Bitcoin Max 相信多种因素的融合将推动 BTC 飙升至历史新高

比特币极端主义者、Blockstream 创始人 Adam Back 预测，由于传统市场休市、交易量下降以及可能出现三根 1000 美元日线蜡烛等因素，比特币 (BTC) 本周末将创下历史新高。 Back 的乐观态度与 Bitwise 首席执行官 Hunter Horsley 的观点一致，即即将到来的 2024 年 4 月比特币减半可能会对以美元计算的供应量减少产生比之前减半大三倍的影响。

Bitcoin Maximalist Predicts All-Time High, Supported by Convergence of Bullish Factors

在看涨因素汇聚的支持下，比特币最大化主义者预测历史新高

In a prophetic analysis posted on Twitter, renowned Bitcoin (BTC) advocate and Blockstream founder Adam Back has forecasted a surge in BTC's price that could lead to a new all-time high. Back's projection is grounded in a confluence of factors that he believes will create a favorable environment for BTC's ascent.

在 Twitter 上发布的预言性分析中，著名的比特币 (BTC) 倡导者和 Blockstream 创始人 Adam Back 预测 BTC 价格飙升，可能会创下历史新高。 Back 的预测是基于多种因素的综合考虑，他认为这些因素将为 BTC 的上涨创造有利的环境。

Factors Favoring a Price Surge

有利于价格飙升的因素

According to Back, the closure of traditional markets, including those trading BTC-based assets, over the weekend will mitigate the risk of precipitous selloffs that have historically dampened BTC's momentum. Additionally, the recent instability at Coinbase, which caused a market-wide shock in February, is less likely to recur due to diminished trading volumes, further reducing the potential for price suppression.

Back 表示，传统市场（包括基于 BTC 的资产交易的市场）在周末关闭将减轻急剧抛售的风险，这种抛售历来削弱了 BTC 的势头。此外，Coinbase 最近的不稳定在 2 月份引起了整个市场的冲击，但由于交易量减少，这种情况不太可能再次发生，从而进一步降低了价格压制的可能性。

Furthermore, Back contends that BTC is poised to experience a series of three daily price increases exceeding $1,000, a feat that would enable it to surpass its previous zenith of $73,750, established on March 14. This bullish convergence of factors, in Back's estimation, strongly supports the likelihood of a substantial BTC price rally.

此外，Back 认为，BTC 的价格将连续三天上涨超过 1,000 美元，这一壮举将使其突破 3 月 14 日创下的 73,750 美元的最高点。 Back 认为，这种看涨因素的融合强烈支持比特币价格大幅上涨的可能性。

Bitwise CEO Highlights Impactful Halving Event

Bitwise 首席执行官强调影响力减半事件

Hunter Horsley, CEO of Bitwise, has echoed Back's optimism, asserting that the upcoming Bitcoin halving event holds the potential to overshadow the impact of the previous halving. In a recent Twitter post, Horsley elaborated that the impending halving will reduce the daily supply of BTC by a factor of three when measured in USD terms.

Bitwise 首席执行官亨特·霍斯利 (Hunter Horsley) 呼应了巴克的乐观态度，声称即将到来的比特币减半事件有可能掩盖之前减半的影响。霍斯利在最近的推特帖子中详细阐述了即将到来的减半将使比特币的每日供应量以美元计算减少三倍。

The significance of the Bitcoin halving, scheduled for April 19, lies in its potential to serve as a significant bullish catalyst for the asset. However, Horsley emphasizes the importance of considering other economic variables in assessing the halving event's full impact.

定于 4 月 19 日举行的比特币减半的意义在于它有可能成为该资产的重要看涨催化剂。然而，霍斯利强调在评估减半事件的全面影响时考虑其他经济变量的重要性。

Rate Cuts and Historical Precedents

降息和历史先例

Notably, the Federal Reserve (Fed) reduced interest rates to zero prior to the last halving event. Horsley suggests that a similar pattern may emerge in the lead-up to this halving, particularly as the central bank contemplates further rate reductions.

值得注意的是，美联储（Fed）在上次减半事件之前将利率降至零。霍斯利表示，在减半之前可能会出现类似的模式，特别是在央行考虑进一步降息的情况下。

Conclusion

结论

The convergence of favorable market conditions, technical indicators, and macroeconomic factors has ignited optimism among Bitcoin proponents, leading to widespread predictions of a new all-time high. While historical events and current market dynamics provide a strong basis for bullish sentiment, it remains crucial to exercise caution and monitor the evolving market landscape.

有利的市场条件、技术指标和宏观经济因素的融合点燃了比特币支持者的乐观情绪，导致人们普遍预测比特币将创下历史新高。尽管历史事件和当前的市场动态为看涨情绪提供了坚实的基础，但谨慎行事并监控不断变化的市场格局仍然至关重要。