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比特幣不僅是另一個加密貨幣,而且是市場的脈動。現在,它是在告訴我們NFT的下一步將要發生的事情。
Bitcoin isn’t just another crypto—it’s the market’s pulse. And right now, it’s telling us exactly what’s coming next for NFTs. When Bitcoin sneezes, the NFT market catches a cold—and the correlation isn’t just noticeable, it’s borderline predictive.
比特幣不僅是另一個加密貨幣,而且是市場的脈動。現在,它是在告訴我們NFT的下一步將要發生的事情。當比特幣打噴嚏時,NFT市場會感到感冒 - 相關性不僅引人注目,而且是邊界的預測性。
While NFT traders are used to rapid price swings, there’s one indicator that keeps reappearing whenever the NFT market experiences a broad shift in volume, liquidity, and volatility. And it’s not the Shiller P/E ratio or the VIX. It’s good, old-fashioned Bitcoin.
儘管NFT交易者被用來快速價格波動,但每當NFT市場經歷眾多的數量,流動性和波動性發生廣泛的變化時,就有一個指標會不斷出現。這不是Shiller P/E比率或VIX。這是很好的老式比特幣。
Those who collect or trade NFTs will usually keep an eye on the latest price action in BTC and 24-hour change indicators on exchanges, which provides real-time data and historical charts that many use to get a better sense of macro trends before they impact floor prices.
那些收集或貿易NFT的人通常會密切關注BTC和交易所的24小時變更指標的最新價格動作,這些數據提供了實時數據和歷史圖表,許多人在影響地面價格之前使用這些圖表可以更好地了解宏觀趨勢。
In early 2021, Bitcoin surged past $40,000 to hit new all-time highs—bringing millions of new eyes to crypto—right as NFTs began to make headlines.
在2021年初,比特幣飆升了40,000美元,達到了新的歷史最高高點,即使NFTS開始成為頭條新聞。
Within a few short weeks, Beeple’s Everydays sold for $69 million at Christie’s, kicking off a mainstream NFT explosion. By late 2021, Bitcoin climbed to nearly $64,000, and collections like Bored Ape Yacht Club, Art Blocks, and Cool Cats hit record valuations.
在短短的幾週內,蜂鳴器的每日日在克里斯蒂(Christie's)的售價為6900萬美元,開始了主流的NFT爆炸。到2021年底,比特幣攀升至近64,000美元,無聊的猿遊艇俱樂部,藝術街區和酷貓等收藏品都達到了創紀錄的估值。
Of course, the opposite proved equally dramatic. In mid-2022, Bitcoin slipped below $20,000 as part of a steeper crypto winter. The result? NFT volumes collapsed. According to NonFungible.com, NFT sales volume in June dropped more than 75% compared to January that year.
當然,相反的事實證明了同樣的戲劇性。在2022年中,作為陡峭的加密冬季的一部分,比特幣在20,000美元以下下滑。結果? NFT量崩潰了。根據Nonfungible.com的數據,與當年1月相比,6月份的NFT銷量下降了75%以上。
This kind of contraction doesn’t happen in isolation—it mirrors the flow of capital, confidence, and liquidity throughout the entire crypto sector.
這種收縮並非孤立地發生 - 它反映了整個加密貨幣部門的資本,信心和流動性的流動。
Why do Bitcoin price movements matter to NFT traders?
為什麼比特幣價格變動對NFT交易者很重要?
Those who trade NFTs are usually quick to spot the stirrings of a bullish or bearish market. But cutting through the noise and identifying sustained trends takes time—especially in a market known for its memecoins, surprise rugpulls, and rapid reversals.
那些交易NFT的人通常很快就會發現看漲或看跌市場的攪動。但是,弄清噪音並確定持續的趨勢需要時間,尤其是在以其成員,驚喜搖滾和快速逆轉而聞名的市場中。
Those interested in learning more about how to gauge market sentiment can use tools like the Fear and Greed Index, which helps decode what investors are feeling in response to volatility.
那些有興趣了解如何評估市場情緒的人感興趣的人可以使用恐懼和貪婪指數等工具,這有助於解釋投資者對波動性的感覺。
And for NFT traders, those emotional shifts usually appear first in Bitcoin’s price chart. Whether it’s creeping upward in the background or spiking during a bullish breakout, the world’s largest cryptocurrency often serves as a broad indicator of what’s coming next.
對於NFT交易者而言,這些情感轉變通常首先出現在比特幣的價格圖中。無論是在背景中向上爬行還是在看漲的突破期間尖峰,世界上最大的加密貨幣通常都可以作為接下來會發生的事情的廣泛指標。
Meanwhile, builders and investors focused on web3 gaming or metaverse developments have also started to align their strategies with macro crypto cycles. The thinking goes that if Bitcoin is bullish, then broader crypto liquidity will increase—which, in turn, flows into new projects, partnerships, and capital raising.
同時,專注於Web3遊戲或元開發發展的建築商和投資者也已經開始將其策略與宏加密循環保持一致。這種想法是,如果比特幣是看好的,那麼更廣泛的加密流動性將會增加,這反過來又流入了新的項目,夥伴關係和資本籌集。
It’s a round-about way to connect the dots, but if you follow the broader cycles of crypto markets, it becomes clear that new all-time highs in Bitcoin tend to unlock new stages of growth in the NFT sector.
這是連接點的圓形方法,但是如果您遵循更廣泛的加密市場週期,很明顯,比特幣的新歷史最高點傾向於解鎖NFT行業的新增長階段。
From mint success to project visibility, a lot depends, in part, on how well the broader crypto environment is performing. But ultimately, the smart money isn’t just watching NFT listings—they’re watching the charts. If you want to stay ahead in this market, start with the signals that move everything else. And more often than not, that signal is Bitcoin.
從薄荷成功到項目可見性,很大程度上取決於更廣泛的加密環境的表現。但是最終,聰明的錢不僅僅是看NFT列表,而且還在看圖表。如果您想在這個市場上保持領先地位,請從移動其他所有內容的信號開始。而且通常,該信號是比特幣。
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