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加密貨幣新聞文章

在過去的幾年中,比特幣優勢穩步提高,只有當市場過熱時才落下。今年,冷卻加密市場為交易者拒絕Altcoins並選擇更安全的賭注做出了貢獻。

2025/03/28 23:24

3月28日,星期五,比特幣開始在其價格和優勢上表現出潛在糾正的多種跡象。這種長期趨勢線表明比特幣優勢即將看到重大的校正。

Bitcoin’s dominance has steadily increased in the past few years, only falling when the markets overheat. This year, the cooling crypto markets have contributed to traders rejecting altcoins and opting for a safer bet. However, there are growing signs of a correction, which may see altcoins explode.

在過去的幾年中,比特幣的統治地位穩步增長,只有在市場過熱的情況下才落下。今年,冷卻加密市場為交易者拒絕Altcoins並選擇更安全的賭注做出了貢獻。但是,越來越多的校正跡象可能會看到山寨幣爆炸。

On Friday, March 28, Bitcoin started showing multiple signs of a potential correction, both in its price and dominance. Firstly, Bitcoin’s dominance is currently at 62.03% and is running against a long-term trendline charted from its multi-year highs. This creates a wedge formation with the recent low in December.

3月28日,星期五,比特幣開始在其價格和優勢上表現出潛在糾正的多種跡象。首先,比特幣的統治地位目前為62.03%,並且與多年高點相比的長期趨勢線相反。這創建了一個楔形的形成,最近12月的低點。

This long-term trendline suggests that Bitcoin dominance is about to see a major correction. This potentially means a fall to 40%, a level last seen in 2023. This scenario could play out in several good and bad ways for BTC.

這種長期趨勢線表明比特幣優勢即將看到重大的校正。這可能意味著跌至40%,這是2023年最後一次出現的水平。對於BTC來說,這種情況可能以幾種好和壞的方式發揮作用。

A drop in Bitcoin’s dominance can occur during both rising and falling crypto markets. For instance, in 2023, when dominance was just 40%, the total crypto market cap was $1 trillion compared to its current level of $2.77 trillion.

在加密市場上升和下降期間,比特幣的主導地位可能會下降。例如,在2023年,當統治地位僅為40%時,加密貨幣市值為1萬億美元,而目前的水平為2.77萬億美元。

On the other hand, BTC is currently trading at $85,107, below the 200-day Exponential Moving Average of $85,555. This key indicator suggests that troubling times may be ahead, although Bitcoin tended to recover above these levels after some months.

另一方面,BTC目前的交易價格為85,107美元,低於200天的移動平均值85,555美元。該關鍵指標表明,儘管比特幣在幾個月後傾向於恢復到這些水平以上,但令人不安的時間可能會遙遙無期。

Another chart adds to a bearish case, with the BTC price rejecting the resistance at $88,400, which formed in December. This suggests that a near-term correction is coming, which could see Bitcoin’s price tumbling. However, this scenario would likely hurt altcoins even more since they are typically more volatile.

另一個圖表增加了看跌案,BTC價格拒絕了12月成立的電阻為88,400美元。這表明即將進行近期更正,這可能會使比特幣的價格上漲。但是,這種情況可能會更加傷害山寨幣,因為它們通常更易變。

A longer-term chart offers a more positive spin on these scenarios. Bitcoin is currently forming a narrowing wedge, whose upper boundary is around $110,000. The Bitcoin price will likely crash if it falls below its lower boundary. Despite this, the long-term outlook remains positive and could benefit altcoins.

長期圖表在這些情況下提供了更積極的旋轉。比特幣目前正在形成一個狹窄的楔形,其上邊界約為110,000美元。如果比特幣價格低於其下邊界,則可能會崩潰。儘管如此,長期前景仍然是積極的,可以使山寨幣受益。

Overall, the charts suggest that the BTC price is at a key point, indicating that it can either break out of its resistance or crash. However, a breakout is more likely to coincide with a fall in dominance, as, in this scenario, altcoins will likely rise even further.

總體而言,圖表表明BTC價格處於關鍵點,表明它可能會爆發出阻力或崩潰。但是,突破更有可能與統治地位的下降相吻合,因為在這種情況下,Altcoins可能會進一步上升。

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