比特币的神秘跳水：恐惧扰乱市场，减半迫在眉睫

在地缘政治紧张局势之后，比特币从历史高点下跌了 13%，凸显了恐惧对市场情绪的影响。加密货币行业知名人士Samson Mow断言，当前市场的不确定性源于即将到来的比特币减半，预计这将引发严重的供应冲击。由于距离减半事件还剩三天，数字资产仍然高度波动，缪氏建议投资者关注 ETF 流入和即将发生的事态发展，例如香港 ETF 的推出。

Bitcoin's Enigma: Unraveling the Mysterious Slump Amidst Approaching Halving Event

比特币之谜：解开减半事件临近期间神秘的暴跌

In a captivating analysis, renowned cryptocurrency stalwart Samson Mow has shed light on an intriguing phenomenon that has gripped the Bitcoin market, leaving investors perplexed and fueling speculation. With the highly anticipated Bitcoin Halving event looming just three days away, Mow's insights provide a crucial perspective on the current underperformance of the digital asset.

在一项引人入胜的分析中，著名的加密货币坚定拥护者 Samson Mow 揭示了一种席卷比特币市场的有趣现象，这种现象让投资者感到困惑并加剧了猜测。距离备受期待的比特币减半事件仅剩三天，缪先生的见解为当前数字资产表现不佳提供了重要视角。

Fear of War Triggers Weekend Derisking

对战争的恐惧引发周末去风险

Mow attributes Bitcoin's recent 13% decline from its all-time high, currently hovering around $63,000, to geopolitical tensions in the Middle East. He asserts that "the fear of war triggered derisking on the weekend," sending shockwaves through both traditional financial markets and the cryptocurrency realm, as Bitcoin stands as the only global digital currency traded seven days a week.

Mow 将比特币最近从历史高点（目前徘徊在 63,000 美元左右）下跌 13% 归因于中东地缘政治紧张局势。他断言，“对战争的恐惧引发了周末的去风险化”，给传统金融市场和加密货币领域带来了冲击，因为比特币是唯一每周 7 天交易的全球数字货币。

However, Mow posits that such reactions are often excessive and tend to dissipate over time, creating an "Omega time" for Bitcoin. He maintains that the prevailing market uncertainty stemming from the impending halving event, which will occur in three days, has further compounded the volatility.

然而，缪认为，这种反应往往是过度的，并且往往会随着时间的推移而消散，从而为比特币创造了一个“欧米茄时间”。他认为，三天后即将发生的减半事件导致市场普遍存在不确定性，进一步加剧了波动性。

Halving as a Catalyst

减半作为催化剂

Despite the current market turbulence, Mow remains bullish on Bitcoin's long-term prospects, viewing the halving as a pivotal catalyst for a significant supply shock. He urges investors to closely monitor ETF inflows and demand, while keeping abreast of upcoming developments, such as the launch of Hong Kong ETFs.

尽管当前市场动荡，缪先生仍然看好比特币的长期前景，认为减半是严重供应冲击的关键催化剂。他敦促投资者密切关注 ETF 的流入和需求，同时及时了解即将发生的事态发展，例如香港 ETF 的推出。

Technical Analysis Paints Bearish Picture

技术分析描绘看跌图景

The Bitcoin price chart currently presents a double bottom pattern, indicating a bearish outlook and a potential 20% decline from its ATH. The market has witnessed extreme volatility in the past week, with Bitcoin fluctuating between $62,773 and $66,797.

比特币价格图表目前呈现双底形态，表明前景看跌，且可能较 ATH 下跌 20%。过去一周市场出现剧烈波动，比特币在 62,773 美元至 66,797 美元之间波动。

Bullish sentiment remains weak, as the price has failed to breach the $71,287 resistance level, increasing the likelihood of a further downward spiral. Conversely, a breakdown below $61,308 could exacerbate the bearish momentum.

看涨情绪依然疲弱，因为价格未能突破 71,287 美元的阻力位，增加了进一步下行的可能性。相反，跌破 61,308 美元可能会加剧看跌势头。

Conclusion

结论

Samson Mow's analysis provides a compelling explanation for Bitcoin's recent underperformance, highlighting the impact of geopolitical events and the heightened uncertainty surrounding the approaching halving event. While the market remains volatile, Mow's unwavering optimism in Bitcoin's long-term trajectory offers hope to investors navigating these tumultuous times.

Samson Mow 的分析为比特币近期表现不佳提供了令人信服的解释，强调了地缘政治事件的影响以及围绕即将到来的减半事件的不确定性加剧。尽管市场仍然波动，但缪对比特币长期轨迹坚定不移的乐观态度为投资者度过这个动荡时期带来了希望。