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比特币不仅是另一个加密货币,而且是市场的脉动。现在,它是在告诉我们NFT的下一步将要发生的事情。
Bitcoin isn’t just another crypto—it’s the market’s pulse. And right now, it’s telling us exactly what’s coming next for NFTs. When Bitcoin sneezes, the NFT market catches a cold—and the correlation isn’t just noticeable, it’s borderline predictive.
比特币不仅是另一个加密货币,而且是市场的脉动。现在,它是在告诉我们NFT的下一步将要发生的事情。当比特币打喷嚏时,NFT市场会感到感冒 - 相关性不仅引人注目,而且是边界的预测性。
While NFT traders are used to rapid price swings, there’s one indicator that keeps reappearing whenever the NFT market experiences a broad shift in volume, liquidity, and volatility. And it’s not the Shiller P/E ratio or the VIX. It’s good, old-fashioned Bitcoin.
尽管NFT交易者被用来快速价格波动,但每当NFT市场经历众多的数量,流动性和波动性发生广泛的变化时,就有一个指标会不断出现。这不是Shiller P/E比率或VIX。这是很好的老式比特币。
Those who collect or trade NFTs will usually keep an eye on the latest price action in BTC and 24-hour change indicators on exchanges, which provides real-time data and historical charts that many use to get a better sense of macro trends before they impact floor prices.
那些收集或贸易NFT的人通常会密切关注BTC和交易所的24小时变更指标的最新价格动作,这些数据提供了实时数据和历史图表,许多人在影响地面价格之前使用这些图表可以更好地了解宏观趋势。
In early 2021, Bitcoin surged past $40,000 to hit new all-time highs—bringing millions of new eyes to crypto—right as NFTs began to make headlines.
在2021年初,比特币飙升了40,000美元,达到了新的历史最高高点,即使NFTS开始成为头条新闻。
Within a few short weeks, Beeple’s Everydays sold for $69 million at Christie’s, kicking off a mainstream NFT explosion. By late 2021, Bitcoin climbed to nearly $64,000, and collections like Bored Ape Yacht Club, Art Blocks, and Cool Cats hit record valuations.
在短短的几周内,蜂鸣器的每日日在克里斯蒂(Christie's)的售价为6900万美元,开始了主流的NFT爆炸。到2021年底,比特币攀升至近64,000美元,无聊的猿游艇俱乐部,艺术街区和酷猫等收藏品都达到了创纪录的估值。
Of course, the opposite proved equally dramatic. In mid-2022, Bitcoin slipped below $20,000 as part of a steeper crypto winter. The result? NFT volumes collapsed. According to NonFungible.com, NFT sales volume in June dropped more than 75% compared to January that year.
当然,相反的事实证明了同样的戏剧性。在2022年中,作为陡峭的加密冬季的一部分,比特币在20,000美元以下下滑。结果? NFT量崩溃了。根据Nonfungible.com的数据,与当年1月相比,6月份的NFT销量下降了75%以上。
This kind of contraction doesn’t happen in isolation—it mirrors the flow of capital, confidence, and liquidity throughout the entire crypto sector.
这种收缩并非孤立地发生 - 它反映了整个加密货币部门的资本,信心和流动性的流动。
Why do Bitcoin price movements matter to NFT traders?
为什么比特币价格变动对NFT交易者很重要?
Those who trade NFTs are usually quick to spot the stirrings of a bullish or bearish market. But cutting through the noise and identifying sustained trends takes time—especially in a market known for its memecoins, surprise rugpulls, and rapid reversals.
那些交易NFT的人通常很快就会发现看涨或看跌市场的搅动。但是,弄清噪音并确定持续的趋势需要时间,尤其是在以其成员,惊喜摇滚和快速逆转而闻名的市场中。
Those interested in learning more about how to gauge market sentiment can use tools like the Fear and Greed Index, which helps decode what investors are feeling in response to volatility.
那些有兴趣了解如何评估市场情绪的人感兴趣的人可以使用恐惧和贪婪指数等工具,这有助于解释投资者对波动性的感觉。
And for NFT traders, those emotional shifts usually appear first in Bitcoin’s price chart. Whether it’s creeping upward in the background or spiking during a bullish breakout, the world’s largest cryptocurrency often serves as a broad indicator of what’s coming next.
对于NFT交易者而言,这些情感转变通常首先出现在比特币的价格图中。无论是在背景中向上爬行还是在看涨的突破期间尖峰,世界上最大的加密货币通常都可以作为接下来会发生的事情的广泛指标。
Meanwhile, builders and investors focused on web3 gaming or metaverse developments have also started to align their strategies with macro crypto cycles. The thinking goes that if Bitcoin is bullish, then broader crypto liquidity will increase—which, in turn, flows into new projects, partnerships, and capital raising.
同时,专注于Web3游戏或元开发发展的建筑商和投资者也已经开始将其策略与宏加密循环保持一致。这种想法是,如果比特币是看好的,那么更广泛的加密流动性将会增加,这反过来又流入了新的项目,伙伴关系和资本筹集。
It’s a round-about way to connect the dots, but if you follow the broader cycles of crypto markets, it becomes clear that new all-time highs in Bitcoin tend to unlock new stages of growth in the NFT sector.
这是连接点的圆形方法,但是如果您遵循更广泛的加密市场周期,很明显,比特币的新历史最高点倾向于解锁NFT行业的新增长阶段。
From mint success to project visibility, a lot depends, in part, on how well the broader crypto environment is performing. But ultimately, the smart money isn’t just watching NFT listings—they’re watching the charts. If you want to stay ahead in this market, start with the signals that move everything else. And more often than not, that signal is Bitcoin.
从薄荷成功到项目可见性,很大程度上取决于更广泛的加密环境的表现。但是最终,聪明的钱不仅仅是看NFT列表,而且还在看图表。如果您想在这个市场上保持领先地位,请从移动其他所有内容的信号开始。而且通常,该信号是比特币。
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