MVRV 比率預示著買入機會，比特幣有望迎來看漲反彈

比特幣 (BTC) 市值與已實現價值 (MVRV) 之比已跌破 90 天平均水平，通常表明價格上漲可能即將到來。自 2023 年 1 月以來，這一看漲訊號已出現四次，每次都出現在市場上漲之前，平均漲幅為 67%。 Glassnode數據證實，90天平均MVRV比率一直在上升，而實際比率根據比特幣的市場表現而波動。市場分析師阿里馬丁內斯認為，這種上漲可能會再次實現，有可能將比特幣的價格推至歷史新高。

Bitcoin Poised for Substantial Upswing as MVRV Ratio Dips Below 90-Day Average

隨著 MVRV 比率低於 90 天平均水平，比特幣有望大幅上漲

The Bitcoin (BTC) market is primed for a significant rally, as evidenced by a recent drop in the MVRV ratio below its 90-day average. This technical indicator, which compares Bitcoin's market value to its realized value, has historically preceded market upswings.

比特幣 (BTC) 市場即將迎來大幅上漲，近期 MVRV 比率跌破 90 天平均值就證明了這一點。該技術指標將比特幣的市場價值與其實現價值進行比較，歷史上一直先於市場上漲。

Market analyst Ali Martinez has highlighted this bullish trend, noting that the MVRV ratio has fallen below its 90-day average four times since January 2023. In each instance, a subsequent market surge ensued, yielding an average gain of 67%.

市場分析師 Ali Martinez 強調了這一看漲趨勢，並指出自 2023 年 1 月以來 MVRV 比率已四次低於 90 天平均水平。

"Every time the #Bitcoin MVRV Ratio falls below its 90-day average since November 2022, it signals a prime #BTC buying opportunity with an average gain of 67%!" exclaimed Martinez on Twitter. "This opportunity is upon us again, indicating it might be the perfect time to buy $BTC."

“自 2022 年 11 月以來，每當#Bitcoin MVRV 比率跌破 90 天平均值時，就標誌著平均漲幅達 67% 的黃金#BTC 買入機會！”馬丁內斯在推特上喊道。 “這個機會再次降臨，這表明現在可能是購買 BTC 的最佳時機。”

The implications of this potential upswing are substantial. Based on the historical average gain of 67%, Bitcoin's price could soar to $110,409, surpassing its previous all-time high of $73,000. However, it remains to be seen if the cryptocurrency market can attain this lofty target.

這種潛在的上升的影響是巨大的。基於67%的歷史平均漲幅，比特幣的價格可能飆升至110,409美元，超過先前73,000美元的歷史新高。然而，加密貨幣市場能否實現這一崇高目標仍有待觀察。

Support and Resistance Levels for Bitcoin

比特幣的支撐位和阻力位

As Bitcoin navigates the current market conditions, it is encountering key support and resistance levels that will shape its future trajectory.

隨著比特幣在當前市場條件下的發展，它正在遇到關鍵的支撐和阻力位，這將決定其未來的軌跡。

Martinez emphasizes the significance of establishing a strong support level at $66,000, where a substantial number of addresses (1.54 million) have acquired a significant portion of Bitcoin (747,000 tokens). If Bitcoin can successfully maintain this support level, it will pave the way for a push towards the next critical resistance zone between $69,900 and $71,200.

Martinez 強調了在 66,000 美元建立強大支撐位的重要性，大量地址（154 萬）已經購買了很大一部分比特幣（747,000 個代幣）。如果比特幣能夠成功維持這一支撐位，它將為推動下一個關鍵阻力區（69,900 美元至 71,200 美元）鋪平道路。

However, it is crucial for Bitcoin to withstand any potential downturns below the April 19 lows of $60,000. IntoTheBlock has identified a vital demand wall at $64,800, where over 1.66 million addresses have purchased Bitcoin at an average price of $64,800. This price point could serve as a strong support level in the event of downward pressure.

然而，比特幣能否承受 4 月 19 日低點 60,000 美元以下的任何潛在下滑至關重要。 IntoTheBlock 已確定重要的需求牆為 64,800 美元，超過 166 萬個地址以平均價格 64,800 美元購買了比特幣。如果出現下行壓力，此價格點可以作為強而有力的支撐位。

Positive Technical Indicators Bolster Bullish Outlook

積極的技術指標支撐看漲前景

Amidst the recent rebound, Bitcoin has ascended above the 50-day EMA at $64,640, indicating a shift towards bullish momentum in the short term. Other technical indicators, such as the Binary CDD and the Exchange Reserve, further corroborate the bullish sentiment.

在近期的反彈中，比特幣已升至 64,640 美元的 50 日均線上方，表明短期內轉向看漲勢頭。其他技術指標，例如二元 CDD 和外匯儲備，進一步證實了看漲情緒。

The Binary CDD metric suggests low movement among long-term holders, indicating stability in the market. Meanwhile, the Exchange Reserve metric confirms a trend of investors withdrawing their BTC tokens from exchanges, signaling a reduction in selling pressure and an increase in long-term confidence.

二元 CDD 指標顯示長期持有者的波動較小，表示市場穩定。同時，交易所儲備指標證實了投資者從交易所撤回比特幣代幣的趨勢，這表明拋售壓力減輕，長期信心有所增強。

In conclusion, the drop in Bitcoin's MVRV ratio below its 90-day average, combined with supportive technical indicators and key support levels, paints a bullish picture for the cryptocurrency in the near future. If the historical pattern holds true, Bitcoin could experience a notable surge in value, potentially reaching new all-time highs. However, market conditions remain fluid, and it is imperative for investors to exercise caution and conduct thorough research before making any investment decisions.

總之，比特幣的 MVRV 比率跌破 90 天平均線，加上支撐技術指標和關鍵支撐位，為加密貨幣在不久的將來描繪了一幅看漲的圖景。如果歷史模式成立，比特幣的價值可能會顯著飆升，有可能創下歷史新高。然而，市場狀況仍然不穩定，投資者在做出任何投資決定之前必須保持謹慎並進行徹底的研究。