比特幣和其他主要加密貨幣在特朗普的關稅之前

在過去的24小時內，比特幣和其他主要加密貨幣在7天的榜單上試圖推動下降趨勢。

Donald Trump is expected to announce further tariffs on Thursday, in what might be seen as ‘Liberation Day’ for the beleaguered currency.

預計唐納德·特朗普（Donald Trump）將在周四宣布進一步的關稅，這可能被視為陷入困境的貨幣的“解放日”。

The post Bitcoin, Major Crypto Prices Today, April 11: BTC Tries Push Vs Downtrend, Trump Tariffs Imminentmajor crypto prices are today, April 12th, attempting to push against a downtrend seen on the seven-day chart. This comes just hours before Donald Trump is expected to impose further tariffs, despite anticipation of less severe tariffs and a 10-point increase in the Fear and Greed Index towards neutral.

比特幣後，今天4月11日的主要加密價格：BTC嘗試推動與下降趨勢，特朗普關稅即將到來的Major Crypto價格今天為4月12日，試圖推動在7天圖表上看到的下降趨勢。預計唐納德·特朗普（Donald Trump）預計徵收不太嚴重的關稅和恐懼和貪婪指數中立的10點增加了數小時，這是在數小時之前。

However, analysts at The Kobeissi Letter have spotted another concerning trend – one that has seen the S&P 500 slide 2% since the Federal Reserve began cutting rates in September 2024.

但是，Kobeissi信中的分析師發現了另一個有關趨勢的信息 - 自20024年9月美聯儲開始降低費率以來，標準普爾500標準普爾500幻燈片的幻燈片已有2％。

Their analysis, shared on Crypto Twitter, highlighted the onset of President Trump’s trade war coinciding with the peak in 10-year note yields earlier in 2024. Yet, over the past two months, rates have seen a decline as markets priced in a recession, leading to a reduction in new lows in yields.

他們在加密推特上分享的分析強調了特朗普總統的貿易戰發作與2024年早些時候的10年票據收益率相吻合。但是，在過去兩個月中，隨著市場價格在經濟衰退中定價，匯率下降了，導致新收益率降低了新低點。

Further increases in the 25% auto tariff saw another drop, not yet reaching a new lower high in yields. But, crucially, the analysis showed that, as the Fed pivoted to cutting rates, the S&P 500 also sustained a 2% decline.

25％的自動關稅進一步增加，尚未達到新的高收益率。但是，至關重要的是，分析表明，由於美聯儲與削減速度相關，標準普爾500指數也下降了2％。

Its Average Return After PivotIs 1% Up Over 6 MonthsBut Historical Data Shows Further S&P 500 Declines After Rate Cuts During Recession

樞軸之後的平均收益在6個月內增加了1％，但歷史數據顯示，在經濟衰退期間降低率後，進一步的標準普爾500次下降

While the analysis showed an average return of 1% six months after the pivot, history shows further declines in the S&P 500 follow rate cuts during a recession.

雖然分析顯示樞軸六個月後的平均回報率為1％，但歷史顯示在經濟衰退期間，標準普爾500指數的降低率進一步下降。

In a case of rate cuts during a recession, the S&P 500 went down 6% in six months and 10% in 12 months. This is in stark contrast to the AVERAGE return of 1% six months after the pivot.

在經濟衰退期間降低稅率的情況下，標準普爾500指數在六個月內下降了6％，在12個月內下跌了10％。這與樞軸後六個月後的平均回報鮮明對比。

The analysis showed that, in cases of rate cuts during a bull market, the S&P 500, on average, sustained an 8% decline six months after the pivot and a 13% decline in 12 months.

分析表明，在牛市期間降低速度的情況下，標準普爾500指數平均在樞軸後六個月下降了8％，在12個月內下降了13％。

It added that, with consumer sentiment at its lowest since 2022, “inflation will rebound further in March and April and Sentiment will be lower”.

它補充說，自2022年以來，消費者的情緒處於最低水平，“通貨膨脹將在3月和四月進一步反彈，情緒將降低”。

Good Point: Despite the hype, no one really knows what will happen with Trump's tariffs tomorrow. My guess is they'll be less severe than expected and markets will shrug them off. But we'll see.

好點：儘管炒作，但沒有人真正知道明天特朗普的關稅會發生什麼。我的猜測是，它們的嚴重程度不如預期，市場將聳聳肩。但是我們會看到的。

Another Analyst Highlights Gold As Safe Haven Of Choice

另一位分析師將黃金作為選擇的避風港

Meanwhile, with anticipation building for Donald Trump to announce further tariffs as early as Thursday morning local time in Australia, some analysts believe the market’s ‘risk appetite’ continues to decline.

同時，由於唐納德·特朗普（Donald Trump）在澳大利亞週四上午的當地時間期望宣布進一步的關稅，因此一些分析師認為，市場的“風險胃口”繼續下降。

Speaking to Benzinga, ADM Investor Services International Chief Economist and Global Strategist, Marc Ostwald, said that, “for the time being [reduced risk appetite] drives a wedge between crypto assets and gold, which continues to be the ‘safe haven’ of choice.”

ADM Investor Services國際首席經濟學家兼全球戰略家Marc Ostwald在接受Benzinga發表講話時說：“暫時是[降低風險胃口]在加密資產和黃金之間推動了楔子，這仍然是選擇的“避風港”。”

He added that market participants are increasingly looking to diversify away from USD exposure, “which has long been a source of concern to them”.

他補充說，市場參與者越來越希望從美元的曝光率中多樣化，“長期以來一直是他們關注的來源”。