比特幣價格將出現異常波動，會飆升還是崩盤？

市場熱切等待定於本月召開的聯邦公開市場委員會（FOMC）會議。 10x Research 研究總監 Markus Thielen 表示，這次會議應該會引發比特幣價格的重大突破。

Anticipation builds as the price of bitcoin appears poised for an exceptional movement, sparking speculations about whether it will soar or collapse. Analysts are preparing for a potential breakout, while investors eagerly await the outcome.

隨著比特幣價格似乎即將出現異常波動，人們的預期不斷增強，引發了人們對其是否會飆升或崩潰的猜測。分析師正在為潛在的突破做準備，而投資者則熱切等待結果。

The upcoming January FOMC meeting is being closely watched by the market. According to Markus Thielen, research director at 10x Research, this meeting could trigger a significant price breakout on bitcoin. Chart signals indicate a "contracting triangle," suggesting a strong price move is on the horizon.

即將召開的1月FOMC會議受到市場密切關注。 10x Research 研究總監 Markus Thielen 表示，這次會議可能會引發比特幣價格的重大突破。圖表訊號顯示“收縮三角形”，表示價格即將出現強勁走勢。

This technical formation points to two possible scenarios. If inflation comes in lower than expected, it could propel bitcoin to new heights, breaking above its current psychological barrier.

這種技術形態指出了兩種可能的情況。如果通膨低於預期，可能會將比特幣推向新的高度，突破目前的心理障礙。

Investors are largely anticipating a potential easing of the Federal Reserve's monetary policy stance, which would be favorable to risk assets such as cryptocurrencies. However, the Fed's stance on the matter remains uncertain.

投資者很大程度上預計聯準會可能放鬆貨幣政策立場，這將有利於加密貨幣等風險資產。然而，聯準會對此事的立場仍不確定。

On the other hand, the Fed has maintained a "belligerent" tone in its recent statements. In its previous announcement, it signaled that there would be fewer rate cuts in 2025 than initially anticipated.

另一方面，聯準會在近期的聲明中一直保持著「好戰」的語氣。在先前的公告中，它暗示2025年的降息幅度將比最初預期的要少。

If the meeting confirms this stance, it could lead to profit-taking and a downturn in bitcoin. As a result, all eyes are on the FOMC, which is expected to dictate the short-term trend of bitcoin.

如果會議確認了這一立場，可能會導致獲利了結和比特幣下跌。因此，所有人的目光都集中在聯邦公開市場委員會(FOMC)上，預計它將決定比特幣的短期趨勢。

Some observers are exercising caution as we approach Donald Trump's inauguration, with past experiences indicating that political instability can hinder bitcoin's momentum, even leading to a period of consolidation.

在唐納德·川普就職典禮臨近之際，一些觀察家保持謹慎態度，過去的經驗表明，政治不穩定可能會阻礙比特幣的發展勢頭，甚至導致一段時間的盤整。

Thielen suggests that crypto could stagnate until mid-March, awaiting a more stable economic climate.

Thielen 表示，加密貨幣可能會停滯到 3 月中旬，等待更穩定的經濟環境。

However, others point out that bitcoin has consistently defied predictions, with analyst Lark Davis comparing the current market to the period leading up to the last presidential election.

然而，其他人指出，比特幣一直違背預測，分析師 Lark Davis 將當前市場與上次總統選舉前的時期進行了比較。

At the time, a dip towards the $30,000 mark was followed by a dramatic surge to $55,000 soon after the inauguration.

當時，價格跌至 3 萬美元大關，就職後不久又急劇飆升至 5.5 萬美元。

This optimistic scenario is enticing to investors, although history may not always repeat itself precisely. Nevertheless, crypto has a knack for surprising, and a bullish shock is still possible if macroeconomic signals align in the market's favor.

這種樂觀的情景對投資者來說很有吸引力，儘管歷史可能並不總是準確地重演。儘管如此，加密貨幣有一種令人驚訝的能力，如果宏觀經濟訊號符合市場的意願，看漲衝擊仍然是可能的。

In the coming weeks, we can expect to see a lot of attention on bitcoin, with its price movements promising to be crucial. Meanwhile, Semler Scientific is making a $23 million investment.

在未來幾週內，我們預計比特幣將受到大量關注，其價格走勢有望至關重要。與此同時，Semler Scientific 正在投資 2,300 萬美元。

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Evariste has been fascinated by bitcoin since 2017, and his interest in the subject has only grown over the years. Initially drawn to trading, he now actively seeks to understand all aspects of cryptocurrency. As a writer, Evariste endeavors to present high-quality work that reflects the state of the crypto scene at large.

Evariste 自 2017 年以來就對比特幣著迷，多年來他對這一主題的興趣有增無減。他最初對交易感興趣，現在積極尋求了解加密貨幣的各個方面。作為一名作家，Evariste 致力於呈現反映整個加密貨幣場景現狀的高品質作品。