在 ETF 流入和看漲情緒的推動下，比特幣有望創紀錄的綠色運行

比特幣預計將結束歷史性的連續 7 個月的月度積極表現，要求 3 月份收盤價高於 61,130 美元。目前 63,800 美元的價格表明這是可行的。然而，減半前的調整仍然很明顯，比特幣從 73,800 美元跌至 61,000 美元以下。雖然一些分析師預計第一季結束前價格將飆升至 74,000 美元，但其他分析師認為在減半前的未來 26 天內可能會進一步調整。

Bitcoin Poised to Extend Green Streak, Buoyed by ETF Inflows and Bullish Sentiment

在 ETF 流入和看漲情緒的提振下，比特幣有望延續綠色趨勢

Bitcoin is on track to extend its record-breaking seven-month winning streak, buoyed by the steady inflow of capital into spot Bitcoin exchange-traded funds (ETFs) and a prevailing bullish sentiment ahead of the upcoming halving event.

受資金穩定流入現貨比特幣交易所交易基金（ETF）以及即將到來的減半事件之前普遍看漲情緒的推動，比特幣有望延續其破紀錄的七個月連漲勢頭。

As of March 23, 2024, Bitcoin was trading at approximately $63,800, hovering above the $61,130 threshold that would ensure a continuation of its green run. This would mark the first time in Bitcoin's history that it has posted seven consecutive monthly gains.

截至 2024 年 3 月 23 日，比特幣的交易價格約為 63,800 美元，徘徊在 61,130 美元的門檻之上，這將確保其綠色運行的持續。這將標誌著比特幣歷史上首次連續七個月上漲。

Historically, Bitcoin has experienced corrections during the pre-halving period, a time leading up to the reduction in the issuance of new Bitcoins. However, according to Matthijs de Vries, founder of AllianceBlock, the presence of ETFs is mitigating this concern.

從歷史上看，比特幣在減半前經歷過調整，導致新比特幣發行量減少。然而，AllianceBlock 創辦人 Matthijs de Vries 表示，ETF 的存在正在緩解這種擔憂。

"The steady inflow into spot Bitcoin ETFs is providing a significant boost to the price from its current level of $63,878," said de Vries. "With Bitcoin's halving cycle nearing its end, bullish sentiment will persist. I anticipate a Bitcoin price of $74,000 before the end of Q1."

de Vries 表示：“現貨比特幣 ETF 的穩定流入，使價格從目前的 63,878 美元水平顯著提升。” “隨著比特幣減半週期接近尾聲，看漲情緒將持續存在。我預計第一季末比特幣價格將達到 74,000 美元。”

Despite de Vries' optimism, there are indications that a pre-halving correction may still be underway. The Bitcoin price recently declined from $73,800 to below $61,000, although it has since recovered some ground.

儘管德弗里斯很樂觀，但有跡象表明減半前的調整可能仍在進行中。比特幣價格最近從 73,800 美元跌至 61,000 美元以下，儘管此後有所回升。

Rekt Capital, a prominent cryptocurrency analyst, suggests that Bitcoin remains in the "Danger Zone" where historical pre-halving retracements have occurred. "Anything can still happen in the next 26 days or so until the halving," the analyst tweeted.

著名加密貨幣分析師 Rekt Capital 表示，比特幣仍處於歷史性減半前回檔的「危險區」。這位分析師在推特上寫道：“在接下來的 26 天左右，直到減半之前，任何事情都可能發生。”

However, data from Willy Woo, a respected on-chain analyst, reveals a contrasting trend. Woo notes that ETF investors have sold during the recent Bitcoin price dip, while investors on the network have actually increased their holdings.

然而，受人尊敬的鏈上分析師 Willy Woo 的數據卻揭示了相反的趨勢。 Woo 指出，ETF 投資者在最近的比特幣價格下跌期間拋售了比特幣，而網路上的投資者實際上增加了持有量。

"ETF investors are showing that they are beginners," said Woo. "During the first dip, the ETFs saw $1.6 billion in outflows, while the Bitcoin network saw $1.1 billion in inflows. This means that many people with their own wallets bought the dip."

“ETF 投資者表明他們是初學者，”Woo 說。 「在第一次下跌期間，ETF 出現了 16 億美元的流出，而比特幣網絡則出現了 11 億美元的流入。這意味著許多擁有自己錢包的人在下跌時買入。”

The influx of retail investors into Bitcoin during the recent dip could potentially provide a catalyst for the continuation of the bull market. Whether retail participation will be sufficient to propel Bitcoin out of its current correction and sustain its upward trajectory remains to be seen.

在最近的下跌期間散戶投資者湧入比特幣可能會為牛市的持續提供催化劑。散戶參與是否足以推動比特幣擺脫當前的調整並維持其上升軌跡仍有待觀察。