以太坊（ETH）價格低於$ 1,600後，試圖穩定。長期持有人進入了投降領域

以太坊價格低於$ 1,600後，試圖穩定。長期持有人幾個月來首次進入投降領域。

Crypto ELITEs, a well-known analyst on X, previously known as Twitter, has developed a roadmap for Ethereum’s (ETH) potential recovery to $5,000 by May 2024.

Crypto Elites是X上的著名分析師，以前稱為Twitter，已經為以太坊（ETH）的潛在恢復的路線圖開發了到2024年5月的5,000美元。

This prediction follows a significant drop in ETH price below $1,600, pushing LTH-NUPL into capitulation territory for the first time in several months.

這一預測是在ETH價格大幅下跌以下，低於1,600美元，這是幾個月來首次將LTH-NUPL推向了投降領域。

Meanwhile, on-chain data from Glassnode reveals a spike in user activity and a shift in large transactions.Crypto ELITEs focused on a historical pattern of accumulation, usually seen in bear markets, followed by a steep expansion phase, typically seen in bull markets.

同時，來自GlassNode的鍊鍊數據揭示了用戶活動的激增和大型交易的轉變。 CryptoElites專注於通常在熊市中看到的歷史累積模式，其次是陡峭的膨脹階段，通常在牛市中看到。

“They never fully capitalize on the opportunity until it’s too late,” the analyst said.

這位分析師說：“直到為時已晚，他們才完全利用機會。”

Chart of ETH price cycles highlighting the potential transition into a new bullish phase and setting the stage for a final push toward $5,000.

ETH價格週期的圖表強調了潛在的過渡到新的看漲階段，並為最終推向5,000美元的階段奠定了基礎。

Credit: Crypto ELITEs/X

圖片來源：加密精英/X

After a steep decline from $2,000, Ethereum has shown resilience, bouncing several times near the $1,800 support.

從2,000美元下降後，以太坊顯示出彈性，在1,800美元的支持附近彈跳了幾次。

This resilience is crucial as it can set the stage for a final push toward breakout.

這種韌性至關重要，因為它可以為突破的最終推動奠定基礎。

Crypto ELITEs noted that the analyst is projecting a final shakeout in ETH price before the cryptocurrency experiences parabolic expansion.

Crypto Elites指出，分析師在加密貨幣體驗拋物線擴張之前預測了ETH價格的最終動力。

The projected path closely resembles previous cycles, where consolidation zones were seen ahead of explosive trends.

預測的路徑與以前的周期相似，在爆炸性趨勢之前，在該週期中看到了整合區域。

If this roadmap plays out, the analyst believes that ETH could rally significantly once the strong resistance is cleared.

如果該路線圖發揮了作用，分析師認為，一旦清除了強烈的抵抗力，ETH可以顯著集會。

The chart also showed the structure, highlighting a bottoming phase and then the projected upside momentum.

圖表還顯示了結構，突出了底部階段，然後顯示了投影的上行勢頭。

Crypto ELITEs said:

加密精英說：

“This is a long-term opportunity despite short-term volatility.”

“儘管短期波動，這是一個長期的機會。”

Nevertheless, on-chain metrics are showing signs of a shift.

然而，鍊鍊指標顯示出轉變的跡象。

As the price dipped below $1,600, a key indicator, LTH-NUPL, slipped into capitulation.

隨著價格下降到1,600美元以下，關鍵指標lth-nupl陷入了投降。

This metric tracks the unrealized profit or loss of long-term Ethereum holders. When it falls below zero, it indicates that LTHs are collectively in losses.

這標準跟踪了未實現的以太坊持有人的未實現的利潤或損失。當它低於零時，它表明LTH統一損失。

This reading went negative for the first time since November 2022, and it has only happened five times in the past seven years.

自2022年11月以來，這篇讀數是第一次負面的，在過去的七年中，它只發生了五次。

Generally, this metric turning red marks the final stage of a bearish trend. It suggests that experienced market participants are surrendering, which can set the stage for reversals.

通常，這種指標變紅標誌著看跌趨勢的最後階段。這表明經驗豐富的市場參與者正在投降，這可以為逆轉奠定基礎。

Meanwhile, the MVRV Long/Short Difference has plummeged to -22.26%, indicating that ETH is significantly undervalued.

同時，MVRV的長/短差異降至-22.26％，表明ETH被顯著被低估。

This level is usually reached at points of maximum pain and has coincided with ideal accumulation zones in past cycles. Such conditions usually encourage strategic investors to readjust their positions.

通常在最大疼痛點達到此水平，並且與過去週期中理想的積累區相吻合。這種條件通常鼓勵戰略投資者重新調整其立場。

In other developments, large transactions have become more active. Over 530,000 ETH was transferred between whale wallets last week, possibly for rebalancing.

在其他發展中，大型交易變得更加活躍。上週在鯨魚錢包之間轉移了超過530,000的ETH，可能是為了重新平衡。

One notable event was the sale of 10,702 ETH by a dormant wallet from 2016. The last activity on this wallet was during major corrections, suggesting an attempt to induce panic before recovery.

一個值得注意的事件是從2016年開始通過休眠的錢包出售10,702 ETH。該錢包上的最後一個活動是在重大糾正期間，這表明試圖在恢復前引起恐慌。

Despite the bearish price action, Ethereum network activity has spiked. Daily active addresses reached 573,000, and transaction volume hit 1.42 million on April 9.

儘管有看跌的價格行動，但以太坊網絡活動仍在飆升。每日活躍地址達到573,000，交易量在4月9日達到142萬。

This increased activity during market stress suggests a rise in network utility and user interest at lower valuations.

市場壓力期間的活動增加表明網絡公用事業公司的估值較低和用戶興趣。