比特幣（BTC）弱點在每週關閉之前捕鯨目標關鍵水平出現

Cointelegraph Markets Pro和TradingView的市場數據突出了比特幣的關鍵時刻，因為其價格徘徊在83,000美元左右。

Bitcoin (BTC) is showing signs of weakness on Thursday, sparking concerns that a significant price drop could be on the horizon. As BTC/USD slips over 3% to trade below $83,000, traders are closely watching key levels to determine the next move for Bitcoin.

比特幣（BTC）週四顯示出弱點的跡象，引發了人們的擔憂，即可能會出現大幅下降。由於BTC/USD的交易價格低於83,000美元，交易者正在密切關注關鍵水平，以確定比特幣的下一步行動。

Exchange order books highlight a critical moment for Bitcoin as its price hovers closely. At the time of writing, traders can easily locate bids piling up just below the cryptocurrency’s current price.

交換訂單書突出了比特幣的關鍵時刻，因為其價格緊密徘徊。在撰寫本文時，交易者可以輕鬆地定位出價堆積在加密貨幣當前價格以下。

Chart showing BTC/USD 1-hour price action with exchange order books, liquidations and derivatives data. Credit: Glassnode, CoinTelegraph

圖表顯示了BTC/USD 1小時的價格動作，其中包含交換訂單，清算和衍生品數據。圖片來源：玻璃節，Cointelegraph

As evident in the chart above, there is a lack of bid liquidity at the current price point, which could be crucial for Bitcoin’s ability to maintain support. A substantial portion of bids quickly diminishes after $82,000, placing pressure on buyers to defend this zone.

從上圖中可以明顯看出，目前的價格缺乏投標流動性，這對於比特幣維持支持的能力可能至關重要。在82,000美元之後，很大一部分出價迅速減少，給買家施加壓力以捍衛這一區域。

As the weekly close approaches, the cryptocurrency will need to navigate this factor. Moreover, with long liquidations accumulating at $84,300 and short positions stacking near $86,500–$87,000, traders are preparing for volatility.

隨著每週關閉的接近，加密貨幣將需要導航這一因素。此外，隨著長期清算的累積為84,300美元，短職位的堆積價格接近$ 86,500- $ 87,000，交易者正在準備波動。

Popular trader TheKingfisher cautions that whales may be targeting these levels to trigger stop-loss orders, potentially exacerbating market fluctuations.

受歡迎的交易者Thekingfisher警告說，鯨魚可能針對這些水平以觸發停止損失的訂單，可能加劇市場波動。

According to data from CoinGlass, crypto liquidations have already surpassed $300 million in the past 24 hours, signaling heightened turbulence in the market.

根據Coinglass的數據，在過去的24小時內，加密貨幣清算已經超過了3億美元，標誌著市場的動盪提高。

Could Bitcoin drop to $75,000?

比特幣可以降至75,000美元嗎？

February’s final attempt to break below the $78,000 zone sparked concerns about whether Bitcoin has already found its local bottom or if further downside remains.

2月以低於78,000美元的區域的最終嘗試引起了人們對比特幣是否已經找到本地底部或是否有進一步的缺點的擔憂。

Some analysts believe that BTC is setting up to retest the 50-week simple moving average (SMA), a critical support level it last interacted with in September. A breakdown of this SMA could have broader implications for the cryptocurrency.

一些分析師認為，BTC正在設置重新測試50週的簡單移動平均線（SMA），這是它在9月上次與之相互作用的關鍵支持水平。這種SMA的細分可能對加密貨幣具有更大的影響。

If the 50-week SMA fails to hold, then Bitcoin’s 200-day SMA could come into play. This would mark the first time BTC has tested this key indicator since October 2023. A breakdown below these levels could potentially open the door for a drop to $75,000.

如果50週的SMA無法持有，那麼比特幣的200天SMA可能會發揮作用。這將標誌著BTC自2023年10月以來首次測試了此關鍵指標。低於這些水平的故障可能會降至75,000美元。

Chart showing BTC/USD weekly price trends and key SMA indicators. Credit: Glassnode

圖表顯示BTC/USD每週價格趨勢和關鍵SMA指標。學分：玻璃節

However, despite the bearish outlook, historical price analysis suggests that Bitcoin may not fall below $69,000. The Lowest Price Forward tool, a mechanism that predicts the lowest price a cryptocurrency will reach based on past cycles, assigns a 95% probability that Bitcoin will not drop below this level.

但是，儘管看跌了前景，但歷史價格分析表明，比特幣可能不會低於69,000美元。最低的價格遠期工具是一種預測基於過去週期將達到的加密貨幣價格最低價格的機制，它的概率為95％，比特幣不會下降到此水平以下。

This tool, which has a strong track record in past cycles, successfully predicted that Bitcoin would never again fall to $10,000 after September 2020.

該工具在過去的周期中具有很強的往績，成功地預測，比特幣在2020年9月之後再也不會跌至10,000美元。

If the current trend follows past patterns, then Bitcoin could be setting up for a correction but still maintain strong support near $69,000.

如果當前的趨勢遵循過去的模式，那麼比特幣可能會進行更正，但仍保持強勁的支持接近69,000美元。