比特幣牛市：揭穿神話以及與過去減半的相似之處

該分析檢驗了比特幣早期突破歷史新高預示著非典型牛市週期的說法。然而，Lady of Crypto 認為，這個週期反映了過去的減半，儘管波動性加劇。儘管最近出現回調，但她強調，下跌為投資不足的個人提供了機會，而過度暴露的投資者應該保持歷史證明的有效。在解決投資者的擔憂時，她強調，引發恐慌的事件在牛市期間很常見，但通常代表非威脅性的「餘興節目」。

Bitcoin Bull Run: Misconceptions and Mirrors of Past Halvings

比特幣牛市：過去減半的誤解與鏡子

As the fourth Bitcoin halving event looms, expert market analyst and trader Lady of Crypto has assessed claims regarding the current bull cycle and its potential to surpass previous all-time highs (ATHs).

隨著第四次比特幣減半事件的臨近，專家市場分析師和交易員 Lady of Crypto 評估了有關當前牛市週期及其超越之前歷史高點 (ATH) 的潛力的說法。

Misconceptions of a Premature Bull Run

對過早牛市的誤解

Lady of Crypto refuted the notion that this bull cycle began prematurely, stating that the community has been "lied to" about widespread misinformation. She dismissed current gains as indicative of a sustained bull run, emphasizing that Bitcoin and altcoins have experienced significant declines in the lead-up to the halving.

Lady of Crypto 駁斥了這一牛市週期過早開始的觀點，並表示社區因廣泛存在的錯誤訊息而被「欺騙」。她認為當前的上漲表明持續的牛市，並強調比特幣和山寨幣在減半之前經歷了大幅下跌。

Historical Precedents

歷史先例

Lady of Crypto drew parallels to the pre-halving dips witnessed in 2016 and 2020, during which Bitcoin underwent corrections of 30% and 20%, respectively. The current decline of over 17% for Bitcoin and 29% for altcoins falls within this historical range, although it is less severe than the COVID-19-induced meltdown in 2020, which saw a drop of 58% for Bitcoin and 68% for altcoins.

Lady of Crypto 將比特幣在 2016 年和 2020 年減半前的下跌進行了比較，在此期間比特幣分別經歷了 30% 和 20% 的調整。目前比特幣超過 17% 的跌幅和山寨幣超過 29% 的跌幅屬於這一歷史範圍，儘管其嚴重程度不如 2020 年 COVID-19 引發的崩潰，當時比特幣跌幅為 58%，山寨幣跌幅為 68% 。

Influence of Bitcoin ETFs

比特幣 ETF 的影響

Lady of Crypto attributed Bitcoin's early ATH breakout to the introduction of Spot Exchange-Traded Funds (ETFs), which attracted a wider audience to the cryptocurrency. However, she emphasized that the general public's participation has not yet reached its peak.

Lady of Crypto 將比特幣早期的 ATH 突破歸因於現貨交易所交易基金 (ETF) 的推出，吸引了更廣泛的加密貨幣受眾。不過，她強調，公眾的參與尚未達到頂峰。

Gradual Return of Interest

利息逐漸回歸

Social media metrics reveal a gradual return of interest in the crypto market. Lady of Crypto cited increasing YouTube viewership, subscriber counts, and new Twitter followers, aligning with similar trends observed in previous bull cycles.

社群媒體指標顯示人們對加密貨幣市場的興趣逐漸回歸。 Lady of Crypto 表示，YouTube 觀看人數、訂閱者數量和 Twitter 新粉絲不斷增加，這與先前牛市週期中觀察到的類似趨勢一致。

Mirroring Previous Halvings

鏡像之前的減半

Apart from the early ATH breakthrough, Lady of Crypto believes that this bull run is mirroring past cycles, albeit with increased volatility. She cautioned that this volatility is indicative of the potential for a stronger bull market than ever before.

除了早期的 ATH 突破之外，Lady of Crypto 認為，這次牛市反映了過去的周期，儘管波動性有所增加。她警告說，這種波動表明牛市的潛力比以往任何時候都要強勁。

Investment Strategies

投資策略

For investors with limited exposure to Bitcoin, Lady of Crypto advised utilizing dips as opportunities for accumulation. Conversely, overexposed investors may consider holding their positions, as history suggests that holding through dips has generally yielded positive returns, as seen in the 2020 and 2021 market downturns.

對於比特幣曝險有限的投資者，Lady of Crypto 建議利用逢低吸籌的機會。相反，過度暴露的投資者可能會考慮持有部位，因為歷史表明，逢低持有通常會產生正回報，正如 2020 年和 2021 年市場低迷時期所見。

Caution Against Panic

警惕恐慌

Lady of Crypto acknowledged that bull runs often trigger fear and panic in investors, leading to potential sell-offs. She emphasized that such events are temporary setbacks and that investors should avoid panic selling.

Lady of Crypto 承認，多頭市場經常引發投資者的恐懼和恐慌，導致潛在的拋售。她強調，此類事件只是暫時的挫折，投資人應避免恐慌性拋售。

Conclusion

結論

In the lead-up to the fourth Bitcoin halving, Lady of Crypto's analysis provides a nuanced perspective on the current market dynamics. She dismisses misconceptions about the bull cycle's trajectory and cautions against panic selling. By drawing parallels to historical precedents and highlighting the gradual return of interest, her insights offer a balanced outlook for investors navigating this volatile bull market.

在第四次比特幣減半之前，Lady of Crypto 的分析為當前市場動態提供了細緻的視角。她駁斥了對牛市週期軌蹟的誤解，並警告不要恐慌性拋售。透過與歷史先例進行比較並強調興趣的逐漸回歸，她的見解為投資者在這個動蕩的牛市中提供了平衡的前景。