比特币（BTC）价格预测：死亡交叉指标显示可能下降到75,000美元

最近，比特币的价格从84,000美元到86,000美元不等。最初价格上涨后，比特币经历了市场损失

Recently, Bitcoin's price has been ranging from $84,000 to $86,000. After an initial price increase, Bitcoin experienced market losses, currently standing at around $83,212, posing caution among market participants. As Bitcoin's price stays near crucial milestones and experts focus on a particular sign called the 'Dead Cross' will be key in determining Bitcoin's movement ahead.

最近，比特币的价格从84,000美元到86,000美元不等。最初的价格上涨后，比特币经历了市场损失，目前的市场损失约为83,212美元，在市场参与者中谨慎行事。由于比特币的价格保持在关键的里程碑附近，而且专家专注于一个名为“死十字”的特定标志，这将是确定比特币前进的关键。

This analysis will examine this significant signal and its implications for future market sentiment.

该分析将检查这种重要的信号及其对未来市场情绪的影响。

What Is The 'Dead Cross' And Why Does It Matter?

什么是“死十字”，为什么重要？

什么是“死十字”，为什么重要？

When a short-term moving average (50-day) passes below a long-term moving average (200-day), this creates a Death Cross signal. Bitcoin's consolidation price behaviour has brought increased attention to this fundamental signal. When the 'Dead Cross' appears together with other relevant market indicators, it indicates that additional price drops are likely to occur.

当短期移动平均线（50天）的速度低于长期移动平均线（200天）时，这会产生死亡交叉信号。比特币的合并价格行为引起了人们对这个基本信号的越来越多的关注。当“死十字架”与其他相关市场指标一起出现时，这表明可能会发生额外的价格下跌。

CryptoQuant QuickTake contributor Bilal Huseynov has been conducting Bitcoin market analysis based on the Dead Cross indicator. Based on current data, the signal suggests a possible Bitcoin price decline to a minimum of $75,000. On-chain metric indicators Realized Cap and Thermo Cap have crossed each other, driving the potential existence of a bearish outlook. Although the Dead Cross classically suggests a market downturn is coming, Bitcoin's long-term success indicates that a potential price decrease could be entry-level for investors with extended timelines.

CryptoQuant Quicktake贡献者Bilal Huseynov一直在基于死亡交叉指示器进行比特币市场分析。根据当前数据，该信号表明比特币价格可能下跌至最低75,000美元。链上指标实现了帽和热帽彼此交叉，推动了看跌前景的潜在存在。尽管《死亡十字架》在经典上表明市场衰退即将到来，但比特币的长期成功表明，对于具有延长时间表的投资者而言，潜在的价格降低可能是入门级。

On-Chain Metrics: What The Data Tells Us About Bitcoin's Future

链上指标：数据告诉我们比特币的未来

链上指标：数据告诉我们比特币的未来

After ignoring the Dead Cross indicator, Bitcoin's price movement depends heavily on its collection of on-chain metrics. Through his analysis, Huseynov describes two essential measurements called Realized Cap and Thermo Cap. Realized Cap tracks Bitcoin's complete market value by recording the last transaction prices. This reveals the economic worth of Bitcoin's network. Thermo Cap monitors the measurement of net capital injection achieved through mining activities.

在忽略了死去的交叉指示器之后，比特币的价格变动在很大程度上取决于其链度指标的收集。 Huseynov通过他的分析描述了两个基本测量值，称为已实现的帽和热帽。实现的上限通过记录最后交易价格来跟踪比特币的完整市场价值。这揭示了比特币网络的经济价值。 Thermo Cap监视通过采矿活动实现的净资本注入的测量。

Another signal of a 'Dead Cross' occurs when the Thermo Cap falls under the Realized Cap. The on-chain metrics data indicates that Bitcoin has lost its upward momentum, which creates the possibility of market decline. The recent monetary indicators suggest that Bitcoin could pursue a downward path, leading to projections that its value might drop beneath the $80,000 mark. The continuing trend points to potential market instability in general.

当热帽落在已实现的盖子下时，就会发生“死十字”的另一个信号。链上的指标数据表明，比特币失去了向上的动力，这创造了市场下降的可能性。最近的货币指标表明，比特币可以追求一条向下的道路，导致预测其价值可能会下降80,000美元。持续的趋势指向了潜在的市场不稳定。

Market Sentiment: Will Bitcoin Hold Strong Despite The Bearish Signals?

市场情绪：尽管有看跌信号，比特币会保持强大吗？

市场情绪：尽管有看跌信号，比特币会保持强大吗？

The short-term bearish indicators do not affect Bitcoin's healthier long-term position. The CryptoQuant analyst Banker, along with other analysts, observes Bitcoin's Coin Days Destroyed metric, which demonstrates that long-term asset holders refrain from selling their assets. The Bitcoin market displays strong long-term investor confidence because low activity is observed in the area containing dormant Bitcoin that has remained unspent for extended periods.

短期看跌指标不会影响比特币更健康的长期立场。加密分析师银行家与其他分析师一起观察到比特币的硬币日摧毁了公制，这表明长期资产持有人避免出售其资产。比特币市场表现出强烈的长期投资者信心，因为在含有休眠的比特币的地区观察到了低活动，该地区长期持续了不足。

Bitcoin investors continue treating it as a long-term asset because the CDD metric shows they refuse to cash out during periods of short-term market volatility. The cryptocurrency continues gaining market share globally, and experts predict Bitcoin will become more widely adopted, leading to potential growth. The Dead Cross temporarily indicates price drops, but strong long-term holder support could result in price recovery later.

比特币投资者继续将其视为长期资产，因为CDD指标表明他们拒绝在短期市场波动期间兑现。加密货币将继续在全球范围内获得市场份额，专家预测比特币将变得更广泛地采用，从而导致潜在的增长。死亡交叉暂时表明价格下跌，但是强大的长期持有人支持可能会导致稍后的价格恢复。