MVRV 比率预示着买入机会，比特币有望迎来看涨反弹

比特币 (BTC) 市值与已实现价值 (MVRV) 之比已跌破 90 天平均水平，通常表明价格上涨可能即将到来。自 2023 年 1 月以来，这一看涨信号已出现四次，每次都出现在市场上涨之前，平均涨幅为 67%。 Glassnode数据证实，90天平均MVRV比率一直在上升，而实际比率根据比特币的市场表现而波动。市场分析师阿里·马丁内斯认为，这种上涨可能会再次实现，有可能将比特币的价格推至历史新高。

Bitcoin Poised for Substantial Upswing as MVRV Ratio Dips Below 90-Day Average

随着 MVRV 比率低于 90 天平均水平，比特币有望大幅上涨

The Bitcoin (BTC) market is primed for a significant rally, as evidenced by a recent drop in the MVRV ratio below its 90-day average. This technical indicator, which compares Bitcoin's market value to its realized value, has historically preceded market upswings.

比特币 (BTC) 市场即将迎来大幅上涨，近期 MVRV 比率跌破 90 天平均水平就证明了这一点。该技术指标将比特币的市场价值与其实现价值进行比较，历史上一直先于市场上涨。

Market analyst Ali Martinez has highlighted this bullish trend, noting that the MVRV ratio has fallen below its 90-day average four times since January 2023. In each instance, a subsequent market surge ensued, yielding an average gain of 67%.

市场分析师 Ali Martinez 强调了这一看涨趋势，并指出自 2023 年 1 月以来 MVRV 比率已四次低于 90 天平均水平。每次，随后的市场飙升，平均涨幅为 67%。

"Every time the #Bitcoin MVRV Ratio falls below its 90-day average since November 2022, it signals a prime #BTC buying opportunity with an average gain of 67%!" exclaimed Martinez on Twitter. "This opportunity is upon us again, indicating it might be the perfect time to buy $BTC."

“自 2022 年 11 月以来，每当#Bitcoin MVRV 比率跌破 90 天平均值时，就标志着平均涨幅达 67% 的黄金#BTC 买入机会！”马丁内斯在推特上喊道。 “这个机会再次降临，这表明现在可能是购买 BTC 的最佳时机。”

The implications of this potential upswing are substantial. Based on the historical average gain of 67%, Bitcoin's price could soar to $110,409, surpassing its previous all-time high of $73,000. However, it remains to be seen if the cryptocurrency market can attain this lofty target.

这种潜在的上升的影响是巨大的。基于67%的历史平均涨幅，比特币的价格可能飙升至110,409美元，超过此前73,000美元的历史新高。然而，加密货币市场能否实现这一崇高目标还有待观察。

Support and Resistance Levels for Bitcoin

比特币的支撑位和阻力位

As Bitcoin navigates the current market conditions, it is encountering key support and resistance levels that will shape its future trajectory.

随着比特币在当前市场条件下的发展，它正在遇到关键的支撑和阻力位，这将决定其未来的轨迹。

Martinez emphasizes the significance of establishing a strong support level at $66,000, where a substantial number of addresses (1.54 million) have acquired a significant portion of Bitcoin (747,000 tokens). If Bitcoin can successfully maintain this support level, it will pave the way for a push towards the next critical resistance zone between $69,900 and $71,200.

Martinez 强调了在 66,000 美元建立强大支撑位的重要性，大量地址（154 万）已经购买了很大一部分比特币（747,000 个代币）。如果比特币能够成功维持这一支撑位，它将为推动下一个关键阻力区（69,900 美元至 71,200 美元）铺平道路。

However, it is crucial for Bitcoin to withstand any potential downturns below the April 19 lows of $60,000. IntoTheBlock has identified a vital demand wall at $64,800, where over 1.66 million addresses have purchased Bitcoin at an average price of $64,800. This price point could serve as a strong support level in the event of downward pressure.

然而，比特币能否承受 4 月 19 日低点 6​​0,000 美元以下的任何潜在下滑至关重要。 IntoTheBlock 已确定重要的需求墙为 64,800 美元，超过 166 万个地址以平均价格 64,800 美元购买了比特币。如果出现下行压力，该价格点可以作为强有力的支撑位。

Positive Technical Indicators Bolster Bullish Outlook

积极的技术指标支撑看涨前景

Amidst the recent rebound, Bitcoin has ascended above the 50-day EMA at $64,640, indicating a shift towards bullish momentum in the short term. Other technical indicators, such as the Binary CDD and the Exchange Reserve, further corroborate the bullish sentiment.

在近期的反弹中，比特币已升至 64,640 美元的 50 日均线上方，表明短期内转向看涨势头。其他技术指标，例如二元 CDD 和外汇储备，进一步证实了看涨情绪。

The Binary CDD metric suggests low movement among long-term holders, indicating stability in the market. Meanwhile, the Exchange Reserve metric confirms a trend of investors withdrawing their BTC tokens from exchanges, signaling a reduction in selling pressure and an increase in long-term confidence.

二元 CDD 指标表明长期持有者的波动较小，表明市场稳定。与此同时，交易所储备指标证实了投资者从交易所撤回比特币代币的趋势，这表明抛售压力有所减轻，长期信心有所增强。

In conclusion, the drop in Bitcoin's MVRV ratio below its 90-day average, combined with supportive technical indicators and key support levels, paints a bullish picture for the cryptocurrency in the near future. If the historical pattern holds true, Bitcoin could experience a notable surge in value, potentially reaching new all-time highs. However, market conditions remain fluid, and it is imperative for investors to exercise caution and conduct thorough research before making any investment decisions.

总之，比特币的 MVRV 比率跌破 90 天平均线，加上支撑性技术指标和关键支撑位，为加密货币在不久的将来描绘了一幅看涨的图景。如果历史模式成立，比特币的价值可能会显着飙升，有可能创下历史新高。然而，市场状况仍然不稳定，投资者在做出任何投资决定之前必须保持谨慎并进行彻底的研究。