彼得·希夫（Peter Schiff）警告说，如果纳斯达克（Nasdaq

比特币无法打破84,000美元的阻力水平，引发了市场分析师的新问题。作为美国股市证人

The inability of Bitcoin (BTC) to break through the $84,000 resistance level has sparked fresh concerns among market analysts, especially with the U.S. stock market now showing signs of a sharp correction. As the market mood turns risk-averse, Peter Schiff, a staunch critic of Bitcoin, is warning that if the Nasdaq plunges into a bear market, BTC can be dragged down to $20,000.

比特币（BTC）无法突破84,000美元的电阻水平，引发了市场分析师的新问题，尤其是在美国股票市场现在显示出急剧纠正的迹象。随着市场情绪的规避风险，比特币的坚定批评家彼得·希夫（Peter Schiff）警告说，如果纳斯达克岛陷入熊市，BTC可以拖到20,000美元。

Schiff’s prediction is based on his observation of a historical trend—for every 12% drop in the Nasdaq, Bitcoin tends to decline twice as much. With the Nasdaq already falling by 12% over the past few weeks, and the potential for a 20% decline in the index, Schiff says this could bring BTC’s price to $65,000.

席夫的预测是基于他对历史趋势的观察 - 对于纳斯达克的每12％下降，比特币往往下降了两倍。在过去的几周中，纳斯达克已经下降了12％，而指数下降了20％，Schiff表示，这可能会使BTC的价格提高到65,000美元。

However, Schiff further notes that past bear markets for the Nasdaq have seen far steeper drops. The Dot-com bubble saw the index crash by nearly 80%, the 2008 financial crisis saw a 55% decline, and the 2020 COVID crash resulted in a 30% fall.

但是，席夫进一步指出，纳斯达克过去的熊市已经下降得多。互联网泡沫的指数崩溃近80％，2008年的金融危机下降了55％，而2020年的Covid崩溃导致30％下降。

A full-fledged bear market for the Nasdaq would be a 40% drop, which Schiff claims can trigger Bitcoin’s fall to $20,000. “A bear market in the NASDAQ would accelerate #Bitcoin’s collapse to much lower levels,” Schiff stated in a recent tweet.

纳斯达克的成熟熊市将下降40％，Schiff声称这可以触发比特币的跌至20,000美元。席夫在最近的一条推文中说：“纳斯达克的熊市市场将加速＃比特币的崩溃到更低的水平。”

His predictions are also integrating concerns about Bitcoin’s vulnerability in a risk-off market environment. As the market mood turns sour, investors might prefer safer assets like gold over risky cryptocurrencies.

他的预测还在整合了对比特币在风险市场环境中的脆弱性的担忧。随着市场情绪变酸，投资者可能更喜欢像黄金这样的更安全的资产，而不是风险的加密货币。

"The NASDAQ is down 12%. If this correction turns out to be a bear market, and the correlation where a 12% decline in the NASDAQ equates to a 24% decline in Bitcoin holds, when the NASDAQ is down 20%, Bitcoin will be about $65K.But if the NASDAQ goes into a bear market, history shows that the declines tend to be far steeper than that. The last time the NASDAQ went into a bear market, during the dot-com bubble, it fell by nearly 80%. In 2008, it dropped 55% and in 2020 it fell by 30%. A 40% decline would bring the NASDAQ to 8,000 and potentially Bitcoin to $20,000."

“纳斯达克股份下降了12％。如果这种更正是熊市的，而纳斯达克的相关性下降了12％，则相当于比特币的下降24％，而纳斯达克币则下降了20％，比特币将比纳斯达克（Nasdaq）往前差一点，而距离较陡的是，比特币将降至65k。在熊市泡沫期间，它在2008年下降了近80％，在2020年下降了30％。

Gold Surges As Bitcoin Falters

比特币步履蹒跚的黄金飙升

While Bitcoin has been struggling, the yellow metal has moved in the opposite direction. Gold prices have risen 13% since the Nasdaq topped on December 16, 2023, reinforcing its safe-haven reputation.

虽然比特币一直在挣扎，但黄色金属朝相反的方向移动。自纳斯达克（NASDAQ）于2023年12月16日上升以来，黄金价格上涨了13％，增强了其安全的声誉。

If the Nasdaq falls 40%, then gold can rise as high as $3,800 per ounce, asserts Schiff. If this plays out, Bitcoin priced in gold could lose 85%, further undermining its reputation as “digital gold.”

斯基夫（Schiff）断言，如果纳斯达克岛下跌40％，那么黄金可以每盎司高达3,800美元。如果这样做的话，以黄金为单位的比特币可能会损失85％，进一步破坏其作为“数字黄金”的声誉。

The inverse relationship between BTC and gold has become increasingly evident. As investors seek stability from market volatility, they're piling into gold, while the cryptocurrency remains highly susceptible to broader market moves.

BTC和黄金之间的逆关系变得越来越明显。随着投资者从市场波动中寻求稳定，他们正在堆积成黄金，而加密货币仍然很容易受到更广泛的市场转变。

Schiff believes this divergence can deter governments and institutional investors from holding BTC in reserves, ultimately limiting its long-term adoption.

席夫认为，这种差异可以阻止政府和机构投资者在储备金中持有BTC，最终限制了其长期采用。

Schiff's bearish forecast is shared by Bloomberg analyst Mike McGlone, who recently went even further in saying that Bitcoin could drop to $10,000. Such warnings are fueling investor anxiety, especially with daily trading volumes surging ahead of the Federal Reserve's decision on policy.

布伯格分析师迈克·麦格隆（Mike McGlone）分享了席夫（Schiff）的看跌预测，他最近进一步说，比特币可以降至10,000美元。这样的警告激发了投资者的焦虑，尤其是在美联储对政策决定之前的日常交易量增加。

Bitcoin Faces Selling Pressure

比特币面孔卖压力

Adding to its difficulties, Peter Schiff has warned that the mounting selling pressure could cause some big institutional holders to land in financial distress.

彼得·席夫（Peter Schiff）除此之外，还警告说，销售压力不断增加，可能会导致一些大型机构持有人陷入财务困境。

MicroStrategy (NASDAQ:), a company that has heavily invested in BTC, was singled out by Schiff in particular. With the cryptocurrency's price now below $84,000, Schiff argued that it would be “impossible for $MSTR to sell enough Bitcoin to avoid bankruptcy,” if prices tanked further.

MicroStrategy（NASDAQ :)，这是一家大量投资BTC的公司，特别是Schiff。由于价格进一步涨幅，席夫（Schiff）目前以低于84,000美元的价格的加密货币价格低于84,000美元，因此“不可能出售足够的比特币来避免破产。”

Despite the bearish outlook, the Bitcoin price has remained fairly stable over the weekend. It is now trading at $83,039, losing 1.40% over the past 24 hours. The daily trading volume, however, is up 87% at $23.94 billion.

尽管看跌前景，但比特币价格在周末仍然相当稳定。现在的交易价格为83,039美元，在过去24小时内损失1.40％。但是，每日交易量增长了87％，至239.4亿美元。

On the other hand, MicroStrategy co-founder Michael Saylor continues to defend Bitcoin, calling it more than just an asset. It is, he says, a decentralized financial network that can ultimately serve to secure the U.S. economy in the digital age.

另一方面，Microstrategy联合创始人Michael Saylor继续为比特币辩护，而不仅仅是资产。他说，这是一个分散的金融网络，最终可以在数字时代确保美国经济。

Moreover, in a significant policy move, U.S. President Donald Trump has signed an Executive Order to establish a Strategic Bitcoin Reserve. This follows reports that the administration is planning to seize $50 billion in assets from the country's enemies,

此外，在一项重大政策举动中，美国总统唐纳德·特朗普（Donald Trump）签署了一项行政命令，以建立战略性比特币储备。这是在报道说，政府计划从该国的敌人那里夺取500亿美元的资产，