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特朗普政府于4月2日宣布的最新关税计划激发了全球贸易紧张局势。
The Trump administration's latest tariff plan, announced on April 2, has stirred global trade tensions. However, instead of collapsing, Bitcoin (BTC) has held firm and outperformed equities. This market reaction has sparked a fresh wave of interest from analysts and investors.
特朗普政府于4月2日宣布的最新关税计划激发了全球贸易紧张局势。但是,比特币(BTC)并没有崩溃,而是保持了坚定的股票和表现优于股票。这种市场反应引发了分析师和投资者的新兴趣。
One key voice is Matthew Sigel, Head of Digital Assets Research at VanEck, who says the situation could “accelerate Bitcoin's role in the emerging multipolar order.”
Vaneck的数字资产研究负责人Matthew Sigel是一个关键的声音,他说,这种情况可以“加速比特币在新兴的多极顺序中的作用”。
With growing ETF inflows and strategic use cases emerging globally, Bitcoin may now be more than just a digital coin.
随着全球ETF流入和战略用例的不断增长,比特币现在不仅仅是数字硬币。
Tariffs Could Make Bitcoin A Global Anchor
关税可以使比特币成为全球锚
Reacting to the news, Matthew Sigel explained that Bitcoin's resilience reflects “growing structural demand” as the global economy fragments. He emphasized that the Trump administration's tariffs—targeting China and the EU—have increased geopolitical risks and are pushing countries to seek alternative financial tools.
马修·西格尔(Matthew Sigel)对新闻做出了反应,解释说,比特币的弹性反映了作为全球经济碎片的“结构性需求”。他强调,特朗普政府的关税(旨在促进中国和欧盟)增加了地缘政治风险,并正在促使国家寻求替代金融工具。
Sigel pointed to real-world adoption: “China and Russia were recently revealed to be settling some energy transactions using Bitcoin and other digital assets.”
Sigel指出了现实世界中的采用:“最近,中国和俄罗斯正在使用比特币和其他数字资产来解决一些能源交易。”
He also cited Bolivia's new plan to import energy using crypto, and France's EDF exploring Bitcoin mining to utilize surplus electricity. Sigel believes these aren't just experiments but signs of monetary realignment in real time. He advised watching Bitcoin ETF flows, the U.S. Dollar Index, and Fed policy.
他还列举了玻利维亚的新计划,使用加密货币进口能源,法国的EDF探索比特币采矿以利用剩余电力。 Sigel认为这些不仅实验,而且是实时重新调整的迹象。他建议观看比特币ETF流,美元指数和美联储政策。
If rate cuts or dollar weakness occur, they may push the Bitcoin price even higher. “These developments highlight how digital assets are evolving from speculative instruments into tools for energy trade and monetary realignment,” he wrote.
如果削减税率或美元弱点,他们可能会将比特币价格提高。他写道:“这些事态发展凸显了数字资产如何从投机工具变成用于能源贸易和货币重新调整工具的工具。”
With $600M in Bitcoin ETF inflows already this year, demand isn't slowing down. Bitcoin is clearly gaining ground—not just in charts but in strategy.
今年已经有6亿美元的比特币ETF流入,需求并没有减慢。比特币显然正在获得基础,不仅仅是在图表中,而是在策略中。
Bitcoin Price Analysis
比特币价格分析
The trading day of April 4th started a death cross on the MACD at 00:45 UTC. However, bullish momentum emerged at 5:00 UTC with a golden cross, triggering a short-lived upward rally. This bullish move hit resistance at $84,724.03 after the RSI entered overbought territory between 7:05 and 8:50 UTC.
4月4日的交易日在00:45 UTC在MACD上开始了死亡十字架。然而,看涨的动力在5:00 UTC出现,带有金色十字架,引发了短暂的向上集会。在RSI在UTC 7:05至8:50之间,这种看涨的举动以84,724.03的价格击中了$ 84,724.03。
The bulls lost control when a MACD death cross at 8:55 UTC led to a sharp correction. By 10:15 UTC, the RSI showed oversold conditions, and Bitcoin found support at $81,664.74.
当MACD死亡交叉在8:55 UTC导致急剧纠正时,公牛失去了控制。到10:15 UTC,RSI显示了超售的条件,比特币的支持为81,664.74美元。
Chart 1, analyzed by ShwetaCW, published on TradingView, April 5, 2025
图1,由Shwetacw分析,于2025年4月5日在TradingView上发表
As illustrated in Chart 1, a golden cross at 11:45 UTC revived bullish hopes, but once again, the price overheated as the RSI hit overbought levels at 17:45 UTC. This was followed by another MACD death cross at 18:15 UTC, shifting momentum back in favor of the bears.
如图1所示,UTC 11:45的黄金十字架恢复了看涨希望,但是随着RSI在17:45 UTC的过分购买水平,价格再次过热。接下来是UTC 18:15的MacD死亡十字架,转移了动力,转而支持熊。
The downward trend persisted into April 5, confirmed by a death cross at 2:00 UTC. If bearish pressure continues, Bitcoin may break below its support at $81,664.74. Conversely, a reversal could challenge the resistance near $84,724.03. Traders should watch for further MACD and RSI cues to gauge short-term momentum.
下降趋势一直持续到4月5日,由UTC 2:00死亡十字架证实。如果看跌压力持续,比特币可能会以81,664.74美元的价格突破其支持。相反,逆转可能会挑战$ 84,724.03的电阻。交易者应注意进一步的MACD和RSI提示,以评估短期势头。
Bitcoin Price Prediction
比特币价格预测
The latest move by the Trump administration has unexpectedly strengthened Bitcoin's position as a global hedge asset. Expert insights from VanEck suggest that Bitcoin is gaining real-world relevance beyond just speculation.
特朗普政府的最新举动意外地加强了比特币作为全球对冲资产的地位。 Vaneck的专家见解表明,比特币不仅仅是猜测,比特币正在获得现实世界中的相关性。
With rising Bitcoin ETF inflows and increasing adoption by nations, the outlook appears strong. If the current downward trend continues, the Bitcoin price could break support at $81,664.72. However, if bulls regain control, it may retest resistance at $84,724.03.
随着比特币ETF的上升流入和国家采用的越来越多,观点似乎很强。如果当前的下降趋势继续下去,则比特币价格可能会打破81,664.72美元的支持。但是,如果公牛恢复控制,则可能会重新获得84,724.03美元的抵抗力。
Either way, this Bitcoin ETF era—shaped by Trump administration policies—signals a new phase for crypto.
无论哪种方式,这个比特币ETF时代(由特朗普政府政策形状)表示,信号是加密货币的新阶段。
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