比特幣價格預測：PCE 通膨數據令人失望後，BTC 反彈至 10 萬美元——下一步是什麼？

個人消費支出 (PCE) 指數的最新通膨數據顯示 11 月漲幅低於預期的 2.4%，略低於 2.5% 的預期，比特幣價格已經反彈，攀升至每比特幣 10 萬美元的位置。的經濟學家。

The bitcoin price has crashed back following its huge rally this year, with the bitcoin price dropping toward $90,000 and dragging down the rest of the crypto market.

比特幣價格在今年大幅上漲後已經回落，跌至 9 萬美元，拖累了加密貨幣市場的其他部分。

Bitcoin's drop of around 10% in the last 24 hours was dwarfed by ethereum and smaller, top ten cryptocurrencies—including solana and dogecoin—that crashed back by between 15% and 25%.

比特幣在過去 24 小時內下跌了約 10%，與以太坊和較小的十大加密貨幣（包括 solana 和狗狗幣）相比相形見絀，後者的跌幅在 15% 至 25% 之間。

Bitcoin has fallen sharply, dropping along with stock markets after the Federal Reserve warned inflation remained sticky and BlackRock (BLK) spooked the market.

在聯準會警告通膨依然高企以及貝萊德（BLK）令市場恐慌後，比特幣大幅下跌，與股市一起下跌。

The bitcoin price has plummeted toward $90,000 per bitcoin, dragging the wider crypto market lower and wiping away around $500 billion worth of value from the $3.2 trillion crypto market.

比特幣價格已暴跌至每枚 9 萬美元，拖累更廣泛的加密市場走低，並從 3.2 兆美元的加密市場中抹去約 5,000 億美元的價值。

This week, Federal Reserve chair Jerome Powell disappointed traders when he warned interest rates would not come down as quickly as the Fed had previously thought, reducing its planned number of cuts to just two in 2025, from four previously.

本週，聯準會主席鮑威爾警告稱，利率不會像聯準會之前想像的那麼快下降，他將 2025 年計劃的降息次數從之前的四次減少到了兩次，令交易員感到失望。

Bitcoin's huge 2024 rally was sparked by the U.S. Federal Reserve beginning to cut interest rates, an about-turn in monetary policy that sparked a huge stock market and crypto market rally.

比特幣 2024 年的大幅上漲是由聯準會開始降息引發的，貨幣政策的轉變引發了股市和加密貨幣市場的大幅上漲。

But Powell's comments sparked a sell-off in stocks and crypto, with the bitcoin price falling sharply from around $110,000 per bitcoin at the start of the week to trade within touching distance of $90,000 per bitcoin on Friday.

但鮑威爾的言論引發了股票和加密貨幣的拋售，比特幣價格從周初的每比特幣 11 萬美元左右大幅下跌至週五的每比特幣 9 萬美元。

Bitcoin's drop was mirrored by other major cryptocurrencies, including ethereum, which crashed back to around $2,000 per ether, down from around $2,500 at the start of the week.

比特幣的下跌也反映在其他主要加密貨幣上，包括以太坊，其價格從本周初的 2,500 美元左右跌至 2,000 美元左右。

Smaller, top ten cryptocurrencies crashed even further, with solana dropping below $40 and dogecoin falling back to around $0.13.

規模較小的十大加密貨幣跌幅更大，solana 跌破 40 美元，狗狗幣回落至 0.13 美元左右。

The bitcoin price and crypto market sell-off came as the U.S. Federal Reserve raised its personal consumption expenditure (PCE) inflation target to 2.4% for November, slightly lower than the 2.5% estimate of economists polled by Reuters.

比特幣價格和加密貨幣市場遭遇拋售之際，聯準會將 11 月個人消費支出 (PCE) 通膨目標提高至 2.4%，略低於路透社調查的經濟學家預期的 2.5%。

The bitcoin price bounced back on Friday, climbing to within touching distance of $100,000 per bitcoin after the latest inflation data showed a smaller than expected rise.

在最新的通膨數據顯示漲幅小於預期後，比特幣價格週五反彈，升至每比特幣 10 萬美元附近。

Other major cryptocurrencies that had crashed lower, including ethereum, Ripple's XRP and dogecoin, also rebounded, with the combined market recovering around $300 billion of value as traders increase their bets on Federal Reserve interest rate cuts next year.

其他暴跌的主要加密貨幣，包括以太坊、Ripple 的 XRP 和狗狗幣也出現反彈，隨著交易員加大對聯準會明年降息的押注，整個市場價值恢復了約 3000 億美元。

Meanwhile, Cathie Wood, the founder of the Ark Investment Management hedge fund, reiterated her bullish bitcoin price prediction in a Bloomberg interview, forecasting that the bitcoin price will top $1 million by 2030—something that would give bitcoin a market capitalization of around $20 trillion.

同時，Ark Investment Management 對沖基金創始人Cathie Wood 在接受彭博社採訪時重申了她對比特幣價格的看漲預測，預計到2030 年，比特幣價格將突破100 萬美元，這將使比特幣的市值達到約20 兆美元。

"Bitcoin is becoming even more scarce than gold," Wood said. "The difference between gold and bitcoin is, when the gold price goes up, as it has, production goes up, the rate of increase in the supply goes up—that can not happen with bitcoin."

「比特幣正變得比黃金更加稀缺，」伍德說。 “黃金和比特幣之間的區別在於，當黃金價格上漲時，產量就會增加，供應量的增長率就會上升，而比特幣則不會發生這種情況。”

Over the next few weeks, bitcoin and crypto market watchers expect the bitcoin price to remain prone to wild swings.

在接下來的幾週內，比特幣和加密貨幣市場觀察家預計比特幣價格仍將出現劇烈波動。

"In terms of what is coming over the holiday period, the first rule of bitcoin is that it is always volatile in the same way water is always wet," James Toledano, chief operating officer at Unity Wallet, said in emailed comments.

Unity Wallet 營運長 James Toledano 在電子郵件評論中表示：「就假期期間的情況而言，比特幣的首要規則是它總是不穩定，就像水總是濕的一樣。

"It’s behavior is always mixed and there is zero discernible pattern at the end of the year and going into the next. Sometimes the price rises in the new year and at other times it falls. So, historically, we can say that bitcoin exhibits typically mixed behavior over Christmas and New Year," Toledano added, pointing to incoming U.S. president Donald Trump's January 20 inauguration as an important date to watch for the bitcoin and crypto market.

「它的行為總是很複雜，在年底和進入下一年時，有零可辨別的模式。有時價格在新的一年上漲，有時價格下跌。因此，從歷史上看，我們可以說比特幣表現出典型的表現聖誕節和新年期間的行為參差不齊，」托萊達諾補充道，他指出即將上任的美國總統唐納德·特朗普1 月20 日就職典禮是關注比特幣和加密貨幣市場的重要日期。

"Comments from the Federal Reserve were a wake-up call," Danni Hewson, AJ Bell's head of financial analysis, said in emailed comments.

「聯準會的言論敲響了警鐘，」AJ Bell 財務分析主管丹尼·休森 (Danni Hewson) 在電子郵件評論中表示。

"Inflation is proving sticky and tax cuts and tariffs could be a recipe for reflation. "Risk appetite has been pared back. Trump 2.0 is a known unknown and no one wants to be overexposed if the climate proves inhospitable."

「通貨膨脹被證明是黏性的，減稅和關稅可能是通貨再膨脹的良方。」風險偏好已經減弱。川普2.0是一個眾所周知的未知數，如果事實證明氣候不適宜，沒有人願意過度暴露。