在 ETF 流入和看涨情绪的推动下，比特币有望创纪录的绿色运行

比特币有望结束历史性的连续 7 个月的月度积极表现，要求 3 月份收盘价高于 61,130 美元。目前 63,800 美元的价格表明这是可行的。然而，减半前的调整仍然很明显，比特币从 73,800 美元跌至 61,000 美元以下。虽然一些分析师预计第一季度结束前价格将飙升至 74,000 美元，但其他分析师认为在减半前的未来 26 天内可能会出现进一步调整。

Bitcoin Poised to Extend Green Streak, Buoyed by ETF Inflows and Bullish Sentiment

在 ETF 流入和看涨情绪的提振下，比特币有望延续绿色趋势

Bitcoin is on track to extend its record-breaking seven-month winning streak, buoyed by the steady inflow of capital into spot Bitcoin exchange-traded funds (ETFs) and a prevailing bullish sentiment ahead of the upcoming halving event.

受资金稳定流入现货比特币交易所交易基金（ETF）以及即将到来的减半事件之前普遍看涨情绪的推动，比特币有望延续其破纪录的七个月连涨势头。

As of March 23, 2024, Bitcoin was trading at approximately $63,800, hovering above the $61,130 threshold that would ensure a continuation of its green run. This would mark the first time in Bitcoin's history that it has posted seven consecutive monthly gains.

截至 2024 年 3 月 23 日，比特币的交易价格约为 63,800 美元，徘徊在 61,130 美元的门槛之上，这将确保其绿色运行的持续。这将标志着比特币历史上首次连续七个月上涨。

Historically, Bitcoin has experienced corrections during the pre-halving period, a time leading up to the reduction in the issuance of new Bitcoins. However, according to Matthijs de Vries, founder of AllianceBlock, the presence of ETFs is mitigating this concern.

从历史上看，比特币在减半前经历过调整，导致新比特币发行量减少。然而，AllianceBlock 创始人 Matthijs de Vries 表示，ETF 的存在正在缓解这种担忧。

"The steady inflow into spot Bitcoin ETFs is providing a significant boost to the price from its current level of $63,878," said de Vries. "With Bitcoin's halving cycle nearing its end, bullish sentiment will persist. I anticipate a Bitcoin price of $74,000 before the end of Q1."

de Vries 表示：“现货比特币 ETF 的稳定流入，使价格从目前的 63,878 美元水平显着提升。” “随着比特币减半周期接近尾声，看涨情绪将持续存在。我预计第一季度末比特币价格将达到 74,000 美元。”

Despite de Vries' optimism, there are indications that a pre-halving correction may still be underway. The Bitcoin price recently declined from $73,800 to below $61,000, although it has since recovered some ground.

尽管德弗里斯很乐观，但有迹象表明减半前的调整可能仍在进行中。比特币价格最近从 73,800 美元跌至 61,000 美元以下，尽管此后有所回升。

Rekt Capital, a prominent cryptocurrency analyst, suggests that Bitcoin remains in the "Danger Zone" where historical pre-halving retracements have occurred. "Anything can still happen in the next 26 days or so until the halving," the analyst tweeted.

著名加密货币分析师 Rekt Capital 表示，比特币仍处于历史性减半前回调的“危险区”。这位分析师在推特上写道：“在接下来的 26 天左右，直到减半之前，任何事情都可能发生。”

However, data from Willy Woo, a respected on-chain analyst, reveals a contrasting trend. Woo notes that ETF investors have sold during the recent Bitcoin price dip, while investors on the network have actually increased their holdings.

然而，受人尊敬的链上分析师 Willy Woo 的数据却揭示了相反的趋势。 Woo 指出，ETF 投资者在最近的比特币价格下跌期间抛售了比特币，而网络上的投资者实际上增加了持有量。

"ETF investors are showing that they are beginners," said Woo. "During the first dip, the ETFs saw $1.6 billion in outflows, while the Bitcoin network saw $1.1 billion in inflows. This means that many people with their own wallets bought the dip."

“ETF 投资者表明他们是初学者，”Woo 说。 “在第一次下跌期间，ETF 出现了 16 亿美元的流出，而比特币网络则出现了 11 亿美元的流入。这意味着许多拥有自己钱包的人在下跌时买入。”

The influx of retail investors into Bitcoin during the recent dip could potentially provide a catalyst for the continuation of the bull market. Whether retail participation will be sufficient to propel Bitcoin out of its current correction and sustain its upward trajectory remains to be seen.

在最近的下跌期间散户投资者涌入比特币可能会为牛市的持续提供催化剂。散户参与是否足以推动比特币摆脱当前的调整并维持其上升轨迹仍有待观察。