比特幣正處於十字路口：巨大的飆升或急劇的修正即將來臨

週一，比特幣飆升至 7 萬美元以上，引發了可能決定其下一次重大價格走勢的關鍵一周。 10x Research 預測下一個 15,000 點走勢將由收窄三角形形態的突破決定。看漲因素包括央行鴿派態度、即將到來的比特幣減半以及積極的風險資產環境。看跌因素包括比特幣 ETF 流量負值、山寨幣和 meme 幣交易量下降以及比特幣融資利率下降。

Is Bitcoin Poised for a Monumental Surge or a Sharp Correction?

比特幣即將迎來巨大的飆升還是急劇的回檔？

Bitcoin's recent surge above $70,000 has sparked a wave of speculation about its next major move. 10x Research, a leading cryptocurrency research firm, believes that the upcoming week will be pivotal in determining Bitcoin's trajectory over the next 15,000 points.

比特幣最近飆升至 7 萬美元以上，引發了對其下一步重大舉措的猜測浪潮。領先的加密貨幣研究公司 10x Research 認為，未來一週對於確定比特幣未來 15,000 點的走勢至關重要。

Bearish Headwinds and Bullish Tailwinds

看跌逆風和看漲順風

Several bearish factors could weigh on Bitcoin's momentum. Negative ETF flows over the past five days, a decline in altcoin and meme coin trading volumes in Korea, and lower Bitcoin funding rates are all cause for concern.

一些看跌因素可能會影響比特幣的勢頭。過去五天的負 ETF 流量、韓國山寨幣和 meme 幣交易量的下降以及比特幣融資利率的下降都令人擔憂。

However, bullish factors are also present. Central banks' dovish stance, the upcoming Bitcoin halving event, potential reversal of ETF flows, and a favorable risk-asset environment could provide support for Bitcoin's price.

不過，看漲因素也存在。各國央行的鴿派立場、即將到來的比特幣減半事件、ETF流動的潛在逆轉以及有利的風險資產環境都可能為比特幣的價格提供支撐。

Triangle Formation: A Decisive Crossroads

三角形形成：決定性的十字路口

A narrowing triangle formation has emerged on Bitcoin's chart. A break to either side of this formation will signal the direction of its next major move. 10x Research notes that the implied move could be as large as 10,000, 20,000, or even 30,000 points.

比特幣圖表上出現了一個收窄的三角形形狀。突破該形態的任何一側都將預示其下一次主要走勢的方向。 10x Research 指出，隱含的波動可能高達 10,000、20,000 甚至 30,000 點。

Bitcoin has already retested 10x Research's first downside target of $63,000 multiple times, but it has not yet reached the second downside target of $59,000. Instead, it is currently trending upwards towards upside targets of $83,000 and $102,000.

比特幣已經多次重新測試 10x Research 的第一個下行目標 63,000 美元，但尚未達到第二個下行目標 59,000 美元。相反，它目前正朝著 83,000 美元和 102,000 美元的上行目標上升。

Fed's Dovish Pivot: A Bullish Catalyst

聯準會鴿派轉向：看漲催化劑

The Federal Reserve's recent shift towards a more dovish stance, including signaling acceptance of higher inflation and an interest in slowing down quantitative tightening, could create a favorable environment for Bitcoin. Similar rallies occurred during election cycles in 2012, 2016, and 2020, when Bitcoin's momentum surged by 100-200%.

聯準會最近轉向更鴿派的立場，包括表示接受更高的通膨和有興趣放緩量化緊縮，可能會為比特幣創造有利的環境。類似的反彈發生在 2012 年、2016 年和 2020 年的選舉週期中，當時比特幣的勢頭飆升了 100-200%。

Buy Dips, Not Sell Rallies

逢低買入，逢高賣出

10x Research recommends adopting a "buy dips, not sell rallies" strategy. The market is likely to focus on the Fed's dovish comments and switch to "bullish sentiment again." This sets up a bullish scenario for risk assets, including Bitcoin.

10x Research 建議採取「逢低買入，逢高賣出」策略。市場可能會關注聯準會的鴿派言論，並轉向「再次看漲情緒」。這為包括比特幣在內的風險資產創造了看漲情景。

Key Level to Watch: $68,300

值得關注的關鍵等級：$68,300

10x Research identifies another important level at $68,300. Once this level is retested and broken, it will be pivotal to observe Bitcoin's behavior. The report advises traders to "be ready to travel with the break of the triangle."

10x Research 確定了另一個重要水平，即 68,300 美元。一旦重新測試並突破該水平，觀察比特幣的行為將至關重要。該報告建議交易者「做好三角形突破的準備」。

Halving Event Nears: A Time for Decision

減半事件接近：做出決定的時刻

With less than a month until the Bitcoin Halving event, traders must decide whether Bitcoin remains a viable investment. The event could potentially have a significant impact on Bitcoin's price, but its precise effects are uncertain.

距離比特幣減半事件還有不到一個月的時間，交易者必須決定比特幣是否仍是可行的投資。該事件可能會對比特幣的價格產生重大影響，但其確切影響尚不確定。

Join the Experts at Benzinga's Digital Assets Conference

與專家一起參加 Benzinga 的數位資產會議

Join industry titans like Tim Draper and Jan Van Eck at Benzinga's Future of Digital Assets conference on November 19th. This exclusive event will bring together industry leaders and investors to discuss the future of digital asset investments and the potential impact of the Bitcoin Halving event.

與 Tim Draper 和 Jan Van Eck 等行業巨頭一起參加 11 月 19 日舉行的 Benzinga 數位資產未來會議。這項獨家活動將匯集產業領導者和投資者，討論數位資產投資的未來以及比特幣減半事件的潛在影響。