比特币和其他主要加密货币在特朗普的关税之前

在过去的24小时内，比特币和其他主要加密货币在7天的榜单上试图推动下降趋势。

Donald Trump is expected to announce further tariffs on Thursday, in what might be seen as ‘Liberation Day’ for the beleaguered currency.

预计唐纳德·特朗普（Donald Trump）将在周四宣布进一步的关税，这可能被视为陷入困境的货币的“解放日”。

The post Bitcoin, Major Crypto Prices Today, April 11: BTC Tries Push Vs Downtrend, Trump Tariffs Imminentmajor crypto prices are today, April 12th, attempting to push against a downtrend seen on the seven-day chart. This comes just hours before Donald Trump is expected to impose further tariffs, despite anticipation of less severe tariffs and a 10-point increase in the Fear and Greed Index towards neutral.

比特币后，今天4月11日的主要加密价格：BTC尝试推动与下降趋势，特朗普关税即将到来的Major Crypto价格今天为4月12日，试图推动在7天图表上看到的下降趋势。预计唐纳德·特朗普（Donald Trump）预计征收不太严重的关税和恐惧和贪婪指数中立的10点增加了数小时，这是在数小时之前。

However, analysts at The Kobeissi Letter have spotted another concerning trend – one that has seen the S&P 500 slide 2% since the Federal Reserve began cutting rates in September 2024.

但是，Kobeissi信中的分析师发现了另一个有关趋势的信息 - 自20024年9月美联储开始降低费率以来，标准普尔500标准普尔500幻灯片的幻灯片已有2％。

Their analysis, shared on Crypto Twitter, highlighted the onset of President Trump’s trade war coinciding with the peak in 10-year note yields earlier in 2024. Yet, over the past two months, rates have seen a decline as markets priced in a recession, leading to a reduction in new lows in yields.

他们在加密推特上分享的分析强调了特朗普总统的贸易战发作与2024年早些时候的10年票据收益率相吻合。但是，在过去两个月中，随着市场价格在经济衰退中定价，汇率下降了，导致新收益率降低了新低点。

Further increases in the 25% auto tariff saw another drop, not yet reaching a new lower high in yields. But, crucially, the analysis showed that, as the Fed pivoted to cutting rates, the S&P 500 also sustained a 2% decline.

25％的自动关税进一步增加，尚未达到新的高收益率。但是，至关重要的是，分析表明，由于美联储与削减速度相关，标准普尔500指数也下降了2％。

Its Average Return After PivotIs 1% Up Over 6 MonthsBut Historical Data Shows Further S&P 500 Declines After Rate Cuts During Recession

枢轴之后的平均收益在6个月内增加了1％，但历史数据显示，在经济衰退期间降低率后，进一步的标准普尔500次下降

While the analysis showed an average return of 1% six months after the pivot, history shows further declines in the S&P 500 follow rate cuts during a recession.

虽然分析显示枢轴六个月后的平均回报率为1％，但历史显示在经济衰退期间，标准普尔500指数的降低率进一步下降。

In a case of rate cuts during a recession, the S&P 500 went down 6% in six months and 10% in 12 months. This is in stark contrast to the AVERAGE return of 1% six months after the pivot.

在经济衰退期间降低税率的情况下，标准普尔500指数在六个月内下降了6％，在12个月内下跌了10％。这与枢轴后六个月后的平均回报鲜明对比。

The analysis showed that, in cases of rate cuts during a bull market, the S&P 500, on average, sustained an 8% decline six months after the pivot and a 13% decline in 12 months.

分析表明，在牛市期间降低速度的情况下，标准普尔500指数平均在枢轴后六个月下降了8％，在12个月内下降了13％。

It added that, with consumer sentiment at its lowest since 2022, “inflation will rebound further in March and April and Sentiment will be lower”.

它补充说，自2022年以来，消费者的情绪处于最低水平，“通货膨胀将在3月和四月进一步反弹，情绪将降低”。

Good Point: Despite the hype, no one really knows what will happen with Trump's tariffs tomorrow. My guess is they'll be less severe than expected and markets will shrug them off. But we'll see.

好点：尽管炒作，但没有人真正知道明天特朗普的关税会发生什么。我的猜测是，它们的严重程度不如预期，市场将耸耸肩。但是我们会看到的。

Another Analyst Highlights Gold As Safe Haven Of Choice

另一位分析师将黄金作为选择的避风港

Meanwhile, with anticipation building for Donald Trump to announce further tariffs as early as Thursday morning local time in Australia, some analysts believe the market’s ‘risk appetite’ continues to decline.

同时，由于唐纳德·特朗普（Donald Trump）在澳大利亚周四上午的当地时间期望宣布进一步的关税，因此一些分析师认为，市场的“风险胃口”继续下降。

Speaking to Benzinga, ADM Investor Services International Chief Economist and Global Strategist, Marc Ostwald, said that, “for the time being [reduced risk appetite] drives a wedge between crypto assets and gold, which continues to be the ‘safe haven’ of choice.”

ADM Investor Services国际首席经济学家兼全球战略家Marc Ostwald在接受Benzinga发表讲话时说：“暂时是[降低风险胃口]在加密资产和黄金之间推动了楔子，这仍然是选择的“避风港”。”

He added that market participants are increasingly looking to diversify away from USD exposure, “which has long been a source of concern to them”.

他补充说，市场参与者越来越希望从美元的曝光率中多样化，“长期以来一直是他们关注的来源”。