以太坊（ETH）价格低于$ 1,600后，试图稳定。长期持有人进入了投降领域

以太坊价格低于$ 1,600后，试图稳定。长期持有人几个月来首次进入投降领域。

Crypto ELITEs, a well-known analyst on X, previously known as Twitter, has developed a roadmap for Ethereum’s (ETH) potential recovery to $5,000 by May 2024.

Crypto Elites是X上的著名分析师，以前称为Twitter，已经为以太坊（ETH）的潜在恢复的路线图开发了到2024年5月的5,000美元。

This prediction follows a significant drop in ETH price below $1,600, pushing LTH-NUPL into capitulation territory for the first time in several months.

这一预测是在ETH价格大幅下跌以下，低于1,600美元，这是几个月来首次将LTH-NUPL推向了投降领域。

Meanwhile, on-chain data from Glassnode reveals a spike in user activity and a shift in large transactions.Crypto ELITEs focused on a historical pattern of accumulation, usually seen in bear markets, followed by a steep expansion phase, typically seen in bull markets.

同时，来自GlassNode的链链数据揭示了用户活动的激增和大型交易的转变。CryptoElites专注于通常在熊市中看到的历史累积模式，其次是陡峭的膨胀阶段，通常在牛市中看到。

“They never fully capitalize on the opportunity until it’s too late,” the analyst said.

这位分析师说：“直到为时已晚，他们才完全利用机会。”

Chart of ETH price cycles highlighting the potential transition into a new bullish phase and setting the stage for a final push toward $5,000.

ETH价格周期的图表强调了潜在的过渡到新的看涨阶段，并为最终推向5,000美元的阶段奠定了基础。

Credit: Crypto ELITEs/X

图片来源：加密精英/X

After a steep decline from $2,000, Ethereum has shown resilience, bouncing several times near the $1,800 support.

从2,000美元下降后，以太坊显示出弹性，在1,800美元的支持附近弹跳了几次。

This resilience is crucial as it can set the stage for a final push toward breakout.

这种韧性至关重要，因为它可以为突破的最终推动奠定基础。

Crypto ELITEs noted that the analyst is projecting a final shakeout in ETH price before the cryptocurrency experiences parabolic expansion.

Crypto Elites指出，分析师在加密货币体验抛物线扩张之前预测了ETH价格的最终动力。

The projected path closely resembles previous cycles, where consolidation zones were seen ahead of explosive trends.

预测的路径与以前的周期相似，在爆炸性趋势之前，在该周期中看到了整合区域。

If this roadmap plays out, the analyst believes that ETH could rally significantly once the strong resistance is cleared.

如果该路线图发挥了作用，分析师认为，一旦清除了强烈的抵抗力，ETH可以显着集会。

The chart also showed the structure, highlighting a bottoming phase and then the projected upside momentum.

图表还显示了结构，突出了底部阶段，然后显示了投影的上行势头。

Crypto ELITEs said:

加密精英说：

“This is a long-term opportunity despite short-term volatility.”

“尽管短期波动，这是一个长期的机会。”

Nevertheless, on-chain metrics are showing signs of a shift.

然而，链链指标显示出转变的迹象。

As the price dipped below $1,600, a key indicator, LTH-NUPL, slipped into capitulation.

随着价格下降到1,600美元以下，关键指标lth-nupl陷入了投降。

This metric tracks the unrealized profit or loss of long-term Ethereum holders. When it falls below zero, it indicates that LTHs are collectively in losses.

这标准跟踪了未实现的以太坊持有人的未实现的利润或损失。当它低于零时，它表明LTH统一损失。

This reading went negative for the first time since November 2022, and it has only happened five times in the past seven years.

自2022年11月以来，这篇读数是第一次负面的，在过去的七年中，它只发生了五次。

Generally, this metric turning red marks the final stage of a bearish trend. It suggests that experienced market participants are surrendering, which can set the stage for reversals.

通常，这种指标变红标志着看跌趋势的最后阶段。这表明经验丰富的市场参与者正在投降，这可以为逆转奠定基础。

Meanwhile, the MVRV Long/Short Difference has plummeged to -22.26%, indicating that ETH is significantly undervalued.

同时，MVRV的长/短差异降至-22.26％，表明ETH被显着被低估。

This level is usually reached at points of maximum pain and has coincided with ideal accumulation zones in past cycles. Such conditions usually encourage strategic investors to readjust their positions.

通常在最大疼痛点达到此水平，并且与过去周期中理想的积累区相吻合。这种条件通常鼓励战略投资者重新调整其立场。

In other developments, large transactions have become more active. Over 530,000 ETH was transferred between whale wallets last week, possibly for rebalancing.

在其他发展中，大型交易变得更加活跃。上周在鲸鱼钱包之间转移了超过530,000的ETH，可能是为了重新平衡。

One notable event was the sale of 10,702 ETH by a dormant wallet from 2016. The last activity on this wallet was during major corrections, suggesting an attempt to induce panic before recovery.

一个值得注意的事件是从2016年开始通过休眠的钱包出售10,702 ETH。该钱包上的最后一个活动是在重大纠正期间，这表明试图在恢复前引起恐慌。

Despite the bearish price action, Ethereum network activity has spiked. Daily active addresses reached 573,000, and transaction volume hit 1.42 million on April 9.

尽管有看跌的价格行动，但以太坊网络活动仍在飙升。每日活跃地址达到573,000，交易量在4月9日达到142万。

This increased activity during market stress suggests a rise in network utility and user interest at lower valuations.

市场压力期间的活动增加表明网络公用事业公司的估值较低和用户兴趣。