消費者表示懷疑，比特幣的命運不確定

德意志銀行進行的一項調查顯示，近三分之一的全球消費者預計 2024 年比特幣的價值將跌破 2 萬美元，這表明對加密貨幣的短期前景持悲觀態度。相比之下，只有 10% 的人預計比特幣價格將上漲至 75,000 美元以上，而 38% 的人預測比特幣在未來幾年會下跌或消失。儘管樂觀的分析師預測比特幣價格將飆升至 10 萬美元以上，但該調查凸顯了消費者對比特幣未來價值的看法存在分歧。

Bitcoin's Future Uncertain as Global Consumers Express Pessimism

全球消費者表達悲觀情緒，比特幣的未來充滿不確定性

A recent survey conducted by Deutsche Bank has shed light on the starkly contrasting views among global consumers regarding the future of bitcoin. Nearly one-third of respondents anticipate the apex cryptocurrency to plummet below $20,000 by year's end, a significant drop from its current valuation of $68,652. This pessimistic outlook stands in sharp contrast to the bullish predictions of some analysts who envision bitcoin soaring past $100,000 in the same timeframe.

德意志銀行最近進行的一項調查揭示了全球消費者對比特幣未來的截然不同的看法。近三分之一的受訪者預計到年底，頂級加密貨幣將跌至 20,000 美元以下，較目前 68,652 美元的估值大幅下跌。這種悲觀的前景與一些分析師的樂觀預測形成鮮明對比，他們預計比特幣將在同一時間範圍內飆升至 10 萬美元以上。

Polarization of Opinions

意見兩極化

The Deutsche Bank survey, conducted in March, reveals a substantial split in consumer sentiment towards bitcoin. While 38% predict its demise in the coming years, only 10% believe it will surpass $75,000 in 2024. This pessimism may stem from the recent volatility in the cryptocurrency market, with bitcoin experiencing significant price fluctuations over the past several months.

德意志銀行三月進行的調查顯示，消費者對比特幣的看法有巨大分歧。雖然38% 的人預測其在未來幾年內會消亡，但只有10% 的人認為2024 年其價格將超過75,000 美元。這種悲觀情緒可能源自於近期加密貨幣市場的波動，而比特幣在過去幾個月經歷了大幅價格波動。

Bullish Perspectives

看漲觀點

Despite the bearish sentiment among consumers, some industry experts remain optimistic about bitcoin's long-term prospects. Standard Chartered analyst Geoff Kendrick has consistently maintained that the cryptocurrency will exceed $100,000 this year and could reach as high as $200,000 next year. Bernstein strategists also share this bullish outlook, forecasting a $150,000 valuation by 2025.

儘管消費者情緒悲觀，但一些行業專家仍然對比特幣的長期前景持樂觀態度。渣打銀行分析師傑夫肯德里克（Geoff Kendrick）一貫認為，加密貨幣今年將超過 10 萬美元，明年可能高達 20 萬美元。 Bernstein 策略師也認同這一看漲前景，預測到 2025 年估值將達到 15 萬美元。

Drivers of Optimism

樂觀的驅動力

The recent approval of spot bitcoin ETFs has been cited as a significant factor contributing to the optimism surrounding bitcoin. These funds have played a substantial role in driving demand for the cryptocurrency, propelling its price by 63% year-to-date. Additionally, the upcoming halving event, expected this month, is anticipated to reduce bitcoin output, potentially exerting upward pressure on its value.

最近對現貨比特幣 ETF 的批准被認為是推動比特幣樂觀情緒的重要因素。這些基金在推動加密貨幣需求方面發揮了重要作用，今年迄今，其價格上漲了 63%。此外，預計本月即將到來的減半事件預計將減少比特幣產量，可能對其價值施加上行壓力。

Crypto Billionaire's Perspective

加密億萬富翁的觀點

Crypto billionaire Mike Novogratz has expressed his belief that bitcoin's price floor has shifted to $50,000 due to increasing adoption. He contends that it is unlikely for the cryptocurrency to revisit its previous lows.

加密貨幣億萬富翁 Mike Novogratz 表示，他相信，由於採用率不斷提高，比特幣的價格下限已轉向 5 萬美元。他認為，加密貨幣不太可能重回先前的低點。

Conclusion

結論

While some consumers are skeptical about bitcoin's future, others remain bullish. The cryptocurrency market's volatility and uncertain regulatory landscape contribute to the divided opinions. However, the approval of spot bitcoin ETFs and the upcoming halving event have instilled optimism among many experts. As the year progresses, it remains to be seen whether the pessimists or the optimists will be proven correct.

儘管一些消費者對比特幣的未來持懷疑態度，但其他消費者仍然看好。加密貨幣市場的波動性和不確定的監管環境導致了意見分歧。然而，現貨比特幣ETF的批准和即將到來的減半事件給許多專家帶來了樂觀情緒。隨著時間的推移，悲觀主義者或樂觀主義者是否會被證明是正確的還有待觀察。