比特幣 (BTC) 交易者正在關注這些關鍵技術水平

BTC 技術分析特別指出 10 萬美元具有重要的心理意義。

Bitcoin technical analysis traders are eyeing several key levels of support and resistance, including $100,000, which is seen as a psychologically significant round number.

比特幣技術分析交易者正在關注幾個關鍵的支撐位和阻力位，其中包括 10 萬美元，這被視為具有心理意義的整數。

After reaching an all-time high of more than $108,000 on December 17, the world’s largest digital currency by market capitalization has been trending down, according to Coinbase data from TradingView.

根據 TradingView 的 Coinbase 數據，在 12 月 17 日達到超過 108,000 美元的歷史新高後，全球市值最大的數位貨幣一直呈下降趨勢。

On Monday, December 30, the cryptocurrency fell below $91,500, hitting its lowest level since late November, additional Coinbase figures show.

Coinbase 的額外數據顯示，12 月 30 日星期一，加密貨幣跌破 91,500 美元，觸及 11 月底以來的最低水準。

Despite this recent price action, bitcoin is still in a strong uptrend that has seen it hit multiple fresh all-time highs over the last several months.

儘管最近出現了這種價格走勢，但比特幣仍處於強勁的上升趨勢，在過去幾個月中多次創下歷史新高。

This strong performance was noted by several analysts, including TikTok influencer Wendy O.

包括 TikTok 影響者 Wendy O. 在內的多位分析師都注意到了這一強勁表現。

“We are still in a crypto bull market, even though it feels a bit different than previous cycles and we will see a lot of bullish price action in the crypto markets, primarily with Bitcoin,” the market observer noted in emailed comments to Axios.

這位市場觀察家在發給Axios 的電子郵件評論中指出：「我們仍處於加密牛市，儘管感覺與之前的周期有所不同，我們將在加密市場看到很多看漲的價格走勢，主要是比特幣。 」

“Closing 2024 Bitcoin is currently in a downtrend on the daily chart since hitting all-time high of $108,000 on 12/17/2024,” she observed.

她表示：“自 2024 年 12 月 17 日觸及 108,000 美元的歷史高點以來，截至 2024 年，比特幣目前在日線圖上處於下降趨勢。”

“I’m personally watching psychological levels like $100,000 and $90,000. These areas are important as most are not trading full-time and passive investors. Those numbers spark excitement.”

「我個人正在觀察 10 萬美元和 9 萬美元等心理水平。這些領域很重要，因為大多數人不是全職交易的被動投資者。這些數字令人興奮。

“When we look at $100,000 as resistance, it seems to be an area the masses may see as a good value to sell, and that could also be why we have been in a downtrend since hitting all-time high of $108,000,” Wendy O told Axios.

「當我們將 10 萬美元視為阻力位時，大眾可能認為這是一個值得出售的區域，這也可能是我們自觸及 108,000 美元歷史高點以來一直處於下跌趨勢的原因，」Wendy O告訴阿克西奧斯。

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Moreover, the analyst highlighted the strong institutional demand from both BlackRock and MicroStrategy, and noted that as countries grow interested in using bitcoin as a strategic reserve, the digital asset’s price could easily push higher.

此外，該分析師也強調了貝萊德和 MicroStrategy 的強勁機構需求，並指出，隨著各國對使用比特幣作為策略儲備的興趣日益濃厚，數位資產的價格可能會輕鬆推高。

Joe DiPasquale, CEO of cryptocurrency hedge fund manager BitBull Capital, also pointed out several technical levels.

加密貨幣對沖基金管理公司BitBull Capital執行長Joe DiPasquale也指出了幾個技術層面。

“On the downside, support could emerge around the $85,000–$86,000 zone, followed by the $80,000 level, and deeper at $75,000 if the market continues to decline,” he noted, via emailed comments.

「在下行方面，如果市場繼續下跌，支撐位可能會出現在85,000 美元至86,000 美元區域附近，然後是80,000 美元水平，如果市場繼續下跌，支撐位可能會在75,000 美元附近出現，」他在電子郵件評論中指出。

“On the upside, resistance is likely to be encountered near $95,000–$96,000, with the $100,000 mark acting as a significant psychological barrier,” said DiPasquale.

DiPasquale 表示：“從上行來看，95,000 美元至 96,000 美元附近可能會遇到阻力，其中 100,000 美元大關是一個重要的心理障礙。”

“If Bitcoin manages to break above $100,000, the $105,000 area could become the next key resistance level,” he pointed out.

他指出：“如果比特幣成功突破 10 萬美元，那麼 10.5 萬美元區域可能會成為下一個關鍵阻力位。”

“Traders should also monitor volume around these levels to gauge the strength of any price action, while broader macroeconomic factors and sentiment will play a crucial role in shaping Bitcoin’s medium-to-long-term direction,” the analyst emphasized.

該分析師強調：「交易者還應該監控這些水平附近的交易量，以衡量任何價格走勢的強度，而更廣泛的宏觀經濟因素和情緒將在塑造比特幣的中長期方向方面發揮至關重要的作用。

Tim Enneking, managing partner of Psalion, offered a different perspective.

Psalion 的執行合夥人 Tim Enneking 提出了不同的觀點。

“Bitcoin has been truly range-bound, while showing more action to the downside, since December 20, three days after the most recent ATH,” he stated, via email.

他在電子郵件中表示：“自 12 月 20 日（最近一次 ATH 三天后）以來，比特幣一直處於真正的區間波動，同時顯示出更多的下行走勢。”

“Counting today, it’s bounced off the $92k area three times. That level is also the bottom of a channel which started in November 2022, which has provided major support in the past (although not without fail).”

「從今天算起，它已三次從 92,000 美元區域反彈。該水平也是 2022 年 11 月開始的通道的底部，該通道在過去提供了主要支撐（儘管並非沒有失敗）。

“If $90k breaks, and the odds are about even that it will, there is some support of $88k, but the next bottom will probably be lower (although almost certainly still with an ‘8’ handle),” said Enneking.

Enneking 表示：“如果突破 9 萬美元，突破的可能性幾乎相等，那麼 8.8 萬美元會有一定的支撐，但下一個底部可能會更低（儘管幾乎肯定仍帶有“8”手柄）。”

“By the time that plays out, inauguration euphoria will probably kick in with Bitcoiners licking their chops at the prospect of a pro-crypto administration and BTC turning into a reserve asset (N.B. Not a reserve currency) – and BTC will be primed for the next ATH,” Enneking predicted.

「到這一切結束時，就職典禮的興奮可能會開始，比特幣愛好者們會對支持加密貨幣的政府和BTC 變成儲備資產（注意，不是儲備貨幣）的前景大呼小叫——而BTC將為下一個 ATH，」恩內金預測。

Disclosure: I own some bitcoin, bitcoin cash, litecoin, ether, EOS and SOL.

揭露：我擁有一些比特幣、比特幣現金、萊特幣、以太幣、EOS 和 SOL。