比特币正处于十字路口：巨大的飙升或急剧的修正即将来临

周一，比特币飙升至 70,000 美元以上，引发了可能决定其下一次重大价格走势的关键一周。 10x Research 预测下一个 15,000 点走势将由收窄三角形形态的突破决定。看涨因素包括央行鸽派态度、即将到来的比特币减半以及积极的风险资产环境。看跌因素包括比特币 ETF 流量负值、山寨币和 meme 币交易量下降以及比特币融资利率下降。

Is Bitcoin Poised for a Monumental Surge or a Sharp Correction?

比特币即将迎来巨大的飙升还是急剧的回调？

Bitcoin's recent surge above $70,000 has sparked a wave of speculation about its next major move. 10x Research, a leading cryptocurrency research firm, believes that the upcoming week will be pivotal in determining Bitcoin's trajectory over the next 15,000 points.

比特币最近飙升至 70,000 美元以上，引发了对其下一步重大举措的猜测浪潮。领先的加密货币研究公司 10x Research 认为，未来一周对于确定比特币未来 15,000 点的走势至关重要。

Bearish Headwinds and Bullish Tailwinds

看跌逆风和看涨顺风

Several bearish factors could weigh on Bitcoin's momentum. Negative ETF flows over the past five days, a decline in altcoin and meme coin trading volumes in Korea, and lower Bitcoin funding rates are all cause for concern.

一些看跌因素可能会影响比特币的势头。过去五天的负 ETF 流量、韩国山寨币和 meme 币交易量的下降以及比特币融资利率的下降都令人担忧。

However, bullish factors are also present. Central banks' dovish stance, the upcoming Bitcoin halving event, potential reversal of ETF flows, and a favorable risk-asset environment could provide support for Bitcoin's price.

不过，看涨因素也存在。各国央行的鸽派立场、即将到来的比特币减半事件、ETF流动的潜在逆转以及有利的风险资产环境都可能为比特币的价格提供支撑。

Triangle Formation: A Decisive Crossroads

三角形形成：决定性的十字路口

A narrowing triangle formation has emerged on Bitcoin's chart. A break to either side of this formation will signal the direction of its next major move. 10x Research notes that the implied move could be as large as 10,000, 20,000, or even 30,000 points.

比特币图表上出现了一个收窄的三角形形态。突破该形态的任何一侧都将预示其下一次主要走势的方向。 10x Research 指出，隐含的波动可能高达 10,000、20,000 甚至 30,000 点。

Bitcoin has already retested 10x Research's first downside target of $63,000 multiple times, but it has not yet reached the second downside target of $59,000. Instead, it is currently trending upwards towards upside targets of $83,000 and $102,000.

比特币已经多次重新测试 10x Research 的第一个下行目标 63,000 美元，但尚未达到第二个下行目标 59,000 美元。相反，它目前正朝着 83,000 美元和 102,000 美元的上行目标上升。

Fed's Dovish Pivot: A Bullish Catalyst

美联储鸽派转向：看涨催化剂

The Federal Reserve's recent shift towards a more dovish stance, including signaling acceptance of higher inflation and an interest in slowing down quantitative tightening, could create a favorable environment for Bitcoin. Similar rallies occurred during election cycles in 2012, 2016, and 2020, when Bitcoin's momentum surged by 100-200%.

美联储最近转向更加鸽派的立场，包括表示接受更高的通胀和有兴趣放缓量化紧缩，可能会为比特币创造有利的环境。类似的反弹发生在 2012 年、2016 年和 2020 年的选举周期中，当时比特币的势头飙升了 100-200%。

Buy Dips, Not Sell Rallies

逢低买入，逢高卖出

10x Research recommends adopting a "buy dips, not sell rallies" strategy. The market is likely to focus on the Fed's dovish comments and switch to "bullish sentiment again." This sets up a bullish scenario for risk assets, including Bitcoin.

10x Research 建议采取“逢低买入，逢高卖出”策略。市场可能会关注美联储的鸽派言论，并转向“再次看涨情绪”。这为包括比特币在内的风险资产创造了看涨情景。

Key Level to Watch: $68,300

值得关注的关键级别：$68,300

10x Research identifies another important level at $68,300. Once this level is retested and broken, it will be pivotal to observe Bitcoin's behavior. The report advises traders to "be ready to travel with the break of the triangle."

10x Research 确定了另一个重要水平，即 68,300 美元。一旦重新测试并突破该水平，观察比特币的行为将至关重要。该报告建议交易者“做好三角形突破的准备”。

Halving Event Nears: A Time for Decision

减半事件临近：做出决定的时刻

With less than a month until the Bitcoin Halving event, traders must decide whether Bitcoin remains a viable investment. The event could potentially have a significant impact on Bitcoin's price, but its precise effects are uncertain.

距离比特币减半事件还有不到一个月的时间，交易者必须决定比特币是否仍然是可行的投资。该事件可能会对比特币的价格产生重大影响，但其确切影响尚不确定。

Join the Experts at Benzinga's Digital Assets Conference

与专家一起参加 Benzinga 的数字资产会议

Join industry titans like Tim Draper and Jan Van Eck at Benzinga's Future of Digital Assets conference on November 19th. This exclusive event will bring together industry leaders and investors to discuss the future of digital asset investments and the potential impact of the Bitcoin Halving event.

与 Tim Draper 和 Jan Van Eck 等行业巨头一起参加 11 月 19 日举行的 Benzinga 数字资产未来会议。此次独家活动将汇集行业领袖和投资者，讨论数字资产投资的未来以及比特币减半事件的潜在影响。