Bitcoin Max 相信多種因素的融合將推動 BTC 飆升至歷史新高

比特幣極端主義者、Blockstream 創始人 Adam Back 預測，由於傳統市場休市、交易量下降以及可能出現三根 1000 美元日線蠟燭等因素，比特幣 (BTC) 本週末將創下歷史新高。 Back 的樂觀態度與 Bitwise 執行長 Hunter Horsley 的觀點一致，即將到來的 2024 年 4 月比特幣減半可能會對以美元計算的供應量減少產生比之前減半大三倍的影響。

Bitcoin Maximalist Predicts All-Time High, Supported by Convergence of Bullish Factors

在看漲因素匯聚的支持下，比特幣最大化主義者預測歷史新高

In a prophetic analysis posted on Twitter, renowned Bitcoin (BTC) advocate and Blockstream founder Adam Back has forecasted a surge in BTC's price that could lead to a new all-time high. Back's projection is grounded in a confluence of factors that he believes will create a favorable environment for BTC's ascent.

在 Twitter 上發布的預言性分析中，著名的比特幣 (BTC) 倡導者和 Blockstream 創始人 Adam Back 預測 BTC 價格飆升，可能會創下歷史新高。 Back 的預測是基於多種因素的綜合考慮，他認為這些因素將為 BTC 的上漲創造有利的環境。

Factors Favoring a Price Surge

有利於價格飆升的因素

According to Back, the closure of traditional markets, including those trading BTC-based assets, over the weekend will mitigate the risk of precipitous selloffs that have historically dampened BTC's momentum. Additionally, the recent instability at Coinbase, which caused a market-wide shock in February, is less likely to recur due to diminished trading volumes, further reducing the potential for price suppression.

Back 表示，傳統市場（包括基於 BTC 的資產交易的市場）在周末關閉將減輕急劇拋售的風險，這種拋售歷來削弱了 BTC 的勢頭。此外，Coinbase 最近的不穩定性在 2 月引起了整個市場的衝擊，但由於交易量減少，這種情況不太可能再次發生，從而進一步降低了價格壓制的可能性。

Furthermore, Back contends that BTC is poised to experience a series of three daily price increases exceeding $1,000, a feat that would enable it to surpass its previous zenith of $73,750, established on March 14. This bullish convergence of factors, in Back's estimation, strongly supports the likelihood of a substantial BTC price rally.

此外，Back 認為，BTC 的價格將連續三天上漲超過 1,000 美元，這一壯舉將使其突破 3 月 14 日創下的 73,750 美元的最高點。Ball 認為，這種看漲因素的融合強烈支持比特幣價格大幅上漲的可能性。

Bitwise CEO Highlights Impactful Halving Event

Bitwise 執行長強調影響力減半事件

Hunter Horsley, CEO of Bitwise, has echoed Back's optimism, asserting that the upcoming Bitcoin halving event holds the potential to overshadow the impact of the previous halving. In a recent Twitter post, Horsley elaborated that the impending halving will reduce the daily supply of BTC by a factor of three when measured in USD terms.

Bitwise 執行長 Hunter Horsley 呼應了巴克的樂觀態度，聲稱即將到來的比特幣減半事件有可能掩蓋先前減半的影響。霍斯利在最近的推特貼文中詳細闡述了即將到來的減半將使比特幣的每日供應量以美元計算減少三倍。

The significance of the Bitcoin halving, scheduled for April 19, lies in its potential to serve as a significant bullish catalyst for the asset. However, Horsley emphasizes the importance of considering other economic variables in assessing the halving event's full impact.

定於 4 月 19 日舉行的比特幣減半的意義在於它有可能成為該資產的重要看漲催化劑。然而，霍斯利強調在評估減半事件的全面影響時考慮其他經濟變數的重要性。

Rate Cuts and Historical Precedents

降息和歷史先例

Notably, the Federal Reserve (Fed) reduced interest rates to zero prior to the last halving event. Horsley suggests that a similar pattern may emerge in the lead-up to this halving, particularly as the central bank contemplates further rate reductions.

值得注意的是，Fed（Fed）在上次減半事件之前將利率降至零。霍斯利表示，在減半前可能會出現類似的模式，特別是在央行考慮進一步降息的情況下。

Conclusion

結論

The convergence of favorable market conditions, technical indicators, and macroeconomic factors has ignited optimism among Bitcoin proponents, leading to widespread predictions of a new all-time high. While historical events and current market dynamics provide a strong basis for bullish sentiment, it remains crucial to exercise caution and monitor the evolving market landscape.

有利的市場條件、技術指標和宏觀經濟因素的融合點燃了比特幣支持者的樂觀情緒，導致人們普遍預測比特幣將創下歷史新高。儘管歷史事件和當前的市場動態為看漲情緒提供了堅實的基礎，但謹慎行事並監控不斷變化的市場格局仍然至關重要。