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3月28日,星期五,比特币开始在其价格和优势上表现出潜在纠正的多种迹象。这种长期趋势线表明比特币优势即将看到重大的校正。
Bitcoin’s dominance has steadily increased in the past few years, only falling when the markets overheat. This year, the cooling crypto markets have contributed to traders rejecting altcoins and opting for a safer bet. However, there are growing signs of a correction, which may see altcoins explode.
在过去的几年中,比特币的统治地位稳步增长,只有在市场过热的情况下才落下。今年,冷却加密市场为交易者拒绝Altcoins并选择更安全的赌注做出了贡献。但是,越来越多的校正迹象可能会看到山寨币爆炸。
On Friday, March 28, Bitcoin started showing multiple signs of a potential correction, both in its price and dominance. Firstly, Bitcoin’s dominance is currently at 62.03% and is running against a long-term trendline charted from its multi-year highs. This creates a wedge formation with the recent low in December.
3月28日,星期五,比特币开始在其价格和优势上表现出潜在纠正的多种迹象。首先,比特币的统治地位目前为62.03%,并且与多年高点相比的长期趋势线相反。这创建了一个楔形的形成,最近12月的低点。
This long-term trendline suggests that Bitcoin dominance is about to see a major correction. This potentially means a fall to 40%, a level last seen in 2023. This scenario could play out in several good and bad ways for BTC.
这种长期趋势线表明比特币优势即将看到重大的校正。这可能意味着跌至40%,这是2023年最后一次出现的水平。对于BTC来说,这种情况可能以几种好和坏的方式发挥作用。
A drop in Bitcoin’s dominance can occur during both rising and falling crypto markets. For instance, in 2023, when dominance was just 40%, the total crypto market cap was $1 trillion compared to its current level of $2.77 trillion.
在加密市场上升和下降期间,比特币的主导地位可能会下降。例如,在2023年,当统治地位仅为40%时,加密货币市值为1万亿美元,而目前的水平为2.77万亿美元。
On the other hand, BTC is currently trading at $85,107, below the 200-day Exponential Moving Average of $85,555. This key indicator suggests that troubling times may be ahead, although Bitcoin tended to recover above these levels after some months.
另一方面,BTC目前的交易价格为85,107美元,低于200天的移动平均值85,555美元。该关键指标表明,尽管比特币在几个月后倾向于恢复到这些水平以上,但令人不安的时间可能会遥遥无期。
Another chart adds to a bearish case, with the BTC price rejecting the resistance at $88,400, which formed in December. This suggests that a near-term correction is coming, which could see Bitcoin’s price tumbling. However, this scenario would likely hurt altcoins even more since they are typically more volatile.
另一个图表增加了看跌案,BTC价格拒绝了12月成立的电阻为88,400美元。这表明即将进行近期更正,这可能会使比特币的价格上涨。但是,这种情况可能会更加伤害山寨币,因为它们通常更易变。
A longer-term chart offers a more positive spin on these scenarios. Bitcoin is currently forming a narrowing wedge, whose upper boundary is around $110,000. The Bitcoin price will likely crash if it falls below its lower boundary. Despite this, the long-term outlook remains positive and could benefit altcoins.
长期图表在这些情况下提供了更积极的旋转。比特币目前正在形成一个狭窄的楔形,其上边界约为110,000美元。如果比特币价格低于其下边界,则可能会崩溃。尽管如此,长期前景仍然是积极的,可以使山寨币受益。
Overall, the charts suggest that the BTC price is at a key point, indicating that it can either break out of its resistance or crash. However, a breakout is more likely to coincide with a fall in dominance, as, in this scenario, altcoins will likely rise even further.
总体而言,图表表明BTC价格处于关键点,表明它可能会爆发出阻力或崩溃。但是,突破更有可能与统治地位的下降相吻合,因为在这种情况下,Altcoins可能会进一步上升。
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