比特幣在伊朗和以色列衝突中動搖，其避險地位受到質疑

儘管比特幣最近對地緣政治緊張局勢做出了負面反應，但專家認為，由於其流動性、有限的供應和對通膨衝擊的抵抗力，它仍然是一個安全港。雖然比特幣的短期波動可能使其在不確定時期顯得脆弱，但其作為價值儲存手段的長期性質表明，它將在事後恢復並表現良好。

Bitcoin's Reaction to Iran-Israel Conflict Raises Questions About Its Safe-Haven Status

比特幣對伊朗-以色列衝突的反應引發了對其避險地位的質疑

Amidst the escalating geopolitical tensions between Iran and Israel, Bitcoin's price has experienced a temporary decline, prompting questions about its reliability as a safe-haven asset. Andrew Ross Sorkin, a renowned CNBC journalist, has ignited the debate by expressing skepticism about Bitcoin's ability to withstand market volatility, having previously criticized its store-of-value potential.

在伊朗和以色列之間不斷升級的地緣政治緊張局勢中，比特幣的價格經歷了暫時的下跌，引發了對其作為避險資產的可靠性的質疑。 CNBC 著名記者 Andrew Ross Sorkin 對比特幣抵禦市場波動的能力表示懷疑，引發了這場爭論，此前他曾批評其價值儲存潛力。

This debate hinges on the assumption of a full-scale war between the two nations, a scenario that remains unlikely at this juncture. However, the situation has highlighted Bitcoin's sensitivity to geopolitical events, which has raised concerns about its suitability as a safe haven.

這場辯論取決於兩國之間爆發全面戰爭的假設，但目前這種情況仍然不太可能發生。然而，這種情況凸顯了比特幣對地緣政治事件的敏感性，這引發了人們對其是否適合作為避險資產的擔憂。

Jack Mallers, the CEO of Strike app, posits that Bitcoin's liquidity and ease of accessibility make it a prime target for expressing market anxiety during times of uncertainty. He draws parallels to the COVID-19 pandemic in March 2020, where Bitcoin's price plummeted to $3,000 only to rebound and surge to $70,000 a year later.

Strike 應用程式的執行長 Jack Mallers 認為，比特幣的流動性和易於獲取性使其成為在不確定時期表達市場焦慮的主要目標。他將比特幣的價格與 2020 年 3 月的 COVID-19 大流行進行了類比，當時比特幣的價格暴跌至 3,000 美元，一年後反彈並飆升至 70,000 美元。

"Bitcoin is one of the few free and liquid markets that exist," Mallers asserts. "The reaction is immediate. It behaved similarly in March 2020 (Covid), when it fell to $3,000 only to eventually surge to $70,000 a year later. I expect this scenario to play out again."

馬勒斯斷言：“比特幣是現存的為數不多的自由且流動性強的市場之一。” 「反應是立竿見影的。它在 2020 年 3 月 (Covid) 的表現類似，當時價格跌至 3,000 美元，一年後最終飆升至 70,000 美元。我預計這種情況會再次上演。”

In a similar vein, Bob Burnett, the CEO of Barefoot Mining, characterizes Bitcoin as a dual-natured asset, serving both as a risk asset and a risk-free asset. He emphasizes Bitcoin's role as an early indicator of global events, which may explain its vulnerability during periods of uncertainty. However, he maintains that Bitcoin's long-term store-of-value proposition ultimately leads to its recovery.

同樣，Barefoot Mining 執行長 Bob Burnett 將比特幣描述為雙重性質的資產，既是風險資產，又是無風險資產。他強調了比特幣作為全球事件早期指標的作用，這可能解釋了它在不確定時期的脆弱性。然而，他堅持認為，比特幣的長期價值儲存主張最終會導致其復甦。

Burnett questions Bitcoin's ability to act as a safe haven in the event of war or hyperinflationary events, such as the potential closure of the Strait of Hormuz. He underscores Bitcoin's finite quantity and ease of ownership, suggesting that it remains an essential asset in the face of inflationary shocks and the consequences of conflict.

伯內特質疑比特幣在發生戰爭或惡性通貨膨脹事件（例如霍爾木茲海峽可能關閉）時充當避風港的能力。他強調了比特幣的數量有限且易於擁有，顯示面對通膨衝擊和衝突後果，它仍然是一種重要資產。

"Look at the credit cards of Ukrainians that no longer work abroad," Burnett says. "Only those who had bitcoins were able to flee rather than being forcibly enlisted in the army."

「看看那些不再在國外工作的烏克蘭人的信用卡，」伯內特說。 “只有那些擁有比特幣的人才能逃跑，而不是被強行入伍。”

Despite the initial decline, Bitcoin has since recovered its losses, trading above $66,000 at the time of writing this article. Its long-term trajectory remains bullish, with analysts predicting a potential surge towards $100,000.

儘管最初出現下跌，但比特幣此後已收復失地，在撰寫本文時交易價格已超過 66,000 美元。其長期軌跡仍看漲，分析師預測其價格可能飆升至 10 萬美元。

The debate surrounding Bitcoin's status as a safe haven is likely to continue as geopolitical and economic uncertainties persist. However, its liquidity, finite supply, and ease of ownership remain compelling attributes that may mitigate its short-term volatility and reinforce its long-term value proposition.

隨著地緣政治和經濟不確定性的持續存在，圍繞比特幣作為避風港地位的爭論可能會繼續下去。然而，其流動性、有限供應和易於所有權仍然具有引人注目的屬性，可能會減輕其短期波動性並強化其長期價值主張。