比特币（BTC）弱点在每周关闭之前捕鲸目标关键水平出现

Cointelegraph Markets Pro和TradingView的市场数据突出了比特币的关键时刻，因为其价格徘徊在83,000美元左右。

Bitcoin (BTC) is showing signs of weakness on Thursday, sparking concerns that a significant price drop could be on the horizon. As BTC/USD slips over 3% to trade below $83,000, traders are closely watching key levels to determine the next move for Bitcoin.

比特币（BTC）周四显示出弱点的迹象，引发了人们的担忧，即可能会出现大幅下降。由于BTC/USD的交易价格低于83,000美元，交易者正在密切关注关键水平，以确定比特币的下一步行动。

Exchange order books highlight a critical moment for Bitcoin as its price hovers closely. At the time of writing, traders can easily locate bids piling up just below the cryptocurrency’s current price.

交换订单书突出了比特币的关键时刻，因为其价格紧密徘徊。在撰写本文时，交易者可以轻松地定位出价堆积在加密货币当前价格以下。

Chart showing BTC/USD 1-hour price action with exchange order books, liquidations and derivatives data. Credit: Glassnode, CoinTelegraph

图表显示了BTC/USD 1小时的价格动作，其中包含交换订单，清算和衍生品数据。图片来源：玻璃节，Cointelegraph

As evident in the chart above, there is a lack of bid liquidity at the current price point, which could be crucial for Bitcoin’s ability to maintain support. A substantial portion of bids quickly diminishes after $82,000, placing pressure on buyers to defend this zone.

从上图中可以明显看出，目前的价格缺乏投标流动性，这对于比特币维持支持的能力可能至关重要。在82,000美元之后，很大一部分出价迅速减少，给买家施加压力以捍卫这一区域。

As the weekly close approaches, the cryptocurrency will need to navigate this factor. Moreover, with long liquidations accumulating at $84,300 and short positions stacking near $86,500–$87,000, traders are preparing for volatility.

随着每周关闭的接近，加密货币将需要导航这一因素。此外，随着长期清算的累积为84,300美元，短职位的堆积价格接近$ 86,500- $ 87,000，交易者正在准备波动。

Popular trader TheKingfisher cautions that whales may be targeting these levels to trigger stop-loss orders, potentially exacerbating market fluctuations.

受欢迎的交易者Thekingfisher警告说，鲸鱼可能针对这些水平以触发停止损失的订单，可能加剧市场波动。

According to data from CoinGlass, crypto liquidations have already surpassed $300 million in the past 24 hours, signaling heightened turbulence in the market.

根据Coinglass的数据，在过去的24小时内，加密货币清算已经超过了3亿美元，标志着市场的动荡提高。

Could Bitcoin drop to $75,000?

比特币可以降至75,000美元吗？

February’s final attempt to break below the $78,000 zone sparked concerns about whether Bitcoin has already found its local bottom or if further downside remains.

2月以低于78,000美元的区域的最终尝试引起了人们对比特币是否已经找到本地底部或是否有进一步的缺点的担忧。

Some analysts believe that BTC is setting up to retest the 50-week simple moving average (SMA), a critical support level it last interacted with in September. A breakdown of this SMA could have broader implications for the cryptocurrency.

一些分析师认为，BTC正在设置重新测试50周的简单移动平均线（SMA），这是它在9月上次与之相互作用的关键支持水平。这种SMA的细分可能对加密货币具有更大的影响。

If the 50-week SMA fails to hold, then Bitcoin’s 200-day SMA could come into play. This would mark the first time BTC has tested this key indicator since October 2023. A breakdown below these levels could potentially open the door for a drop to $75,000.

如果50周的SMA无法持有，那么比特币的200天SMA可能会发挥作用。这将标志着BTC自2023年10月以来首次测试了此关键指标。低于这些水平的故障可能会降至75,000美元。

Chart showing BTC/USD weekly price trends and key SMA indicators. Credit: Glassnode

图表显示BTC/USD每周价格趋势和关键SMA指标。学分：玻璃节

However, despite the bearish outlook, historical price analysis suggests that Bitcoin may not fall below $69,000. The Lowest Price Forward tool, a mechanism that predicts the lowest price a cryptocurrency will reach based on past cycles, assigns a 95% probability that Bitcoin will not drop below this level.

但是，尽管看跌了前景，但历史价格分析表明，比特币可能不会低于69,000美元。最低的价格远期工具是一种预测基于过去周期将达到的加密货币价格最低价格的机制，它的概率为95％，比特币不会下降到此水平以下。

This tool, which has a strong track record in past cycles, successfully predicted that Bitcoin would never again fall to $10,000 after September 2020.

该工具在过去的周期中具有很强的往绩，成功地预测，比特币在2020年9月之后再也不会跌至10,000美元。

If the current trend follows past patterns, then Bitcoin could be setting up for a correction but still maintain strong support near $69,000.

如果当前的趋势遵循过去的模式，那么比特币可能会进行更正，但仍保持强劲的支持接近69,000美元。