比特幣（BTC）價格預測：死亡交叉指標顯示可能下降到75,000美元

最近，比特幣的價格從84,000美元到86,000美元不等。最初價格上漲後，比特幣經歷了市場損失

Recently, Bitcoin's price has been ranging from $84,000 to $86,000. After an initial price increase, Bitcoin experienced market losses, currently standing at around $83,212, posing caution among market participants. As Bitcoin's price stays near crucial milestones and experts focus on a particular sign called the 'Dead Cross' will be key in determining Bitcoin's movement ahead.

最近，比特幣的價格從84,000美元到86,000美元不等。最初的價格上漲後，比特幣經歷了市場損失，目前的市場損失約為83,212美元，在市場參與者中謹慎行事。由於比特幣的價格保持在關鍵的里程碑附近，而且專家專注於一個名為“死十字”的特定標誌，這將是確定比特幣前進的關鍵。

This analysis will examine this significant signal and its implications for future market sentiment.

該分析將檢查這種重要的信號及其對未來市場情緒的影響。

What Is The 'Dead Cross' And Why Does It Matter?

什麼是“死十字”，為什麼重要？

什麼是“死十字”，為什麼重要？

When a short-term moving average (50-day) passes below a long-term moving average (200-day), this creates a Death Cross signal. Bitcoin's consolidation price behaviour has brought increased attention to this fundamental signal. When the 'Dead Cross' appears together with other relevant market indicators, it indicates that additional price drops are likely to occur.

當短期移動平均線（50天）的速度低於長期移動平均線（200天）時，這會產生死亡交叉信號。比特幣的合併價格行為引起了人們對這個基本信號的越來越多的關注。當“死十字架”與其他相關市場指標一起出現時，這表明可能會發生額外的價格下跌。

CryptoQuant QuickTake contributor Bilal Huseynov has been conducting Bitcoin market analysis based on the Dead Cross indicator. Based on current data, the signal suggests a possible Bitcoin price decline to a minimum of $75,000. On-chain metric indicators Realized Cap and Thermo Cap have crossed each other, driving the potential existence of a bearish outlook. Although the Dead Cross classically suggests a market downturn is coming, Bitcoin's long-term success indicates that a potential price decrease could be entry-level for investors with extended timelines.

CryptoQuant Quicktake貢獻者Bilal Huseynov一直在基於死亡交叉指示器進行比特幣市場分析。根據當前數據，該信號表明比特幣價格可能下跌至最低75,000美元。鏈上指標實現了帽和熱帽彼此交叉，推動了看跌前景的潛在存在。儘管《死亡十字架》在經典上表明市場衰退即將到來，但比特幣的長期成功表明，對於具有延長時間表的投資者而言，潛在的價格降低可能是入門級。

On-Chain Metrics: What The Data Tells Us About Bitcoin's Future

鏈上指標：數據告訴我們比特幣的未來

鏈上指標：數據告訴我們比特幣的未來

After ignoring the Dead Cross indicator, Bitcoin's price movement depends heavily on its collection of on-chain metrics. Through his analysis, Huseynov describes two essential measurements called Realized Cap and Thermo Cap. Realized Cap tracks Bitcoin's complete market value by recording the last transaction prices. This reveals the economic worth of Bitcoin's network. Thermo Cap monitors the measurement of net capital injection achieved through mining activities.

在忽略了死去的交叉指示器之後，比特幣的價格變動在很大程度上取決於其鏈度指標的收集。 Huseynov通過他的分析描述了兩個基本測量值，稱為已實現的帽和熱帽。實現的上限通過記錄最後交易價格來跟踪比特幣的完整市場價值。這揭示了比特幣網絡的經濟價值。 Thermo Cap監視通過採礦活動實現的淨資本注入的測量。

Another signal of a 'Dead Cross' occurs when the Thermo Cap falls under the Realized Cap. The on-chain metrics data indicates that Bitcoin has lost its upward momentum, which creates the possibility of market decline. The recent monetary indicators suggest that Bitcoin could pursue a downward path, leading to projections that its value might drop beneath the $80,000 mark. The continuing trend points to potential market instability in general.

當熱帽落在已實現的蓋子下時，就會發生“死十字”的另一個信號。鏈上的指標數據表明，比特幣失去了向上的動力，這創造了市場下降的可能性。最近的貨幣指標表明，比特幣可以追求一條向下的道路，導致預測其價值可能會下降80,000美元。持續的趨勢指向了潛在的市場不穩定。

Market Sentiment: Will Bitcoin Hold Strong Despite The Bearish Signals?

市場情緒：儘管有看跌信號，比特幣會保持強大嗎？

市場情緒：儘管有看跌信號，比特幣會保持強大嗎？

The short-term bearish indicators do not affect Bitcoin's healthier long-term position. The CryptoQuant analyst Banker, along with other analysts, observes Bitcoin's Coin Days Destroyed metric, which demonstrates that long-term asset holders refrain from selling their assets. The Bitcoin market displays strong long-term investor confidence because low activity is observed in the area containing dormant Bitcoin that has remained unspent for extended periods.

短期看跌指標不會影響比特幣更健康的長期立場。加密分析師銀行家與其他分析師一起觀察到比特幣的硬幣日摧毀了公制，這表明長期資產持有人避免出售其資產。比特幣市場表現出強烈的長期投資者信心，因為在含有休眠的比特幣的地區觀察到了低活動，該地區長期持續了不足。

Bitcoin investors continue treating it as a long-term asset because the CDD metric shows they refuse to cash out during periods of short-term market volatility. The cryptocurrency continues gaining market share globally, and experts predict Bitcoin will become more widely adopted, leading to potential growth. The Dead Cross temporarily indicates price drops, but strong long-term holder support could result in price recovery later.

比特幣投資者繼續將其視為長期資產，因為CDD指標表明他們拒絕在短期市場波動期間兌現。加密貨幣將繼續在全球範圍內獲得市場份額，專家預測比特幣將變得更廣泛地採用，從而導致潛在的增長。死亡交叉暫時表明價格下跌，但是強大的長期持有人支持可能會導致稍後的價格恢復。