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在地緣政治緊張局勢之後,比特幣從歷史高點下跌了 13%,凸顯了恐懼對市場情緒的影響。加密貨幣產業知名人士Samson Mow斷言,當前市場的不確定性源自於即將到來的比特幣減半,預計將引發嚴重的供應衝擊。由於距離減半事件還剩三天,數位資產仍高度波動,繆氏建議投資人關注 ETF 流入和即將發生的事態發展,例如香港 ETF 的推出。
Bitcoin's Enigma: Unraveling the Mysterious Slump Amidst Approaching Halving Event
比特幣之謎:解開減半事件臨近期間神秘的暴跌
In a captivating analysis, renowned cryptocurrency stalwart Samson Mow has shed light on an intriguing phenomenon that has gripped the Bitcoin market, leaving investors perplexed and fueling speculation. With the highly anticipated Bitcoin Halving event looming just three days away, Mow's insights provide a crucial perspective on the current underperformance of the digital asset.
在一項引人入勝的分析中,著名的加密貨幣堅定擁護者 Samson Mow 揭示了一種席捲比特幣市場的有趣現象,這種現象讓投資者感到困惑並加劇了猜測。距離備受期待的比特幣減半事件僅剩三天,繆先生的見解為當前數位資產表現不佳提供了重要視角。
Fear of War Triggers Weekend Derisking
對戰爭的恐懼引發週末去風險
Mow attributes Bitcoin's recent 13% decline from its all-time high, currently hovering around $63,000, to geopolitical tensions in the Middle East. He asserts that "the fear of war triggered derisking on the weekend," sending shockwaves through both traditional financial markets and the cryptocurrency realm, as Bitcoin stands as the only global digital currency traded seven days a week.
Mow 將比特幣最近從歷史高點(目前徘徊在 63,000 美元左右)下跌 13% 歸因於中東地緣政治緊張局勢。他斷言,“對戰爭的恐懼引發了周末的去風險化”,給傳統金融市場和加密貨幣領域帶來了衝擊,因為比特幣是唯一每週 7 天交易的全球數位貨幣。
However, Mow posits that such reactions are often excessive and tend to dissipate over time, creating an "Omega time" for Bitcoin. He maintains that the prevailing market uncertainty stemming from the impending halving event, which will occur in three days, has further compounded the volatility.
然而,繆認為,這種反應往往是過度的,並且往往會隨著時間的推移而消散,從而為比特幣創造了一個「歐米茄時間」。他認為,三天後即將發生的減半事件導致市場普遍存在不確定性,進一步加劇了波動性。
Halving as a Catalyst
減半作為催化劑
Despite the current market turbulence, Mow remains bullish on Bitcoin's long-term prospects, viewing the halving as a pivotal catalyst for a significant supply shock. He urges investors to closely monitor ETF inflows and demand, while keeping abreast of upcoming developments, such as the launch of Hong Kong ETFs.
儘管當前市場動盪,繆先生仍看好比特幣的長期前景,認為減半是嚴重供應衝擊的關鍵催化劑。他敦促投資者密切關注 ETF 的流入和需求,同時隨時了解即將發生的事態發展,例如香港 ETF 的推出。
Technical Analysis Paints Bearish Picture
技術分析描繪看跌圖景
The Bitcoin price chart currently presents a double bottom pattern, indicating a bearish outlook and a potential 20% decline from its ATH. The market has witnessed extreme volatility in the past week, with Bitcoin fluctuating between $62,773 and $66,797.
比特幣價格圖表目前呈現雙底形態,顯示前景看跌,且可能較 ATH 下跌 20%。過去一週市場出現劇烈波動,比特幣在 62,773 美元至 66,797 美元之間波動。
Bullish sentiment remains weak, as the price has failed to breach the $71,287 resistance level, increasing the likelihood of a further downward spiral. Conversely, a breakdown below $61,308 could exacerbate the bearish momentum.
看漲情緒依然疲軟,因為價格未能突破 71,287 美元的阻力位,增加了進一步下行的可能性。相反,跌破 61,308 美元可能會加劇看跌勢頭。
Conclusion
結論
Samson Mow's analysis provides a compelling explanation for Bitcoin's recent underperformance, highlighting the impact of geopolitical events and the heightened uncertainty surrounding the approaching halving event. While the market remains volatile, Mow's unwavering optimism in Bitcoin's long-term trajectory offers hope to investors navigating these tumultuous times.
Samson Mow 的分析為比特幣近期表現不佳提供了令人信服的解釋,強調了地緣政治事件的影響以及圍繞即將到來的減半事件的不確定性加劇。儘管市場仍然波動,但繆對比特幣長期軌跡堅定不移的樂觀態度為投資者度過這個動盪時期帶來了希望。
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