根据宏观古鲁·林恩·奥尔登（Macro-Guru Lyn Alden）的说法，比特币（BTC）需要到2025年底上涨至100,000美元

尽管宏观古鲁·林恩·奥尔登（Lyn Alden）预计比特币将在2025年结束时高于目前的85,000美元，但如果没有特朗普的贸易战争，她将会进一步发展。

Macro-Guru Lyn Alden expects Bitcoin to end year 2025 higher than the current rate of $ 85,000. However, she would, according to her own words, be a lot further without Trump’s trade war. “For all the import duties para, I had a much higher courage,” said Lyn Alden in conversation with Natalie Brunell for Coin Stories.

宏观古鲁·林恩·奥尔登（Lyn Alden）预计比特币将于2025年结束高于目前的85,000美元。但是，根据她自己的话，如果没有特朗普的贸易战争，她会进一步。林恩·奥尔登（Lyn Alden）在与娜塔莉·布鲁内尔（Natalie Brunell）的交谈中谈到硬币故事时说：“尽管如此，我还是有更高的勇气。”

This brand new interview with @LynAldenContact can be described as nothing short of a masterclass on the U.S. dollar’s global reserve currency status: the tradeoffs, trade deficits, and USD hegemony’s impact on the working class.

对@lynaldencontact的这一全新采访可以描述为对美元全球储备货币状况的大师班：权衡，贸易赤字和美元霸权对工人阶级的影响。

Is Trump closing the window on USTs as primary…pic.twitter.com/fXjCqkUUNq

特朗普是将USTS上的窗户关闭为主要... pic.twitter.com/fxjcqkuunq

— Natalie Brunell ⚡️ (@Natbrunell) April 17, 2025

- 娜塔莉·布鲁内尔（Natalie Brunell）⚡️（@natbrunell）2025年4月17日

Bitcoin needs this to rise

比特币需要升起

In conversation with Brunell, Alden also indicates what she thinks Bitcoin needs to start rising again.

在与布鲁内尔的对话中，奥尔登还指出了她认为比特币需要再次上升的内容。

A possible catalyst for Bitcoin would be a “gigantic liquidity explosion”. As an example for this, she mentions the breaking of the American bond market, so that the central bank should jump in with support.

比特币可能的催化剂将是“巨大的流动性爆炸”。为此，她提到了美国债券市场的破坏，以便中央银行应支持。

Although Alden sees a good chance for a Bitcoin course of $ 100,000 at the end of the year, the digital currency will, according to her, suffer from days on which the entire financial market is falling.

尽管奥尔登（Alden）在年底时看到了一个比特币课程100,000美元的好机会，但根据她的说法，数字货币将遭受整个金融市场下降的日子。

“Because Bitcoin acts 24/7, people will worry about the opening on Monday. Some capital pools can sell their bitcoin on Sundays and prepare themselves,” said Alden.

奥尔登说：“由于比特币行为24/7，人们会担心周一的开业。一些资本池可以在周日出售其比特币并准备自己。”

Bitcoin can release itself

比特币可以释放

Despite the fact that Alden sees dangers for Bitcoin, the digital currency can also detach itself. For example from the American Nasdaq 100 (the Tech Fair).

尽管奥尔登（Alden）看到比特币的危险，但数字货币也可以自身分离。例如，来自美国纳斯达克100（The Tech Fair）。

Especially if there is a situation in which Nasdaq companies are more difficult to realize, while global liquidity is still present in full abundance.

尤其是如果存在纳斯达克公司更难实现的情况，而全球流动性仍然充分出现。

As an example, Alden points to a potential repetition of the five years in the run up to the global financial crisis of 2008. According to Alden, something like that could be in favor of Bitcoin.

例如，奥尔登（Alden）指出，直到2008年全球金融危机的五年中，潜在的重复。

In the period from 2003-2007 we saw a weaker US dollar, and although there was no massive exodus of capital in the United States, we did see capital flows towards emerging economies, raw materials, gold and other assets.

在2003年至2007年的那个时期，我们看到了一美元弱，尽管在美国没有大规模的资本外流，但我们确实看到了朝着新兴经济体，原材料，黄金和其他资产流向资本。

American shares were less hot at that time.

当时的美国股票不那么热。

“If we have again entered such a period of five years, it would be a period in which bitcoin is doing well. Even if the US stock market performs less,” said a optimistic Alden.

一位乐观的奥尔登说：“如果我们再次进入了五年的时间，那将是比特币表现良好的时期。即使美国股市的表现较低。”