比特币牛市：揭穿神话以及与过去减半的相似之处

该分析检验了比特币早期突破历史新高预示着非典型牛市周期的说法。然而，Lady of Crypto 认为，这一周期反映了过去的减半，尽管波动性加剧。尽管最近出现回调，但她强调，下跌为投资不足的个人提供了机会，而过度暴露的投资者应该保持历史证明的有效。在解决投资者的担忧时，她强调，引发恐慌的事件在牛市期间很常见，但通常代表非威胁性的“余兴节目”。

Bitcoin Bull Run: Misconceptions and Mirrors of Past Halvings

比特币牛市：过去减半的误解和镜子

As the fourth Bitcoin halving event looms, expert market analyst and trader Lady of Crypto has assessed claims regarding the current bull cycle and its potential to surpass previous all-time highs (ATHs).

随着第四次比特币减半事件的临近，专家市场分析师和交易员 Lady of Crypto 评估了有关当前牛市周期及其超越之前历史高点 (ATH) 的潜力的说法。

Misconceptions of a Premature Bull Run

对过早牛市的误解

Lady of Crypto refuted the notion that this bull cycle began prematurely, stating that the community has been "lied to" about widespread misinformation. She dismissed current gains as indicative of a sustained bull run, emphasizing that Bitcoin and altcoins have experienced significant declines in the lead-up to the halving.

Lady of Crypto 驳斥了这一牛市周期过早开始的观点，并表示社区因广泛存在的错误信息而被“欺骗”。她认为当前的上涨表明持续的牛市，并强调比特币和山寨币在减半之前经历了大幅下跌。

Historical Precedents

历史先例

Lady of Crypto drew parallels to the pre-halving dips witnessed in 2016 and 2020, during which Bitcoin underwent corrections of 30% and 20%, respectively. The current decline of over 17% for Bitcoin and 29% for altcoins falls within this historical range, although it is less severe than the COVID-19-induced meltdown in 2020, which saw a drop of 58% for Bitcoin and 68% for altcoins.

Lady of Crypto 将比特币在 2016 年和 2020 年减半前的下跌进行了比较，在此期间比特币分别经历了 30% 和 20% 的调整。当前比特币超过 17% 的跌幅和山寨币超过 29% 的跌幅属于这一历史范围，尽管其严重程度不如 2020 年 COVID-19 引发的崩溃，当时比特币跌幅为 58%，山寨币跌幅为 68% 。

Influence of Bitcoin ETFs

比特币 ETF 的影响

Lady of Crypto attributed Bitcoin's early ATH breakout to the introduction of Spot Exchange-Traded Funds (ETFs), which attracted a wider audience to the cryptocurrency. However, she emphasized that the general public's participation has not yet reached its peak.

Lady of Crypto 将比特币早期的 ATH 突破归因于现货交易所交易基金 (ETF) 的推出，吸引了更广泛的加密货币受众。不过，她强调，公众的参与尚未达到顶峰。

Gradual Return of Interest

利息逐渐回归

Social media metrics reveal a gradual return of interest in the crypto market. Lady of Crypto cited increasing YouTube viewership, subscriber counts, and new Twitter followers, aligning with similar trends observed in previous bull cycles.

社交媒体指标显示人们对加密货币市场的兴趣逐渐回归。 Lady of Crypto 表示，YouTube 观看人数、订阅者数量和 Twitter 新粉丝不断增加，这与之前牛市周期中观察到的类似趋势一致。

Mirroring Previous Halvings

镜像之前的减半

Apart from the early ATH breakthrough, Lady of Crypto believes that this bull run is mirroring past cycles, albeit with increased volatility. She cautioned that this volatility is indicative of the potential for a stronger bull market than ever before.

除了早期的 ATH 突破之外，Lady of Crypto 认为，这次牛市反映了过去的周期，尽管波动性有所增加。她警告说，这种波动表明牛市的潜力比以往任何时候都要强劲。

Investment Strategies

投资策略

For investors with limited exposure to Bitcoin, Lady of Crypto advised utilizing dips as opportunities for accumulation. Conversely, overexposed investors may consider holding their positions, as history suggests that holding through dips has generally yielded positive returns, as seen in the 2020 and 2021 market downturns.

对于比特币敞口有限的投资者，Lady of Crypto 建议利用逢低吸筹的机会。相反，过度暴露的投资者可能会考虑持有仓位，因为历史表明，逢低持有通常会产生正回报，正如 2020 年和 2021 年市场低迷时期所见。

Caution Against Panic

警惕恐慌

Lady of Crypto acknowledged that bull runs often trigger fear and panic in investors, leading to potential sell-offs. She emphasized that such events are temporary setbacks and that investors should avoid panic selling.

Lady of Crypto 承认，牛市经常引发投资者的恐惧和恐慌，导致潜在的抛售。她强调，此类事件只是暂时的挫折，投资者应避免恐慌性抛售。

Conclusion

结论

In the lead-up to the fourth Bitcoin halving, Lady of Crypto's analysis provides a nuanced perspective on the current market dynamics. She dismisses misconceptions about the bull cycle's trajectory and cautions against panic selling. By drawing parallels to historical precedents and highlighting the gradual return of interest, her insights offer a balanced outlook for investors navigating this volatile bull market.

在第四次比特币减半之前，Lady of Crypto 的分析为当前市场动态提供了细致入微的视角。她驳斥了对牛市周期轨迹的误解，并警告不要恐慌性抛售。通过与历史先例进行比较并强调兴趣的逐渐回归，她的见解为投资者在这个动荡的牛市中提供了平衡的前景。