairly stable over the weekend. It is now trading at $83,039, losing 1.40% over the past 24 hours. The daily trading volume, however, is up 87% at $23.94 billion.

儘管看跌前景，但比特幣價格在周末仍然相當穩定。現在的交易價格為83,039美元，在過去24小時內損失1.40％。但是，每日交易量增長了87％，至239.4億美元。

On the other hand, MicroStrategy co-founder Michael Saylor continues to defend Bitcoin, calling it more than just an asset. It is, he says, a decentralized financial network that can ultimately serve to secure the U.S. economy in the digital age.

另一方面，Microstrategy聯合創始人Michael Saylor繼續為比特幣辯護，而不僅僅是資產。他說，這是一個分散的金融網絡，最終可以在數字時代確保美國經濟。

Moreover, in a significant policy move, U.S. President Donald Trump has signed an Executive Order to establish a Strategic Bitcoin Reserve. This follows reports that the administration is planning to seize $50 billion in assets from the country's enemies,

此外，在一項重大政策舉動中，美國總統唐納德·特朗普（Donald Trump）簽署了一項行政命令，以建立戰略性比特幣儲備。這是在報導說，政府計劃從該國的敵人那里奪取500億美元的資產，