消费者表示怀疑，比特币的命运不确定

德意志银行进行的一项调查显示，近三分之一的全球消费者预计 2024 年比特币的价值将跌破 20,000 美元，这表明对加密货币的短期前景持悲观态度。相比之下，只有 10% 的人预计比特币价格将上涨至 75,000 美元以上，而 38% 的人预测比特币在未来几年会下跌或消失。尽管乐观的分析师预测比特币价格将飙升至 10 万美元以上，但该调查凸显了消费者对比特币未来价值的看法存在分歧。

Bitcoin's Future Uncertain as Global Consumers Express Pessimism

全球消费者表达悲观情绪，比特币的未来充满不确定性

A recent survey conducted by Deutsche Bank has shed light on the starkly contrasting views among global consumers regarding the future of bitcoin. Nearly one-third of respondents anticipate the apex cryptocurrency to plummet below $20,000 by year's end, a significant drop from its current valuation of $68,652. This pessimistic outlook stands in sharp contrast to the bullish predictions of some analysts who envision bitcoin soaring past $100,000 in the same timeframe.

德意志银行最近进行的一项调查揭示了全球消费者对比特币未来的截然不同的看法。近三分之一的受访者预计到年底，顶级加密货币将跌至 20,000 美元以下，较目前 68,652 美元的估值大幅下跌。这种悲观的前景与一些分析师的乐观预测形成鲜明对比，他们预计比特币将在同一时间范围内飙升至 10 万美元以上。

Polarization of Opinions

意见两极分化

The Deutsche Bank survey, conducted in March, reveals a substantial split in consumer sentiment towards bitcoin. While 38% predict its demise in the coming years, only 10% believe it will surpass $75,000 in 2024. This pessimism may stem from the recent volatility in the cryptocurrency market, with bitcoin experiencing significant price fluctuations over the past several months.

德意志银行三月份进行的调查显示，消费者对比特币的看法存在巨大分歧。虽然 38% 的人预测其在未来几年内消亡，但只有 10% 的人认为 2024 年其价格将超过 75,000 美元。这种悲观情绪可能源于近期加密货币市场的波动，比特币在过去几个月经历了大幅价格波动。

Bullish Perspectives

看涨观点

Despite the bearish sentiment among consumers, some industry experts remain optimistic about bitcoin's long-term prospects. Standard Chartered analyst Geoff Kendrick has consistently maintained that the cryptocurrency will exceed $100,000 this year and could reach as high as $200,000 next year. Bernstein strategists also share this bullish outlook, forecasting a $150,000 valuation by 2025.

尽管消费者情绪悲观，但一些行业专家仍然对比特币的长期前景持乐观态度。渣打银行分析师杰夫·肯德里克（Geoff Kendrick）一贯认为，加密货币今年将超过 10 万美元，明年可能高达 20 万美元。 Bernstein 策略师也认同这一看涨前景，预测到 2025 年估值将达到 15 万美元。

Drivers of Optimism

乐观的驱动力

The recent approval of spot bitcoin ETFs has been cited as a significant factor contributing to the optimism surrounding bitcoin. These funds have played a substantial role in driving demand for the cryptocurrency, propelling its price by 63% year-to-date. Additionally, the upcoming halving event, expected this month, is anticipated to reduce bitcoin output, potentially exerting upward pressure on its value.

最近现货比特币 ETF 的批准被认为是推动比特币乐观情绪的一个重要因素。这些基金在推动加密货币需求方面发挥了重要作用，今年迄今为止，其价格上涨了 63%。此外，预计本月即将到来的减半事件预计将减少比特币产量，可能对其价值施加上行压力。

Crypto Billionaire's Perspective

加密亿万富翁的观点

Crypto billionaire Mike Novogratz has expressed his belief that bitcoin's price floor has shifted to $50,000 due to increasing adoption. He contends that it is unlikely for the cryptocurrency to revisit its previous lows.

加密货币亿万富翁迈克·诺沃格拉茨 (Mike Novogratz) 表示，他相信，由于采用率不断提高，比特币的价格下限已转向 50,000 美元。他认为，加密货币不太可能重回之前的低点。

Conclusion

结论

While some consumers are skeptical about bitcoin's future, others remain bullish. The cryptocurrency market's volatility and uncertain regulatory landscape contribute to the divided opinions. However, the approval of spot bitcoin ETFs and the upcoming halving event have instilled optimism among many experts. As the year progresses, it remains to be seen whether the pessimists or the optimists will be proven correct.

尽管一些消费者对比特币的未来持怀疑态度，但其他消费者仍然看好。加密货币市场的波动性和不确定的监管环境导致了意见分歧。然而，现货比特币ETF的批准和即将到来的减半事件给许多专家带来了乐观情绪。随着时间的推移，悲观主义者或乐观主义者是否会被证明是正确的还有待观察。