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特朗普政府於4月2日宣布的最新關稅計劃激發了全球貿易緊張局勢。
The Trump administration's latest tariff plan, announced on April 2, has stirred global trade tensions. However, instead of collapsing, Bitcoin (BTC) has held firm and outperformed equities. This market reaction has sparked a fresh wave of interest from analysts and investors.
特朗普政府於4月2日宣布的最新關稅計劃激發了全球貿易緊張局勢。但是,比特幣(BTC)並沒有崩潰,而是保持了堅定的股票和表現優於股票。這種市場反應引發了分析師和投資者的新興趣。
One key voice is Matthew Sigel, Head of Digital Assets Research at VanEck, who says the situation could “accelerate Bitcoin's role in the emerging multipolar order.”
Vaneck的數字資產研究負責人Matthew Sigel是一個關鍵的聲音,他說,這種情況可以“加速比特幣在新興的多極順序中的作用”。
With growing ETF inflows and strategic use cases emerging globally, Bitcoin may now be more than just a digital coin.
隨著全球ETF流入和戰略用例的不斷增長,比特幣現在不僅僅是數字硬幣。
Tariffs Could Make Bitcoin A Global Anchor
關稅可以使比特幣成為全球錨
Reacting to the news, Matthew Sigel explained that Bitcoin's resilience reflects “growing structural demand” as the global economy fragments. He emphasized that the Trump administration's tariffs—targeting China and the EU—have increased geopolitical risks and are pushing countries to seek alternative financial tools.
馬修·西格爾(Matthew Sigel)對新聞做出了反應,解釋說,比特幣的彈性反映了作為全球經濟碎片的“結構性需求”。他強調,特朗普政府的關稅(旨在促進中國和歐盟)增加了地緣政治風險,並正在促使國家尋求替代金融工具。
Sigel pointed to real-world adoption: “China and Russia were recently revealed to be settling some energy transactions using Bitcoin and other digital assets.”
Sigel指出了現實世界中的採用:“最近,中國和俄羅斯正在使用比特幣和其他數字資產來解決一些能源交易。”
He also cited Bolivia's new plan to import energy using crypto, and France's EDF exploring Bitcoin mining to utilize surplus electricity. Sigel believes these aren't just experiments but signs of monetary realignment in real time. He advised watching Bitcoin ETF flows, the U.S. Dollar Index, and Fed policy.
他還列舉了玻利維亞的新計劃,使用加密貨幣進口能源,法國的EDF探索比特幣採礦以利用剩餘電力。 Sigel認為這些不僅實驗,而且是實時重新調整的跡象。他建議觀看比特幣ETF流,美元指數和美聯儲政策。
If rate cuts or dollar weakness occur, they may push the Bitcoin price even higher. “These developments highlight how digital assets are evolving from speculative instruments into tools for energy trade and monetary realignment,” he wrote.
如果削減稅率或美元弱點,他們可能會將比特幣價格提高。他寫道:“這些事態發展凸顯了數字資產如何從投機工具變成用於能源貿易和貨幣重新調整工具的工具。”
With $600M in Bitcoin ETF inflows already this year, demand isn't slowing down. Bitcoin is clearly gaining ground—not just in charts but in strategy.
今年已經有6億美元的比特幣ETF流入,需求並沒有減慢。比特幣顯然正在獲得基礎,不僅僅是在圖表中,而是在策略中。
Bitcoin Price Analysis
比特幣價格分析
The trading day of April 4th started a death cross on the MACD at 00:45 UTC. However, bullish momentum emerged at 5:00 UTC with a golden cross, triggering a short-lived upward rally. This bullish move hit resistance at $84,724.03 after the RSI entered overbought territory between 7:05 and 8:50 UTC.
4月4日的交易日在00:45 UTC在MACD上開始了死亡十字架。然而,看漲的動力在5:00 UTC出現,帶有金色十字架,引發了短暫的向上集會。在RSI在UTC 7:05至8:50之間,這種看漲的舉動以84,724.03的價格擊中了$ 84,724.03。
The bulls lost control when a MACD death cross at 8:55 UTC led to a sharp correction. By 10:15 UTC, the RSI showed oversold conditions, and Bitcoin found support at $81,664.74.
當MACD死亡交叉在8:55 UTC導致急劇糾正時,公牛失去了控制。到10:15 UTC,RSI顯示了超售的條件,比特幣的支持為81,664.74美元。
Chart 1, analyzed by ShwetaCW, published on TradingView, April 5, 2025
圖1,由Shwetacw分析,於2025年4月5日在TradingView上發表
As illustrated in Chart 1, a golden cross at 11:45 UTC revived bullish hopes, but once again, the price overheated as the RSI hit overbought levels at 17:45 UTC. This was followed by another MACD death cross at 18:15 UTC, shifting momentum back in favor of the bears.
如圖1所示,UTC 11:45的黃金十字架恢復了看漲希望,但是隨著RSI在17:45 UTC的過分購買水平,價格再次過熱。接下來是UTC 18:15的MacD死亡十字架,轉移了動力,轉而支持熊。
The downward trend persisted into April 5, confirmed by a death cross at 2:00 UTC. If bearish pressure continues, Bitcoin may break below its support at $81,664.74. Conversely, a reversal could challenge the resistance near $84,724.03. Traders should watch for further MACD and RSI cues to gauge short-term momentum.
下降趨勢一直持續到4月5日,由UTC 2:00死亡十字架證實。如果看跌壓力持續,比特幣可能會以81,664.74美元的價格突破其支持。相反,逆轉可能會挑戰$ 84,724.03的電阻。交易者應注意進一步的MACD和RSI提示,以評估短期勢頭。
Bitcoin Price Prediction
比特幣價格預測
The latest move by the Trump administration has unexpectedly strengthened Bitcoin's position as a global hedge asset. Expert insights from VanEck suggest that Bitcoin is gaining real-world relevance beyond just speculation.
特朗普政府的最新舉動意外地加強了比特幣作為全球對沖資產的地位。 Vaneck的專家見解表明,比特幣不僅僅是猜測,比特幣正在獲得現實世界中的相關性。
With rising Bitcoin ETF inflows and increasing adoption by nations, the outlook appears strong. If the current downward trend continues, the Bitcoin price could break support at $81,664.72. However, if bulls regain control, it may retest resistance at $84,724.03.
隨著比特幣ETF的上升流入和國家採用的越來越多,觀點似乎很強。如果當前的下降趨勢繼續下去,則比特幣價格可能會打破81,664.72美元的支持。但是,如果公牛恢復控制,則可能會重新獲得84,724.03美元的抵抗力。
Either way, this Bitcoin ETF era—shaped by Trump administration policies—signals a new phase for crypto.
無論哪種方式,這個比特幣ETF時代(由特朗普政府政策形狀)表示,信號是加密貨幣的新階段。
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